AWAY WIN TIPS
Akhmat Grozny is expected to outperform Nizhny Novgorod in this match. Home advantage may not help Nizhny Novgorod in this game. With odds of 2.23 you stand to win a fairly good amount from this tip. This is the best sure bet prediction for this match.

Note that you should also consider other betting markets other than 1X2 predictions or bets. Asian handicaps and European handicaps, for instance, can make you better profits from a match like this.


To find if the Away Win bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied Away Win bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 2.23 with an implied bookmaker probability of 44.84%.

The calculated Surebet probability for the Away Win outcome for this Nizhny Novgorod vs Akhmat Grozny match is 43.42%, meaning this bet is not a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may be about to lose expected value by -1.42%.
Expected Value, EV(Away Win), for a Away Win result for this Nizhny Novgorod vs Akhmat Grozny match is calculated as follows:
Let P(Away Win) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is;
P(Away Win) * 100* 2.23 where 2.23 are the decimal odds for this outcome.

Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a Away Win for Nizhny Novgorod vs Akhmat Grozny, EV(Away Win) to be 43.42% * 100 * 2.23, which translates to 40.24. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.


OVER 1.5 TIPS
Given the historical results of these teams, it is most likely that at least 2 goals will be scored in this match. Regardless of the low odds, I bet you might want to form a multi bet with this over 1.5 Prediction for Nizhny Novgorod vs Akhmat Grozny. The over OR under 1.5 goals tips for this match is therefore clearly, over 1.5 goals.


To find if the Over 1.5 bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied OVER 1.5 bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 1.24666666666667 with an implied bookmaker probability of 80.21%.

The calculated Surebet probability for the Over 1.5 outcome for this Nizhny Novgorod vs Akhmat Grozny match is 72.05%, meaning this bet is not a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may be about to lose expected value by -8.16%.
Expected Value, EV(OVER 1.5), for a OVER 1.5 result for this Nizhny Novgorod vs Akhmat Grozny match is calculated as follows:
Let P(OVER 1.5) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is;
P(OVER 1.5) * 100* 1.24666666666667 where 1.24666666666667 are the decimal odds for this outcome.

Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a OVER 1.5 for Nizhny Novgorod vs Akhmat Grozny, EV(OVER 1.5) to be 72.05% * 100 * 1.24, which translates to 61.87. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.