FC Fredericia vs Aalborg Prediction
FC Fredericia vs Aalborg Predictionwith match analysis, statistics and betting tips. This detailed prediction accompanies over 3 betting tips for the match. FC Fredericia vs Aalborg are playing on 19-Sep-24.
FC Fredericia
Aalborg
DATE:
TIME:
19:00�
COUNTRY:
Denmark
LEAGUE
DBU Pokalen
1X2 PREDICTION
HOME WIN:
0.333
AVR. ODDS:
3.05
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
DRAW:
0.228
AVR. ODDS:
3.7
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
AWAY WIN:
0.433
AVR. ODDS:
1.9
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
EXPERT TIPS FOR THIS MATCH
AWAY WIN TIPS
Aalborg is expected to outperform FC Fredericia in this match. Home advantage may not help FC Fredericia in this game. With odds of 1.9 you stand to win a fairly good amount from this tip. This is the best sure bet prediction for this match.
Note that you should also consider other betting markets other than 1X2 predictions or bets. Asian handicaps and European handicaps, for instance, can make you better profits from a match like this.
To find if the Away Win bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied Away Win bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 1.9 with an implied bookmaker probability of 52.63%.
The calculated Surebet probability for the Away Win outcome for this FC Fredericia vs Aalborg match is 43.32%, meaning this bet is not a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may be about to lose expected value by -9.31%.
Expected Value, EV(Away Win), for a Away Win result for this FC Fredericia vs Aalborg match is calculated as follows:
Let P(Away Win) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is;
P(Away Win) * 100* 1.9 where 1.9 are the decimal odds for this outcome.
Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a Away Win for FC Fredericia vs Aalborg, EV(Away Win) to be 43.32% * 100 * 1.9, which translates to 25.63. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.
GG TIPS
Historical data, H2H matches and results from similar and related past matches, Surebet GG prediction systems have all agreed that both teams will be able to score in this match. Both FC Fredericia and Aalborg have good striking and have equally vulnerable defenses. I do not forsee a NG outcome for this game. The GG rediction for this game is both teams to score at leat one goal in this game.
To find if the Gg bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied GG bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 1.48 with an implied bookmaker probability of 67.57%.
The calculated Surebet probability for the Gg outcome for this FC Fredericia vs Aalborg match is 64.55%, meaning this bet is not a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may be about to lose expected value by -3.02%.
Expected Value, EV(GG), for a GG result for this FC Fredericia vs Aalborg match is calculated as follows:
Let P(GG) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is;
P(GG) * 100* 1.48 where 1.48 are the decimal odds for this outcome.
Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a GG for FC Fredericia vs Aalborg, EV(GG) to be 64.55% * 100 * 1.48, which translates to 60.07. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.
OVER 1.5 TIPS
Given the historical results of these teams, it is most likely that at least 2 goals will be scored in this match. Regardless of the low odds, I bet you might want to form a multi bet with this over 1.5 Prediction for FC Fredericia vs Aalborg. The over OR under 1.5 goals tips for this match is therefore clearly, over 1.5 goals.
To find if the Over 1.5 bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied OVER 1.5 bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 1 with an implied bookmaker probability of 100.00%.
The calculated Surebet probability for the Over 1.5 outcome for this FC Fredericia vs Aalborg match is 83.58%, meaning this bet is not a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may be about to lose expected value by -16.42%.
Expected Value, EV(OVER 1.5), for a OVER 1.5 result for this FC Fredericia vs Aalborg match is calculated as follows:
Let P(OVER 1.5) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is;
P(OVER 1.5) * 100* 1 where 1 are the decimal odds for this outcome.
Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a OVER 1.5 for FC Fredericia vs Aalborg, EV(OVER 1.5) to be 83.58% * 100 * 1, which translates to 67.16. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.
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GG/NG(BTTS) PREDICTION
GG(BTTS):
0.645
AVR. ODDS:
1.48
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
NO GOAL:
0.349
AVR. ODDS:
2.42
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 1.5:
40%
AVR. ODDS:
1
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
UNDER 1.5:
0.158
AVR. ODDS:
2.73
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 2.5:
0.636
AVR. ODDS:
1.5
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
UNDER 2.5:
0.358
AVR. ODDS:
2.37
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 3.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 3.5:
0.416
AVR. ODDS:
2.63
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
UNDER 3.5:
0.578
AVR. ODDS:
1.77
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
MATCH STATISTICS AND ANALYSIS
FC FREDERICIA VS AALBORG PREDICTION HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES
Aalborg [1:0] Fredericia
Fredericia [2:1] Aalborg
Fredericia [2:3] Aalborg
Aalborg [2:3] Fredericia
Aalborg [4:0] Fredericia
Aalborg [2:2] Fredericia
Fredericia [3:1] Aalborg
Fredericia [0:1] Aalborg
Fredericia [4:2] Aalborg
FC FREDERICIA'S LAST 10 MATCHES
Below are Fredericia's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Fredericia - Hobro [1:1]
B 1909 - Fredericia [0:4]
HB Koege - Fredericia [3:4]
Fredericia - Hvidovre [0:1]
Odense - Fredericia [3:0]
Fredericia - Roskilde [3:2]
Fredericia - Esbjerg [4:0]
Ringkoebing - Fredericia [1:9]
Kolding IF - Fredericia [1:0]
Fredericia - Vendsyssel [4:2]
Horsens - Fredericia [1:3]
Vejle - Fredericia [3:0]
Fredericia - Hobro [0:1]
Vendsyssel - Fredericia [1:4]
Aalborg - Fredericia [1:0]
Fredericia - Kolding IF [0:1]
Soenderjyske - Fredericia [2:1]
Fredericia - Aalborg [2:1]
Hobro - Fredericia [1:2]
Fredericia - Soenderjyske [0:2]
Fredericia - Silkeborg [2:0]
Kolding IF - Fredericia [4:0]
Fredericia - Vendsyssel [3:1]
Silkeborg - Fredericia [6:1]
Fredericia - HB Koege [2:2]
Naestved - Fredericia [0:0]
Fredericia - Aalborg [2:3]
Hobro - Fredericia [0:2]
Fredericia - Soenderjyske [0:1]
Ham-Kam - Fredericia [0:1]
RECENT MATCHES - AWAY TEAM
Below are Aalborg's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Aalborg - Lyngby [2:1]
Morud - Aalborg [0:7]
Randers - Aalborg [1:0]
Aalborg - Aarhus [0:4]
Aalborg - Broendby [0:4]
Viborg - Aalborg [2:3]
Midtjylland - Aalborg [2:0]
Aalborg - Silkeborg [2:1]
Nordsjaelland - Aalborg [3:0]
Aalborg - Viborg [1:4]
Odense - Aalborg [1:3]
Hobro - Aalborg [1:1]
Aalborg - Vendsyssel [4:1]
Kolding IF - Aalborg [2:3]
Aalborg - Fredericia [1:0]
Soenderjyske - Aalborg [1:0]
Aalborg - Hobro [2:3]
Fredericia - Aalborg [2:1]
Aalborg - Kolding IF [3:3]
Hobro - Aalborg [2:1]
Vendsyssel - Aalborg [2:2]
Aalborg - Soenderjyske [1:0]
Hillerod - Aalborg [1:2]
Aalborg - Vendsyssel [4:3]
Fredericia - Aalborg [2:3]
Aalborg - Soenderjyske [2:2]
Aalborg - Ham-Kam [2:1]
Aalborg - Dallas [1:3]
Midtjylland - Aalborg [1:4]
HB Koege - Aalborg [1:2]
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