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Ahi Nazareth vs Bnei Yehuda Prediction

Ahi Nazareth vs Bnei Yehuda Prediction with match analysis, statistics and betting tips. This detailed prediction accompanies over 3 betting tips for the match. Ahi Nazareth vs Bnei Yehuda are playing in Israel.

Ahi Nazareth

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DATE:

7 March 2022 at 20:00:00

Bnei Yehuda

COUNTRY:

Israel

LEAGUE

National League

TIME:

8:00 PM

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1X2 PREDICTION

HOME WIN:

26%

AVR. ODDS:

2.2

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

DRAW:

32%

AVR. ODDS:

3

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

AWAY WIN:

42%

AVR. ODDS:

3.1

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

EXPERT TIPS FOR THIS MATCH

Bnei Yehuda is expected to outperform Ahi Nazareth in this match. Home advantage may not help Ahi Nazareth in this game. With odds of 1.87 you stand to win a fairly good amount from this tip. This is the best sure bet prediction for this match. Note that you should also consider other betting markets other than 1X2 predictions or bets.


Also check out the correct score prediction for this game.


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Asian handicaps and European handicaps, for instance, can make you better profits from a match like this. We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a away win in this Ahi Nazareth vs Bnei Yehuda match. The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 68.80% probability for a Away Win outcome.


The ELO Ratings model came through with a 61.89% probability for the same outccome. The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 53.60% chance for a away win outcome. This Ahi Nazareth vs Bnei Yehuda match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models.


Keep reading to find them all. To find if the Away Win bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied Away Win bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 1.87 with an implied bookmaker probability of 53.48%.


The calculated Surebet probability for the Away Win outcome for this Ahi Nazareth vs Bnei Yehuda match is 61.43%, meaning this bet is a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may gain expected value by 7.95%. Expected Value, EV(Away Win), for a Away Win result for this Ahi Nazareth vs Bnei Yehuda match is calculated as follows: Let P(Away Win) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet.


Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is; P(Away Win) * 100* 1.87 where 1.87 are the decimal odds for this outcome. Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a Away Win for Ahi Nazareth vs Bnei Yehuda, EV(Away Win) to be 61.43% * 100 * 1.87, which translates to 76.3. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically. NG TIPS Ahi Nazareth and Bnei Yehuda will probably not score each other in this game.


It may be much wiser if you steered clear of a goal-goal prediction and stuck with no-goal (NG prediction). If recent outcomes for mathes played by these teams both at home and away is anything to go by, then both Ahi Nazareth and Bnei Yehuda have no chance scoring each other. This is going to be a low scoring match and one team will walk away goalless. 


The GG/NG tips for this game is therefore No-goal. We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a ng in this Ahi Nazareth vs Bnei Yehuda match. The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 55.53% probability for a NG outcome. The ELO Ratings model came through with a 55.84% probability for the same outccome. The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 57.18% chance for a ng outcome. This Ahi Nazareth vs Bnei Yehuda match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models. Keep reading to find them all. To find if the Ng bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied NG bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 1.73 with an implied bookmaker probability of 57.80%. The calculated Surebet probability for the Ng outcome for this Ahi Nazareth vs Bnei Yehuda match is 56.18%, meaning this bet is not a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may be about to lose expected value by -1.62%. Expected Value, EV(NG), for a NG result for this Ahi Nazareth vs Bnei Yehuda match is calculated as follows:


Let P(NG) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is; P(NG) * 100* 1.73 where 1.73 are the decimal odds for this outcome. Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a NG for Ahi Nazareth vs Bnei Yehuda, EV(NG) to be 56.18% * 100 * 1.73, which translates to 53.37.


This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically. OVER 1.5 TIPS Given the historical results of these teams, it is most likely that at least 2 goals will be scored in this match. Regardless of the low odds, I bet you might want to form a multi bet with this over 1.5 Prediction for Ahi Nazareth vs Bnei Yehuda.


The over OR under 1.5 goals tips for this match is therefore clearly, over 1.5 goals. We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a over 1.5 in this Ahi Nazareth vs Bnei Yehuda match. The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 75.80% probability for a OVER 1.5 outcome.


The ELO Ratings model came through with a 71.75% probability for the same outccome. The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 66.69% chance for a over 1.5 outcome. This Ahi Nazareth vs Bnei Yehuda match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models. Keep reading to find them all.


To find if the Over 1.5 bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied OVER 1.5 bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 1.43 with an implied bookmaker probability of 69.77%. The calculated Surebet probability for the Over 1.5 outcome for this Ahi Nazareth vs Bnei Yehuda match is 71.41%, meaning this bet is a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may gain expected value by 1.64%. Expected Value, EV(OVER 1.5), for a OVER 1.5 result for this Ahi Nazareth vs Bnei Yehuda match is calculated as follows:


Let P(OVER 1.5) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is; P(OVER 1.5) * 100* 1.43 where 1.43 are the decimal odds for this outcome. Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a OVER 1.5 for Ahi Nazareth vs Bnei Yehuda, EV(OVER 1.5) to be 71.41% * 100 * 1.43, which translates to 73.77. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.


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Ahi Nazareth vs Bnei Yehuda Prediction

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GG/NG(BTTS) PREDICTION

GG(BTTS):

34%

AVR. ODDS:

1.9

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

NO GOAL:

AVR. ODDS:

66%

1.8

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 1.5:

40%

AVR. ODDS:

1.5

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

UNDER 1.5:

47%

AVR. ODDS:

4.1

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 2.5:

27%

AVR. ODDS:

2.2

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

UNDER 2.5:

AVR. ODDS:

VALUEBET?

73%

1.5

Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 3.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 3.5:

11%

AVR. ODDS:

3.9

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

UNDER 3.5:

89%

AVR. ODDS:

1.4

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

MATCH STATISTICS AND ANALYSIS

AHI NAZARETH VS BNEI YEHUDA PREDICTION HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES

AHI NAZARETH VS BNEI YEHUDA LATEST HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES
Bnei Yehuda and Nazareth have met 6 times recently since 31/08/09. Below is a breakdown of those matches and the results. Note that these matches will play a big role in the Bnei Yehuda vs Nazareth prediction.
12-Mar-2021 - Bnei Yehuda [0 : 0] Nazareth
18/05/15 - Bnei Yehuda [5 : 1] Nazareth
02-Feb-2015 - Nazareth [1 : 6] Bnei Yehuda
17/10/14 - Bnei Yehuda [4 : 0] Nazareth
01-Sep-2010 - Nazareth [2 : 2] Bnei Yehuda
31/08/09 - Bnei Yehuda [2 : 0] Nazareth

AHI NAZARETH'S LAST 10 MATCHES

AHI NAZARETH LAST 10 MATCHES
Below are Ahi Nazareth's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Maccabi Bney Reine won against Nazareth (2-1) on 25/02/22
Then Nazareth lost to H. Rishon Lezion (0-1) on 18/02/22
Tel Aviv Bat Yam won against Nazareth (1-0) on 15/02/22
Not surprisingly Nazareth lost to Ramat Gan Givatayim (0-4) on 02-Nov-2022
H. Petah Tikva drew with Nazareth (1-1) on 02-Jul-2022
Nazareth won against Hapoel Acre (1-0) on 30/01/22
Then Nir Ramat Hasharon lost to Nazareth (1-2) on 21/01/22
FC Kafr Qasim drew with Nazareth (2-2) on 17/01/22
Nazareth lost to Maccabi Petah Tikva (2-3) on 01-Nov-2022
In the earliest match listed here Nazareth won against Hapoel Umm AL Fahm (2-0) on 01-Jul-2022

RECENT MATCHES - AWAY TEAM

AHI NAZARETH LAST 10 MATCHES
Below are Ahi Nazareth's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Hapoel Haifa won against Bnei Yehuda (1-0) on 03-Feb-2022
Then Bnei Yehuda won against Hapoel Umm AL Fahm (3-2) on 27/02/22
Ness Ziona drew with Bnei Yehuda (2-2) on 21/02/22
Not surprisingly Bnei Yehuda lost to Ra`anana (0-1) on 15/02/22
Hapoel Afula won against Bnei Yehuda (2-1) on 02-Nov-2022
Bnei Yehuda lost to AS Ashdod (0-2) on 02-Jul-2022
Then Bnei Yehuda lost to Hapoel Haifa (0-1) on 02-Jan-2022
Kfar Saba won against Bnei Yehuda (1-0) on 28/01/22
Bnei Yehuda lost to FC Kafr Qasim (0-2) on 21/01/22
In the earliest match listed here Bnei Yehuda drew with Maccabi Bney Reine (0-0) on 17/01/22

AHI NAZARETH POSITION

AHI NAZARETH'S POSITION
Nazareth is in position 15 with 32 points from 27 matches. They are below Ra`anana who have 33 points and above Tel Aviv Bat Yam who have 24 points.
Ahi Nazareth have scored 26 goals and conceded 37 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of -11 goals this season.

BNEI YEHUDA POSITION

BNEI YEHUDA'S POSITION
Bnei Yehuda is in position 9 with 35 points from 27 matches. They are below H. Petah Tikva who have 37 points and above Hapoel Acre who have 34 points.
Bnei Yehuda have scored 33 goals and conceded 29 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of 4 goals this season.

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