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Argesul Pitesti vs Gaz Metan Medias prediction

Argesul Pitesti vs Gaz Metan Medias prediction. This detailed prediction accompanies over 3 betting tips for the match. Argesul Pitesti vs Gaz Metan Medias are playing on 06-Dec-21

Argesul Pitesti

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Gaz Metan Medias

DATE:

5 December 2021 at 18:30:00

TIME:

6:30 PM

COUNTRY:

Romania

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LEAGUE

Liga I

1X2 PREDICTION

HOME WIN:

47%

AVR. ODDS:

2.11

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

DRAW:

26%

AVR. ODDS:

3.16

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

AWAY WIN:

26%

AVR. ODDS:

3.71

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

EXPERT TIPS FOR THIS MATCH



Gaz Metan Medias is expected to outperform Argesul Pitesti in this match. Home advantage may not help Argesul Pitesti in this game. With odds of 2.82 you stand to win a fairly good amount from this tip. This is the best sure bet prediction for this match.

Note that you should also consider other betting markets other than 1X2 predictions or bets. Asian handicaps and European handicaps, for instance, can make you better profits from a match like this.

We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a away win in this Argesul Pitesti vs Gaz Metan Medias match.
The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 43.51% probability for a Away Win outcome. The ELO Ratings model came through with a 45.78% probability for the same outccome. The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 46.20% chance for a away win outcome.
This Argesul Pitesti vs Gaz Metan Medias match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models. Keep reading to find them all.
To find if the Away Win bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied Away Win bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 2.82 with an implied bookmaker probability of 35.46%.
The calculated Surebet probability for the Away Win outcome for this Argesul Pitesti vs Gaz Metan Medias match is 45.16%, meaning this bet is a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may gain expected value by 9.70%Expected Value, EV(Away Win), for a Away Win result for this Argesul Pitesti vs Gaz Metan Medias match is calculated as follows:
Let P(Away Win) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is;
P(Away Win) * 100* 2.82 where 2.82 are the decimal odds for this outcome.

Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a Away Win for Argesul Pitesti vs Gaz Metan Medias, EV(Away Win) to be 45.16% * 100 * 2.82, which translates to 72.52. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.


Argesul Pitesti vs Gaz Metan Medias prediction

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GG/NG(BTTS) PREDICTION

GG(BTTS):

52%

AVR. ODDS:

2.26

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

NO GOAL:

47%

AVR. ODDS:

1.57

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 1.5:

40%

AVR. ODDS:

1.73

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

UNDER 1.5:

27%

AVR. ODDS:

4.73

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 2.5:

50%

AVR. ODDS:

2.6

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

UNDER 2.5:

50%

AVR. ODDS:

1.76

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 3.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 3.5:

30%

AVR. ODDS:

4.56

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

UNDER 3.5:

70%

AVR. ODDS:

1.31

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

MATCH STATISTICS AND ANALYSIS

ARGESUL PITESTI VS GAZ METAN MEDIAS PREDICTION HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES

23/08/21 - Apollon Limassol [4 : 2] Achnas
01-Sep-2021 - Achnas [1 : 4] Apollon Limassol
10-Mar-2020 - Apollon Limassol [2 : 1] Achnas
26/02/20 - Achnas [2 : 1] Apollon Limassol
19/02/20 - Apollon Limassol [2 : 0] Achnas
26/01/20 - Apollon Limassol [3 : 2] Achnas

ARGESUL PITESTI'S LAST 10 MATCHES

ETHNIKOS ACHNAS LAST 10 MATCHES
Below are Ethnikos Achnas's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Achnas won against Olympiakos Nicosia (1-0) on 26/11/21
Then Pafos won against Achnas (3-0) on 20/11/21
Achnas lost to Omonia Nicosia (0-2) on 11-Jul-2021
Not surprisingly Larnaca won against Achnas (1-0) on 31/10/21
Achnas drew with AEL Limassol (2-2) on 23/10/21
APOEL won against Achnas (2-1) on 18/10/21
Then Achnas lost to Aris Limassol (0-3) on 10-Feb-2021
Ahironas Liopetriou lost to Achnas (0-4) on 29/09/21
Katokopias drew with Achnas (0-0) on 24/09/21
In the earliest match listed here Anorthosis Famagusta won against Achnas (2-1) on 20/09/21

RECENT MATCHES - AWAY TEAM

ETHNIKOS ACHNAS LAST 10 MATCHES
Below are Ethnikos Achnas's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Match won against (FT) (29/11/21-:) on Anorthosis Famagusta
Then Apollon Limassol won against (FT) (22/11/21-:) on Apollon Limassol
PAEEK won against (FT) (05/11/21-:) on Apollon Limassol
Not surprisingly Katokopias won against (FT) (31/10/21-:) on Olympiakos Nicosia
Apollon Limassol won against (FT) (23/10/21-:) on Apollon Limassol
Pafos won against (FT) (17/10/21-:) on Omonia Nicosia
Then Apollon Limassol won against (FT) (01/10/21-:) on Apollon Limassol
Larnaca won against (FT) (26/09/21-:) on AEL Limassol
Apollon Limassol won against (FT) (22/09/21-:) on Apollon Limassol
In the earliest match listed here Olympias Lympia won against (FT) (19/09/21-:) on Apollon Limassol

ARGESUL PITESTI POSITION

ETHNIKOS ACHNAS'S POSITION
Achnas is in position 12 with 5 points from 11 matches. They are below PAEEK who have 8 points and above who have points.
Ethnikos Achnas have scored 8 goals and conceded 22 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of -14 goals this season.

GAZ METAN MEDIAS POSITION

ARGESUL PITESTI BEST PLAYERS

ETHNIKOS ACHNAS'S BEST PLAYERS
Sure bet prediction, tips and even fixed matches all depend on the form of players. Below are Ethnikos Achnas's players that have the potential of shaping the predictions and results for this game:

Player - The National Player has scored Goals goals in Matches games and shot FG foul kicks. He has scored Penalties penalties. The midfielder's average goals per match is G/M.

Zdenek Folprecht - The Czech Republic National Zdenek Folprecht has scored 3 goals in 10 games and shot 0 foul kicks. He has scored 1 penalties. The midfielder's average goals per match is 0.3.

Florian Taulemesse - The France National Florian Taulemesse has scored 2 goals in 11 games and shot 0 foul kicks. He has scored 0 penalties. The forward's average goals per match is 0.18.

Marios Elia - The Cyprus National Marios Elia has scored 2 goals in 11 games and shot 1 foul kicks. He has scored 2 penalties. The forward's average goals per match is 0.18.

gors Tarasovs - The Latvial National gors Tarasovs has scored 1 goals in 8 games and shot 1 foul kicks. He has scored 0 penalties. The defender's average goals per match is 0.13.

- The National has scored goals in games and shot foul kicks. He has scored penalties. The midfielder's average goals per match is .

GAZ METAN MEDIAS BEST PLAYERS

0

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