<h3 class="font_3">OVER 1.5 TIP</h3>
<p class="font_7">&nbsp;Given the historical results of these teams, it is most likely that at least 2 goals will be scored in this match. Regardless of the low odds, I bet you might want to form a multi bet with this over 1.5 Prediction for Brisbane Roar W vs Newcastle Jets W.</p>
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<p class="font_7">The over OR under 1.5 goals tips for this match is therefore clearly, over 1.5 goals. We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a over 1.5 in this Brisbane Roar W vs Newcastle Jets W match. The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 84.79% probability for a OVER 1.5 outcome.</p>
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<p class="font_7">The ELO Ratings model came through with a 86.25% probability for the same outccome. The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 87.49% chance for a over 1.5 outcome. This Brisbane Roar W vs Newcastle Jets W match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models. Keep reading to find them all.</p>
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<p class="font_7">To find if the Over 1.5 bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied OVER 1.5 bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same.</p>
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<p class="font_7">The odds for this outcome are averagely 1.38 with an implied bookmaker probability of 72.12%. The calculated Surebet probability for the Over 1.5 outcome for this Brisbane Roar W vs Newcastle Jets W match is 86.17%, meaning this bet is a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may gain expected value by 14.06%.</p>
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<p class="font_7">Expected Value, EV(OVER 1.5), for a OVER 1.5 result for this Brisbane Roar W vs Newcastle Jets W match is calculated as follows: Let P(OVER 1.5) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet.</p>
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<p class="font_7">Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is; P(OVER 1.5) * 100* 1.38 where 1.38 are the decimal odds for this outcome. Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a OVER 1.5 for Brisbane Roar W vs Newcastle Jets W, EV(OVER 1.5) to be 86.17% * 100 * 1.38, which translates to 105.66. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.</p>