Spartak Moscow vs Dinamo Moscow Prediction
Spartak Moscow vs Dinamo Moscow Predictionwith match analysis, statistics and betting tips. This detailed prediction accompanies over 3 betting tips for the match. Spartak Moscow vs Dinamo Moscow are playing on �Russia
Spartak Moscow
DATE:
29 May 2022 at 17:00:00
Dinamo Moscow
COUNTRY:
Russia
LEAGUE
Russian Cup
TIME:
5:00 PM
1X2 PREDICTION
HOME WIN:
36%
AVR. ODDS:
2.86
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
DRAW:
25%
AVR. ODDS:
3.21
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
AWAY WIN:
39%
AVR. ODDS:
2.51
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
EXPERT TIPS FOR THIS MATCH
HOME WIN TIPS
After analysing all the data and compiling and comparing expert opinions on this Spartak Moscow vs Dinamo Moscow match, we are well convinced that Spartak Moscow is in better form, better motivated and has proven in the past their ability to dominate this game against Dinamo Moscow.
The surebet prediction for this game is therefore a home win. Note that there might be even better tips you can bet on today if you can be bold enough to subscribe for VIP tips. Besides, you might want to check out the GG/NG tips given their ability to increase betting profits for many punters.
We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a home win in this Spartak Moscow vs Dinamo Moscow match.
The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 40.10% probability for a Home Win outcome. The ELO Ratings model came through with a 43.11% probability for the same outccome. The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 44.69% chance for a home win outcome. This Spartak Moscow vs Dinamo Moscow match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models. Keep reading to find them all.
To find if the Home Win bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied Home Win bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 2.4 with an implied bookmaker probability of 41.67%.
The calculated Surebet probability for the Home Win outcome for this Spartak Moscow vs Dinamo Moscow match is 42.63%, meaning this bet is a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may gain expected value by 0.97%.
Expected Value, EV(Home Win), for a Home Win result for this Spartak Moscow vs Dinamo Moscow match is calculated as follows: Let P(Home Win) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet.
Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is; P(Home Win) * 100* 2.4 where 2.4 are the decimal odds for this outcome. Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a Home Win for Spartak Moscow vs Dinamo Moscow, EV(Home Win) to be 42.63% * 100 * 2.4, which translates to 44.95.
This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically. DRAW TIPS AWAY WIN TIPS GG TIPS NG TIPS OVER 1.5 TIPS Given the historical results of these teams, it is most likely that at least 2 goals will be scored in this match.
Regardless of the low odds, I bet you might want to form a multi bet with this over 1.5 Prediction for Spartak Moscow vs Dinamo Moscow. The over OR under 1.5 goals tips for this match is therefore clearly, over 1.5 goals. We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a over 1.5 in this Spartak Moscow vs Dinamo Moscow match.
The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 62.49% probability for a OVER 1.5 outcome. The ELO Ratings model came through with a 79.77% probability for the same outccome. The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 88.88% chance for a over 1.5 outcome.
This Spartak Moscow vs Dinamo Moscow match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models. Keep reading to find them all. To find if the Over 1.5 bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied OVER 1.5 bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same.
The odds for this outcome are averagely 1.093 with an implied bookmaker probability of 91.46%. The calculated Surebet probability for the Over 1.5 outcome for this Spartak Moscow vs Dinamo Moscow match is 77.04%, meaning this bet is not a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may be about to lose expected value by -14.42%.
Expected Value, EV(OVER 1.5), for a OVER 1.5 result for this Spartak Moscow vs Dinamo Moscow match is calculated as follows: Let P(OVER 1.5) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is;
P(OVER 1.5) * 100* 1.093 where 1.09 are the decimal odds for this outcome.
Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a OVER 1.5 for Spartak Moscow vs Dinamo Moscow, EV(OVER 1.5) to be 77.04% * 100 * 1.09, which translates to 61.27. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.
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GG/NG(BTTS) PREDICTION
GG(BTTS):
58%
AVR. ODDS:
1.8
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
NO GOAL:
AVR. ODDS:
42%
1.9
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 1.5:
40%
AVR. ODDS:
1.36
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
UNDER 1.5:
23%
AVR. ODDS:
3.71
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 2.5:
55%
AVR. ODDS:
2.04
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
UNDER 2.5:
AVR. ODDS:
VALUEBET?
45%
1.76
Not a Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 3.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 3.5:
34%
AVR. ODDS:
3.58
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
UNDER 3.5:
66%
AVR. ODDS:
1.31
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
MATCH STATISTICS AND ANALYSIS
SPARTAK MOSCOW VS DINAMO MOSCOW PREDICTION HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES
0
SPARTAK MOSCOW'S LAST 10 MATCHES
BARCELONA SC LAST 10 MATCHES
Below are Barcelona Sc's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Wanderers drew with Barcelona (0-0) on 26/05/22
Then Aucas won against Barcelona (2-1) on 23/05/22
Metropolitanos drew with Barcelona (2-2) on 20/05/22
Not surprisingly Barcelona drew with Cuenca (1-1) on 16/05/22
Barcelona drew with Emelec (1-1) on 05-Dec-2022
Guayaquil City lost to Barcelona (1-4) on 05-Sep-2022
Then Barcelona drew with Lanus (1-1) on 05-May-2022
Barcelona won against Metropolitanos (1-0) on 29/04/22
Macara lost to Barcelona (0-1) on 25/04/22
In the earliest match listed here Barcelona lost to Gualaceo (0-1) on 21/04/22
RECENT MATCHES - AWAY TEAM
BARCELONA SC LAST 10 MATCHES
Below are Barcelona Sc's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Cumbaya FC won against 9 de Octubre FC (3-2) on 21/05/22
Then Uni Catolica won against Cumbaya FC (1-0) on 14/05/22
Aucas won against Cumbaya FC (1-0) on 05-Aug-2022
Not surprisingly Cumbaya FC lost to Cuenca (0-1) on 05-Feb-2022
Guayaquil City won against Cumbaya FC (4-1) on 26/04/22
Cumbaya FC drew with Emelec (1-1) on 22/04/22
Then Delfin drew with Cumbaya FC (1-1) on 16/04/22
Cumbaya FC lost to LDU Quito (0-2) on 04-Oct-2022
Macara drew with Cumbaya FC (0-0) on 04-May-2022
In the earliest match listed here Cumbaya FC won against Tecnico Uni (2-0) on 19/03/22
SPARTAK MOSCOW POSITION
BARCELONA SC'S POSITION
Barcelona is in position 1 with 27 points from 14 matches. They are below who have points and above Uni Catolica who have 26 points.
Barcelona Sc have scored 20 goals and conceded 11 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of 9 goals this season.
DINAMO MOSCOW POSITION
CUMBAYA FC'S POSITION
Cumbaya FC is in position 14 with 13 points from 14 matches. They are below Macara who have 13 points and above Tecnico Uni who have 9 points.
Cumbaya Fc have scored 12 goals and conceded 19 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of -7 goals this season.
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