Istra 1961 vs Nk Slaven Belupo prediction
Istra 1961 vs Nk Slaven Belupo prediction. This detailed prediction accompanies over 3 betting tips for the match. Istra 1961 vs Nk Slaven Belupo are playing on 06-Dec-21
Istra 1961
Nk Slaven Belupo
DATE:
5 December 2021 at 20:00:00
TIME:
8:00 PM
COUNTRY:
Croatia
LEAGUE
1. HNL
1X2 PREDICTION
HOME WIN:
21%
AVR. ODDS:
2.39
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
DRAW:
33%
AVR. ODDS:
3.37
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
AWAY WIN:
45%
AVR. ODDS:
2.82
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
EXPERT TIPS FOR THIS MATCH
After analysing all the data and compiling and comparing expert opinions on this Istra 1961 vs Nk Slaven Belupo match, we are well convinced that Istra 1961 is in better form, better motivated and has proven in the past their ability to dominate this game against Nk Slaven Belupo. The surebet prediction for this game is therefore a home win.
Note that there might be even better tips you can bet on today if you can be bold enough to subscribe for VIP tips. Besides, you might want to check out the GG/NG tips given their ability to increase betting profits for many punters.
We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a home win in this Istra 1961 vs Nk Slaven Belupo match.
The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 64.01% probability for a Home Win outcome. The ELO Ratings model came through with a 65.06% probability for the same outccome. The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 64.57% chance for a home win outcome.
This Istra 1961 vs Nk Slaven Belupo match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models. Keep reading to find them all.
To find if the Home Win bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied Home Win bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 6.15 with an implied bookmaker probability of 16.26%.
The calculated Surebet probability for the Home Win outcome for this Istra 1961 vs Nk Slaven Belupo match is 64.54%, meaning this bet is a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may gain expected value by 48.28%Expected Value, EV(Home Win), for a Home Win result for this Istra 1961 vs Nk Slaven Belupo match is calculated as follows:
Let P(Home Win) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is;
P(Home Win) * 100* 6.15 where 6.15 are the decimal odds for this outcome.
Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a Home Win for Istra 1961 vs Nk Slaven Belupo, EV(Home Win) to be 64.54% * 100 * 6.15, which translates to 361.49. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.
Given the historical results of these teams, it is most likely that at least 2 goals will be scored in this match. Regardless of the low odds, I bet you might want to form a multi bet with this over 1.5 Prediction for Istra 1961 vs Nk Slaven Belupo. The over OR under 1.5 goals tips for this match is therefore clearly, over 1.5 goals.
We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a over 1.5 in this Istra 1961 vs Nk Slaven Belupo match.
The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 74.05% probability for a OVER 1.5 outcome. The ELO Ratings model came through with a 85.91% probability for the same outccome. The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 90.40% chance for a over 1.5 outcome.
This Istra 1961 vs Nk Slaven Belupo match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models. Keep reading to find them all.
To find if the Over 1.5 bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied OVER 1.5 bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 1.27333333333333 with an implied bookmaker probability of 78.53%.
The calculated Surebet probability for the Over 1.5 outcome for this Istra 1961 vs Nk Slaven Belupo match is 83.45%, meaning this bet is a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may gain expected value by 4.92%Expected Value, EV(OVER 1.5), for a OVER 1.5 result for this Istra 1961 vs Nk Slaven Belupo match is calculated as follows:
Let P(OVER 1.5) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is;
P(OVER 1.5) * 100* 1.27333333333333 where 1.27333333333333 are the decimal odds for this outcome.
Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a OVER 1.5 for Istra 1961 vs Nk Slaven Belupo, EV(OVER 1.5) to be 83.45% * 100 * 1.27, which translates to 89.71. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.
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GG/NG(BTTS) PREDICTION
GG(BTTS):
33%
AVR. ODDS:
1.79
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
NO GOAL:
67%
AVR. ODDS:
1.9
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 1.5:
40%
AVR. ODDS:
1.33
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
UNDER 1.5:
48%
AVR. ODDS:
3.62
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 2.5:
28%
AVR. ODDS:
1.99
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
UNDER 2.5:
72%
AVR. ODDS:
1.76
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 3.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 3.5:
13%
AVR. ODDS:
3.49
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
UNDER 3.5:
87%
AVR. ODDS:
1.31
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
MATCH STATISTICS AND ANALYSIS
ISTRA 1961 VS NK SLAVEN BELUPO PREDICTION HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES
15/08/21 - Opole [1 : 2] Nowy Sacz
19/03/21 - Opole [1 : 1] Nowy Sacz
19/09/20 - Nowy Sacz [1 : 2] Opole
16/06/20 - Nowy Sacz [1 : 1] Opole
13/09/19 - Opole [1 : 1] Nowy Sacz
28/11/18 - Nowy Sacz [2 : 0] Opole
ISTRA 1961'S LAST 10 MATCHES
SANDECJA LAST 10 MATCHES
Below are Sandecja's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Nowy Sacz drew with Polkowice (1-1) on 28/11/21
Then Nowy Sacz drew with Widzew Lodz (2-2) on 22/11/21
Nowy Sacz lost to Czestochowa (0-1) on 17/11/21
Not surprisingly Nowy Sacz won against Arka Gdynia (3-1) on 14/11/21
Glogow won against Nowy Sacz (1-0) on 11-Jun-2021
Nowy Sacz drew with Sosnowiec (1-1) on 31/10/21
Then Stomil Olsztyn lost to Nowy Sacz (1-2) on 25/10/21
Bielsko-Bia?a lost to Nowy Sacz (0-1) on 16/10/21
Nowy Sacz lost to Legnica (1-3) on 10-Oct-2021
In the earliest match listed here Resovia lost to Nowy Sacz (0-1) on 10-Feb-2021
RECENT MATCHES - AWAY TEAM
SANDECJA LAST 10 MATCHES
Below are Sandecja's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Opole drew with Bielsko-Bia?a (1-1) on 26/11/21
Then Legnica won against Opole (2-0) on 19/11/21
Resovia drew with Opole (3-3) on 11-Dec-2021
Not surprisingly Opole won against Lodz (3-0) on 11-May-2021
Korona Kielce won against Opole (2-1) on 29/10/21
Opole drew with Jastrzebie (2-2) on 24/10/21
Then Opole won against Czestochowa (1-0) on 20/10/21
Niepo?omice won against Opole (3-0) on 15/10/21
Tychy won against Opole (2-1) on 10-Mar-2021
In the earliest match listed here Opole won against Katowice (4-2) on 25/09/21
ISTRA 1961 POSITION
SANDECJA'S POSITION
Nowy Sacz is in position 5 with 31 points from 19 matches. They are below Korona Kielce who have 32 points and above Tychy who have 30 points.
Sandecja have scored 23 goals and conceded 19 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of 4 goals this season.
NK SLAVEN BELUPO POSITION
ISTRA 1961 BEST PLAYERS
SANDECJA'S BEST PLAYERS
Sure bet prediction, tips and even fixed matches all depend on the form of players. Below are Sandecja's players that have the potential of shaping the predictions and results for this game:
Player - The National Player has scored Goals goals in Matches games and shot FG foul kicks. He has scored Penalties penalties. The midfielder's average goals per match is G/M.
Damir Sovsic - The Croatia National Damir Sovsic has scored 4 goals in 12 games and shot 1 foul kicks. He has scored 1 penalties. The midfielder's average goals per match is 0.33.
Dawid Blanik - The Poland National Dawid Blanik has scored 3 goals in 4 games and shot 1 foul kicks. He has scored 0 penalties. The forward's average goals per match is 0.75.
Michal Walski - The Poland National Michal Walski has scored 3 goals in 12 games and shot 0 foul kicks. He has scored 2 penalties. The forward's average goals per match is 0.25.
Blazej Szczepanek - The Poland National Blazej Szczepanek has scored 3 goals in 12 games and shot 1 foul kicks. He has scored 0 penalties. The midfielder's average goals per match is 0.25.
Damian Chmiel - The Poland National Damian Chmiel has scored 2 goals in 10 games and shot 1 foul kicks. He has scored 0 penalties. The midfielder's average goals per match is 0.2.
NK SLAVEN BELUPO BEST PLAYERS
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