SANTIAGO WANDERERS vs COLO COLO OVER 1.5 SUREBET PREDICTION
A detailed Santiago Wanderers vs Colo Colo OVER 1.5 sure prediction with expert opinion, H2H matches, statistical analysis for this Chile, Primera Divisionmatch on 29-Jul-2021
Santiago Wanderers
DATE:
28 July 2021 at 22:00:00
Colo Colo
COUNTRY:
Chile
LEAGUE
Primera Division
TIME:
10:00 PM
1X2 PREDICTION
HOME WIN:
66%
AVR. ODDS:
3.93
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
DRAW:
21%
AVR. ODDS:
3.26
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
AWAY WIN:
13%
AVR. ODDS:
1.84
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
EXPERT TIPS FOR THIS MATCH
The odds for Over 1.5 outcome on major betting sites are, on average, 1.33333333333333 with an implied bookmaker probability of 75.00%. Considering that the surebet probability for the OVER 1.5 outcome for this Santiago Wanderers vs Colo Colo match is 69.88%, then this bet is not a value bet.If you play this bet then you lose expected value by -5.12%.
The expected value for a OVER 1.5 prediction is denoted as EV(OVER 1.5) and is calculated by multiplying the amount of stake by the odds and again by the probability of winning then subtracting the result of multiplying the stake and the probability of losing. By using 100 as your sample stake, by calculating the EV as explained, we get the expected value for a OVER 1.5 in this Santiago Wanderers vs Colo Colo match is 63.06 which is positive and therefore a good bet.All 3 major Surebet prediction models have indicated a possible over 1.5 in this Santiago Wanderers vs Colo Colo match.
Poisson prediction model shows there is a 57.40% chance for the outcome while the ELO Ratings model shows a 71.25% chance for the same. Finally, 80.99% of the Monte Carlo simulation runs for this match resulted in over 1.5.
This pretty much consolidates the prediction of a over 1.5 in this game. Given the historical matches of these teams, it is almost clear that at least 2 goals will be scored in this match. Regardless of the low odds, I bet you might want to form a multi bet with this over 1.5 Prediction for Santiago Wanderers vs Colo Colo. The over/under 1.5 goals tips for this match is therefore clearly, over 1.5 goals.
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GG/NG(BTTS) PREDICTION
GG(BTTS):
38%
AVR. ODDS:
1.89
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
NO GOAL:
AVR. ODDS:
62%
1.81
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 1.5:
40%
AVR. ODDS:
1.33
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
UNDER 1.5:
30%
AVR. ODDS:
3.09
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 2.5:
45%
AVR. ODDS:
2.04
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
UNDER 2.5:
AVR. ODDS:
VALUEBET?
55%
1.7
Not a Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 3.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 3.5:
25%
AVR. ODDS:
3.58
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
UNDER 3.5:
75%
AVR. ODDS:
1.27
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
MATCH STATISTICS AND ANALYSIS
SANTIAGO WANDERERS VS COLO COLO LATEST HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES
Santiago Wanderers and Colo-Colo have met 6 times recently since 24/09/16. Below is a breakdown of those matches and the results. Note that these matches will play a big role in the Santiago Wanderers vs Colo-Colo prediction.
01-Jun-2021 - Santiago Wanderers [3 : 0] Colo-Colo
29/08/20 - Colo-Colo [2 : 3] Santiago Wanderers
27/01/18 - Colo-Colo [3 : 0] Santiago Wanderers
15/10/17 - Colo-Colo [2 : 0] Santiago Wanderers
03-Nov-2017 - Santiago Wanderers [0 : 2] Colo-Colo
24/09/16 - Colo-Colo [1 : 1] Santiago Wanderers
SANTIAGO WANDERERS LAST 10 MATCHES
Below are Santiago Wanderers's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Palestino won against Santiago Wanderers (2-0) on 25/07/21
Then Antofagasta won against Santiago Wanderers (1-0) on 16/07/21
D. Concepcion drew with Santiago Wanderers (1-1) on 28/06/21
Not surprisingly Santiago Wanderers lost to D. Concepcion (0-1) on 24/06/21
Santiago Wanderers lost to Universidad Catolica (0-1) on 06-May-2021
Everton won against Santiago Wanderers (1-0) on 30/05/21
Then Santiago Wanderers drew with OHiggins (0-0) on 23/05/21
Santiago Wanderers lost to Melipilla (0-3) on 05-Sep-2021
U de Chile won against Santiago Wanderers (1-0) on 05-Apr-2021
In the earliest match listed here Santiago Wanderers lost to Nublense (1-2) on 25/04/21
RECENT MATCHES - AWAY TEAM
Below are Colo Colo's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Colo-Colo drew with Audax (1-1) on 25/07/21
Universidad Catolica drew with Colo-Colo (0-0) on 17/07/21
Then Colo-Colo drew with Palestino (1-1) on 07-Dec-2021
Palestino lost to Colo-Colo (2-3) on 07-Aug-2021
Colo-Colo won against Deportes La Serena (4-0) on 07-May-2021
Then Deportes La Serena lost to Colo-Colo (1-3) on 07-Jan-2021
Colo-Colo won against Deportes La Serena (2-0) on 06-Jul-2021
Huachipato lost to Colo-Colo (0-2) on 23/05/21
Once more Colo-Colo lost to Palestino (1-2) on 05-Sep-2021
Nublense won against Colo-Colo (5-1) on 05-Feb-2021
SANTIAGO WANDERERS'S POSITION
Colo-Colo is in position 7 with 18 points from 11 matches. They are below U de Chile who have 18 points and above Everton who have 17 points.
have scored 13 goals and conceded 11 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of 2 goals this season.
COLO COLO'S POSITION
Santiago Wanderers is in position 17 with 1 points from 11 matches. They are below Curico who have 6 points and above who have points.
Colo Colo have scored 4 goals and conceded 18 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of -14 goals this season.
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