FK Khimki vs Lokomotiv Moscow Prediction
FK Khimki vs Lokomotiv Moscow Predictionwith match analysis, statistics and betting tips. This detailed prediction accompanies over 3 betting tips for the match. FK Khimki vs Lokomotiv Moscow are playing on 19-Sep-24.
FK Khimki
Lokomotiv Moscow
DATE:
TIME:
18:30�
COUNTRY:
Russia
LEAGUE
Russian Cup, Group 2
1X2 PREDICTION
HOME WIN:
0.195
AVR. ODDS:
4.1
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
DRAW:
0.203
AVR. ODDS:
3.8
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
AWAY WIN:
0.592
AVR. ODDS:
1.63
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
EXPERT TIPS FOR THIS MATCH
AWAY WIN TIPS
Lokomotiv Moscow is expected to outperform FK Khimki in this match. Home advantage may not help FK Khimki in this game. With odds of 1.63 you stand to win a fairly good amount from this tip. This is the best sure bet prediction for this match.
Note that you should also consider other betting markets other than 1X2 predictions or bets. Asian handicaps and European handicaps, for instance, can make you better profits from a match like this.
To find if the Away Win bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied Away Win bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 1.63 with an implied bookmaker probability of 61.35%.
The calculated Surebet probability for the Away Win outcome for this FK Khimki vs Lokomotiv Moscow match is 59.15%, meaning this bet is not a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may be about to lose expected value by -2.20%.
Expected Value, EV(Away Win), for a Away Win result for this FK Khimki vs Lokomotiv Moscow match is calculated as follows:
Let P(Away Win) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is;
P(Away Win) * 100* 1.63 where 1.63 are the decimal odds for this outcome.
Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a Away Win for FK Khimki vs Lokomotiv Moscow, EV(Away Win) to be 59.15% * 100 * 1.63, which translates to 55.57. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.
OVER 1.5 TIPS
Given the historical results of these teams, it is most likely that at least 2 goals will be scored in this match. Regardless of the low odds, I bet you might want to form a multi bet with this over 1.5 Prediction for FK Khimki vs Lokomotiv Moscow. The over OR under 1.5 goals tips for this match is therefore clearly, over 1.5 goals.
To find if the Over 1.5 bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied OVER 1.5 bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 1.04666666666667 with an implied bookmaker probability of 95.54%.
The calculated Surebet probability for the Over 1.5 outcome for this FK Khimki vs Lokomotiv Moscow match is 80.89%, meaning this bet is not a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may be about to lose expected value by -14.66%.
Expected Value, EV(OVER 1.5), for a OVER 1.5 result for this FK Khimki vs Lokomotiv Moscow match is calculated as follows:
Let P(OVER 1.5) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is;
P(OVER 1.5) * 100* 1.04666666666667 where 1.04666666666667 are the decimal odds for this outcome.
Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a OVER 1.5 for FK Khimki vs Lokomotiv Moscow, EV(OVER 1.5) to be 80.89% * 100 * 1.04, which translates to 65.54. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.
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GG/NG(BTTS) PREDICTION
GG(BTTS):
0.553
AVR. ODDS:
1.6
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
NO GOAL:
0.436
AVR. ODDS:
2.16
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 1.5:
40%
AVR. ODDS:
1.05
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
UNDER 1.5:
0.181
AVR. ODDS:
2.85
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 2.5:
0.596
AVR. ODDS:
1.57
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
UNDER 2.5:
0.393
AVR. ODDS:
2.22
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 3.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 3.5:
0.375
AVR. ODDS:
2.75
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
UNDER 3.5:
0.615
AVR. ODDS:
1.66
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
MATCH STATISTICS AND ANALYSIS
FK KHIMKI VS LOKOMOTIV MOSCOW PREDICTION HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES
Lokomotiv Moscow [4:0] Khimki
Lokomotiv Moscow [5:1] Khimki
Lokomotiv Moscow [1:0] Khimki
Khimki [0:5] Lokomotiv Moscow
Khimki [0:3] Lokomotiv Moscow
Lokomotiv Moscow [3:2] Khimki
Khimki [0:0] Lokomotiv Moscow
Khimki [3:2] Lokomotiv Moscow
Lokomotiv Moscow [2:1] Khimki
Khimki [0:3] Lokomotiv Moscow
FK KHIMKI'S LAST 10 MATCHES
Below are Khimki's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Akron Tolyatti - Khimki [3:0]
Broke Boys - Khimki [0:2]
Khimki - CSKA Moscow [0:2]
Lokomotiv Moscow - Khimki [4:0]
Akhmat Grozny - Khimki [3:3]
Khimki - Saint Petersburg [1:1]
Rostov - Khimki [3:1]
Novgorod - Khimki [1:0]
Rubin Kazan - Khimki [2:3]
Khimki - Orenburg [1:0]
Khimki - Spartak Moscow [1:3]
Khimki - Dynamo-Makhachkala [1:1]
Kryliya Sovetov - Khimki [2:2]
Khimki - OFK Belgrade [2:3]
Khimki - Arsenal Tula [3:0]
Khimki - Veles [0:0]
Khimki - Chernomorets [2:1]
Kuban Krasnodar - Khimki [0:1]
Leningradets - Khimki [1:3]
Dynamo-Makhachkala - Khimki [1:0]
Khimki - Sokol Saratov [5:4]
Torpedo Moscow - Khimki [1:2]
Khimki - FC Kamaz Naberezhnye Chelny [1:0]
Rodina Moscow - Khimki [1:2]
Khimki - Yaroslavl [0:1]
Khimki - Arsenal Tula [3:2]
Khimki - Rostov [6:7]
Krasnoyarsk - Khimki [4:1]
Khimki - Nizhnekamsk [1:3]
Khimki - Krasnodar [2:0]
RECENT MATCHES - AWAY TEAM
Below are Lokomotiv Moscow's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Orenburg - Lokomotiv Moscow [2:4]
Belaz Zhodino - Lokomotiv Moscow [0:2]
Lokomotiv Moscow - Krasnodar [0:3]
Lokomotiv Moscow - Khimki [4:0]
Lokomotiv Moscow - Rostov [3:2]
CSKA Moscow - Lokomotiv Moscow [0:1]
Orenburg - Lokomotiv Moscow [2:3]
Lokomotiv Moscow - Dynamo-Makhachkala [2:0]
Akhmat Grozny - Lokomotiv Moscow [0:5]
Lokomotiv Moscow - Rostov [1:0]
Dinamo Moscow - Lokomotiv Moscow [3:1]
Lokomotiv Moscow - Akron Tolyatti [3:2]
Lokomotiv Moscow - Rubin Kazan [3:4]
Lokomotiv Moscow - Partizan Belgrade [1:1]
Lokomotiv Moscow - Kaliningrad [4:1]
Lokomotiv Moscow - Rodina Moscow [0:1]
Lokomotiv Moscow - Arsenal Tula [2:1]
Kaliningrad - Lokomotiv Moscow [1:3]
Lokomotiv Moscow - Voronezh [2:0]
Orenburg - Lokomotiv Moscow [0:2]
Lokomotiv Moscow - Rostov [1:0]
Spartak Moscow - Lokomotiv Moscow [3:2]
Novgorod - Lokomotiv Moscow [2:3]
Rubin Kazan - Lokomotiv Moscow [1:1]
Lokomotiv Moscow - CSKA Moscow [3:3]
Akhmat Grozny - Lokomotiv Moscow [0:2]
Ural Yekaterinburg - Lokomotiv Moscow [1:0]
Lokomotiv Moscow - Krasnodar [1:1]
Lokomotiv Moscow - Kaliningrad [6:7]
Lokomotiv Moscow - Sochi [2:2]
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