CS HEREDIANO vs CS CARTAGINES PREDICTION
A detailed Cs Herediano vs Cs Cartagines sure prediction with expert opinion, H2H matches, statistical analysis for this Costa Rica, Primera Division, Campeonato Invierno match on 29-Aug-2021
Cs Herediano
DATE:
28 August 2021 at 02:00:00
Cs Cartagines
COUNTRY:
Costa Rica
LEAGUE
Primera Division, Campeonato Invierno
TIME:
2:00 AM
1X2 PREDICTION
HOME WIN:
42%
AVR. ODDS:
2.05
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
DRAW:
22%
AVR. ODDS:
3.36
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
AWAY WIN:
35%
AVR. ODDS:
3.12
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
EXPERT TIPS FOR THIS MATCH
GG PREDICTION - BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
Historical data, H2H matches and results from similar and related past matches, Surebet GG prediction systems have all agreed that both teams will be able to score in this match. Both Cs Herediano and Cs Cartagines have good striking and have equally vulnerable defenses.
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I do not forsee a NG outcome for this game. The GG rediction for this game is both teams to score at leat one goal in this game. We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a gg in this Cs Herediano vs Cs Cartagines match.
The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 73.66% probability for a GG outcome. The ELO Ratings model came through with a 68.24% probability for the same outccome. The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 61.07% chance for a gg outcome.
This Cs Herediano vs Cs Cartagines match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models. Keep reading to find them all. To find if the Gg bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied GG bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same.
The odds for this outcome are averagely 1.68 with an implied bookmaker probability of 59.52%.
The calculated Surebet probability for the Gg outcome for this Cs Herediano vs Cs Cartagines match is 67.66%, meaning this bet is a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may gain expected value by 8.13%Expected Value, EV(GG), for a GG result for this Cs Herediano vs Cs Cartagines match is calculated as follows: Let P(GG) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet.
Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is; P(GG) * 100* 1.68 where 1.68 are the decimal odds for this outcome. Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a GG for Cs Herediano vs Cs Cartagines, EV(GG) to be 67.66% * 100 * 1.68, which translates to 81.32. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.
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GG/NG(BTTS) PREDICTION
GG(BTTS):
68%
AVR. ODDS:
1.68
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
NO GOAL:
AVR. ODDS:
32%
2.06
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 1.5:
40%
AVR. ODDS:
1.18
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
UNDER 1.5:
14%
AVR. ODDS:
3.45
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 2.5:
68%
AVR. ODDS:
1.81
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
UNDER 2.5:
AVR. ODDS:
VALUEBET?
32%
1.9
Not a Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 3.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 3.5:
46%
AVR. ODDS:
3.18
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
UNDER 3.5:
53%
AVR. ODDS:
1.42
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
MATCH STATISTICS AND ANALYSIS
CS HEREDIANO VS CS CARTAGINES LATEST HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES
Herediano and Cartagines have met 6 times recently since 10-Jul-2019. Below is a breakdown of those matches and the results. Note that these matches will play a big role in the Herediano vs Cartagines prediction.
18/04/21 - Herediano [1 : 2] Cartagines
02-Jul-2021 - Cartagines [1 : 2] Herediano
18/11/20 - Cartagines [0 : 1] Herediano
06-Apr-2020 - Cartagines [1 : 4] Herediano
13/02/20 - Herediano [3 : 0] Cartagines
10-Jul-2019 - Herediano [3 : 0] Cartagines
CS HEREDIANO LAST 10 MATCHES
Below are Cs Herediano's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Santos won against Herediano (2-1) on 26/08/21
Then Herediano won against San Carlos (2-0) on 18/08/21
LD Alajuelense won against Herediano (4-1) on 15/08/21
Not surprisingly Herediano won against Zeledon (1-0) on 08-Dec-2021
Dep. Saprissa lost to Herediano (2-3) on 08-Sep-2021
Adr Jicaral won against Herediano (3-2) on 08-Jan-2021
Then Herediano lost to Guadalupe (0-1) on 29/07/21
Herediano lost to Dep. Saprissa (0-1) on 27/05/21
Dep. Saprissa won against Herediano (3-2) on 24/05/21
In the earliest match listed here Santos drew with Herediano (0-0) on 21/05/21
RECENT MATCHES - AWAY TEAM
Below are Cs Cartagines's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Cartagines lost to Guadalupe (0-1) on 25/08/21
Cartagines won against Dep. Saprissa (1-0) on 18/08/21
Then Sporting won against Cartagines (4-1) on 15/08/21
Cartagines won against San Carlos (5-1) on 08-Nov-2021
LD Alajuelense lost to Cartagines (2-3) on 08-Aug-2021
Then Cartagines drew with Guanacasteca (1-1) on 08-Jan-2021
Municipal Grecia won against Cartagines (4-0) on 28/07/21
Adr Jicaral won against Cartagines (1-0) on 14/05/21
Once more Cartagines won against Municipal Grecia (2-0) on 05-Jan-2021
LD Alajuelense won against Cartagines (4-1) on 25/04/21
CS HEREDIANO'S POSITION
Herediano is in position 8 with 9 points from 7 matches. They are below who have points and above Adr Jicaral who have 7 points.
have scored 10 goals and conceded 12 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of -2 goals this season.
CS CARTAGINES'S POSITION
Cartagines is in position 7 with 10 points from 7 matches. They are below Municipal Grecia who have 10 points and above who have points.
Cs Cartagines have scored 11 goals and conceded 13 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of -2 goals this season.
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