Senica vs Liptovsky Mikulas prediction Over 1.5 Goals
Senica vs Liptovsky Mikulas prediction. This detailed prediction accompanies over 3 betting tips for the match. Senica vs Liptovsky Mikulas are playing on 04-Dec-21
Senica
DATE:
4 December 2021 at 17:00:00
Liptovsky Mikulas
COUNTRY:
Slovakia
LEAGUE
Superliga
TIME:
5:00 PM
1X2 PREDICTION
HOME WIN:
20%
AVR. ODDS:
1.95
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
DRAW:
26%
AVR. ODDS:
3.66
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
AWAY WIN:
54%
AVR. ODDS:
3.52
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
EXPERT TIPS FOR THIS MATCH
Given the historical results of these teams, it is most likely that at least 2 goals will be scored in this match. Regardless of the low odds, I bet you might want to form a multi bet with this over 1.5 Prediction for Senica vs Liptovsky Mikulas.
The over OR under 1.5 goals tips for this match is therefore clearly, over 1.5 goals. We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a over 1.5 in this Senica vs Liptovsky Mikulas match. The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 85.77% probability for a OVER 1.5 outcome.
The ELO Ratings model came through with a 77.76% probability for the same outccome. The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 65.20% chance for a over 1.5 outcome. This Senica vs Liptovsky Mikulas match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models. Keep reading to find them all.
To find if the Over 1.5 bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied OVER 1.5 bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 1.14 with an implied bookmaker probability of 87.21%.
The calculated Surebet probability for the Over 1.5 outcome for this Senica vs Liptovsky Mikulas match is 76.24%, meaning this bet is not a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may be about to lose expected value by -10.97%. Expected Value, EV(OVER 1.5), for a OVER 1.5 result for this Senica vs Liptovsky Mikulas match is calculated as follows:
Let P(OVER 1.5) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is; P(OVER 1.5) * 100* 1.14 where 1.146 are the decimal odds for this outcome.
Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a OVER 1.5 for Senica vs Liptovsky Mikulas, EV(OVER 1.5) to be 76.24% * 100 * 1.14, which translates to 63.66. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.
OTHER SURE BET PREDICTIONS TODAY
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GG/NG(BTTS) PREDICTION
GG(BTTS):
44%
AVR. ODDS:
1.62
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
NO GOAL:
AVR. ODDS:
56%
2.16
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 1.5:
40%
AVR. ODDS:
1.13
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
UNDER 1.5:
32%
AVR. ODDS:
3.07
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 2.5:
42%
AVR. ODDS:
1.69
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
UNDER 2.5:
AVR. ODDS:
VALUEBET?
58%
1.76
Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 3.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 3.5:
21%
AVR. ODDS:
2.96
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
UNDER 3.5:
78%
AVR. ODDS:
1.31
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
MATCH STATISTICS AND ANALYSIS
SENICA VS LIPTOVSKY MIKULAS PREDICTION HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES
Liptovsky Mikulas and Senica have met 6 times recently since 00-Jan-1900. Below is a breakdown of those matches and the results. Note that these matches will play a big role in the Liptovsky Mikulas vs Senica prediction.
28/08/21 - Liptovsky Mikulas [1 : 2] Senica
SENICA'S LAST 10 MATCHES
Below are Senica's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Senica drew with Zilina (2-2) on 26/11/21
Then Dunajska Streda won against Senica (1-0) on 20/11/21
Senica lost to Zlate Moravce (1-2) on 11-Jun-2021
Not surprisingly Osk Besenova lost to Senica (1-5) on 11-Feb-2021
Trnava won against Senica (2-1) on 29/10/21
Senica lost to Ruzomberok (0-2) on 23/10/21
Then Senica drew with Michalovce (1-1) on 16/10/21
Sered won against Senica (2-1) on 10-Feb-2021
Senica lost to Slovan Bratislava (0-3) on 25/09/21
In the earliest match listed here Nafta Gbely lost to Senica (0-3) on 22/09/21
RECENT MATCHES - AWAY TEAM
Below are Senica's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Liptovsky Mikulas lost to Michalovce (0-1) on 27/11/21
Then Zilina drew with Liptovsky Mikulas (2-2) on 20/11/21
Liptovsky Mikulas lost to Trnava (0-2) on 11-Jul-2021
Not surprisingly Liptovsky Mikulas won against Dunajska Streda (1-0) on 30/10/21
Slovan Bratislava won against Liptovsky Mikulas (4-0) on 24/10/21
Liptovsky Mikulas won against Trencin (2-1) on 15/10/21
Then Dolny Kubin won against Liptovsky Mikulas (3-2) on 10-Jun-2021
Ruzomberok won against Liptovsky Mikulas (4-1) on 10-Feb-2021
Zlate Moravce drew with Liptovsky Mikulas (2-2) on 25/09/21
In the earliest match listed here Liptovsky Mikulas won against Ziar Nad Hronom (5-1) on 18/09/21
SENICA POSITION
Senica is in position 9 with 15 points from 16 matches. They are below Sered who have 19 points and above Zlate Moravce who have 14 points.
Senica have scored 16 goals and conceded 25 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of -9 goals this season.
LIPTOVSKY MIKULAS POSITION
Liptovsky Mikulas is in position 11 with 14 points from 16 matches. They are below Zlate Moravce who have 14 points and above Ziar Nad Hronom who have 9 points.
Liptovsky Mikulas have scored 19 goals and conceded 35 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of -16 goals this season.
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