Zemplin Michalovce vs Ruzomberok Sure prediction - GG/NG
Zemplin Michalovce vs Ruzomberok prediction. This detailed prediction accompanies over 3 betting tips for the match. Zemplin Michalovce vs Ruzomberok are playing on 04-Dec-21
Zemplin Michalovce
DATE:
4 December 2021 at 17:00:00
Ruzomberok
COUNTRY:
Slovakia
LEAGUE
Superliga
TIME:
5:00 PM
1X2 PREDICTION
HOME WIN:
26%
AVR. ODDS:
2.87
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
DRAW:
25%
AVR. ODDS:
3.46
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
AWAY WIN:
49%
AVR. ODDS:
2.31
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
EXPERT TIPS FOR THIS MATCH
After analysing all the data and compiling and comparing expert opinions on this Zemplin Michalovce vs Ruzomberok match, we are well convinced that Zemplin Michalovce is in better form, better motivated and has proven in the past their ability to dominate this game against Ruzomberok.
The surebet prediction for this game is therefore a home win. Note that there might be even better tips you can bet on today if you can be bold enough to subscribe for VIP tips. Besides, you might want to check out the GG/NG tips given their ability to increase betting profits for many punters.
We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a home win in this Zemplin Michalovce vs Ruzomberok match. The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 52.60% probability for a Home Win outcome. The ELO Ratings model came through with a 46.94% probability for the same outccome. The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 41.25% chance for a home win outcome.
This Zemplin Michalovce vs Ruzomberok match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models. Keep reading to find them all.
To find if the Home Win bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied Home Win bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 1.24 with an implied bookmaker probability of 80.65%. The calculated Surebet probability for the Home Win outcome for this Zemplin Michalovce vs Ruzomberok match is 46.93%, meaning this bet is not a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may be about to lose expected value by -33.72%Expected Value, EV(Home Win), for a Home Win result for this Zemplin Michalovce vs Ruzomberok match is calculated as follows:
Let P(Home Win) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is; P(Home Win) * 100* 1.24 where 1.24 are the decimal odds for this outcome. Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a Home Win for Zemplin Michalovce vs Ruzomberok, EV(Home Win) to be 46.93% * 100 * 1.24, which translates to 5.11. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.
Historical data, H2H matches and results from similar and related past matches, Surebet GG prediction systems have all agreed that both teams will be able to score in this match.
Both Zemplin Michalovce and Ruzomberok have good striking and have equally vulnerable defenses. I do not forsee a NG outcome for this game. The GG rediction for this game is both teams to score at leat one goal in this game.
We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a gg in this Zemplin Michalovce vs Ruzomberok match. The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 65.97% probability for a GG outcome. The ELO Ratings model came through with a 66.96% probability for the same outccome. The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 67.24% chance for a gg outcome. This Zemplin Michalovce vs Ruzomberok match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models.
Keep reading to find them all. To find if the Gg bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied GG bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 2.09 with an implied bookmaker probability of 47.85%.
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GG/NG(BTTS) PREDICTION
GG(BTTS):
51%
AVR. ODDS:
1.68
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
NO GOAL:
AVR. ODDS:
49%
2.06
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 1.5:
40%
AVR. ODDS:
1.22
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
UNDER 1.5:
27%
AVR. ODDS:
3.33
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 2.5:
48%
AVR. ODDS:
1.83
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
UNDER 2.5:
AVR. ODDS:
VALUEBET?
52%
1.76
Not a Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 3.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 3.5:
26%
AVR. ODDS:
3.21
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
UNDER 3.5:
74%
AVR. ODDS:
1.31
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
MATCH STATISTICS AND ANALYSIS
ZEMPLIN MICHALOVCE VS RUZOMBEROK PREDICTION HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES
Ruzomberok and Michalovce have met 6 times recently since 14/07/20. Below is a breakdown of those matches and the results. Note that these matches will play a big role in the Ruzomberok vs Michalovce prediction.
28/08/21 - Ruzomberok [0 : 0] Michalovce
05-Jan-2021 - Michalovce [2 : 1] Ruzomberok
20/03/21 - Ruzomberok [2 : 0] Michalovce
16/12/20 - Michalovce [4 : 3] Ruzomberok
19/09/20 - Ruzomberok [4 : 0] Michalovce
14/07/20 - Ruzomberok [1 : 0] Michalovce
ZEMPLIN MICHALOVCE'S LAST 10 MATCHES
Below are Zemplin Michalovce's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Liptovsky Mikulas lost to Michalovce (0-1) on 27/11/21
Then Michalovce lost to Slovan Bratislava (1-2) on 21/11/21
Komarno won against Michalovce (2-1) on 11-Oct-2021
Not surprisingly Trencin won against Michalovce (4-2) on 11-May-2021
Michalovce lost to Ziar Nad Hronom (0-2) on 30/10/21
Dunajska Streda won against Michalovce (1-0) on 24/10/21
Then Senica drew with Michalovce (1-1) on 16/10/21
Michalovce won against Zilina (1-0) on 10-Feb-2021
Sered lost to Michalovce (0-1) on 25/09/21
In the earliest match listed here Michalovce won against Zlate Moravce (2-1) on 18/09/21
RECENT MATCHES - AWAY TEAM
Below are Zemplin Michalovce's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Trnava lost to Ruzomberok (0-3) on 28/11/21
Then Ruzomberok won against Trencin (3-0) on 19/11/21
Slovan Bratislava won against Ruzomberok (1-0) on 11-Jul-2021
Not surprisingly Ruzomberok won against Sered (3-1) on 30/10/21
Ruzomberok won against Odeva Lipany (1-0) on 27/10/21
Senica lost to Ruzomberok (0-2) on 23/10/21
Then Ziar Nad Hronom drew with Ruzomberok (2-2) on 16/10/21
Ruzomberok won against Liptovsky Mikulas (4-1) on 10-Feb-2021
Zilina lost to Ruzomberok (0-2) on 25/09/21
In the earliest match listed here Ruzomberok won against Slovan Bratislava (1-0) on 22/09/21
ZEMPLIN MICHALOVCE POSITION
Michalovce is in position 7 with 20 points from 16 matches. They are below Trencin who have 20 points and above Sered who have 19 points.
Zemplin Michalovce have scored 18 goals and conceded 22 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of -4 goals this season.
RUZOMBEROK POSITION
Ruzomberok is in position 3 with 30 points from 16 matches. They are below Trnava who have 33 points and above Dunajska Streda who have 27 points.
Ruzomberok have scored 27 goals and conceded 12 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of 15 goals this season.
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