KESHLA FK vs FK SOCHI NG SUREBET PREDICTION
A detailed Keshla Fk vs Fk Sochi NG sure prediction with expert opinion, H2H matches, statistical analysis for this International Clubs, UEFA Europa Conference Leaguematch on 29-Jul-2021
Keshla Fk
DATE:
28 July 2021 at 19:00:00
Fk Sochi
COUNTRY:
International Clubs
LEAGUE
UEFA Europa Conference League
TIME:
7:00 PM
1X2 PREDICTION
HOME WIN:
59%
AVR. ODDS:
4.61
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
DRAW:
23%
AVR. ODDS:
3.91
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
AWAY WIN:
17%
AVR. ODDS:
1.7
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
EXPERT TIPS FOR THIS MATCH
Keshla Fk and Fk Sochi might find it hard to score each other in this game. It may be much wiser if you steered clear of a goal-goal prediction and stuck with no-goal (NG prediction). This is informed by the fact that both Keshla Fk and Fk Sochi have good defenses and at least one of them have demonstrated in the recent past weak defense that may see them goal-less by the end of this duel. All 3 major Surebet prediction models have indicated a possible ng in this Keshla Fk vs Fk Sochi match. Poisson prediction model shows there is a 60.37% chance for the outcome while the ELO Ratings model shows a 54.26% chance for the same. Finally, 50.86% of the Monte Carlo simulation runs for this match resulted in ng. This pretty much consolidates the prediction of a ng in this game.
The odds for Ng outcome on major betting sites are, on average, 1.94 with an implied bookmaker probability of 51.55%. Considering that the surebet probability for the Ng outcome for this Keshla Fk vs Fk Sochi match is 55.16%, then this bet is a value bet. If you play this bet then you you gain expected value by 3.61%The expected value for a NG prediction is denoted as EV(NG) and is calculated by multiplying the amount of stake by the odds and again by the probability of winning then subtracting the result of multiplying the stake and the probability of losing. By using 100 as your sample stake, by calculating the EV as explained, we get the expected value for a NG in this Keshla Fk vs Fk Sochi match is 62.17 which is positive and therefore a good bet.
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GG/NG(BTTS) PREDICTION
GG(BTTS):
45%
AVR. ODDS:
1.77
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
NO GOAL:
AVR. ODDS:
55%
1.94
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 1.5:
40%
AVR. ODDS:
1.16
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
UNDER 1.5:
28%
AVR. ODDS:
3.53
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 2.5:
47%
AVR. ODDS:
1.77
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
UNDER 2.5:
AVR. ODDS:
VALUEBET?
53%
1.94
Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 3.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 3.5:
25%
AVR. ODDS:
3.11
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
UNDER 3.5:
75%
AVR. ODDS:
1.45
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
MATCH STATISTICS AND ANALYSIS
KESHLA FK VS FK SOCHI LATEST HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES
Curently no head to head
KESHLA FK LAST 10 MATCHES
Below are Keshla Fk's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Sochi won against Keshla (3-0) on 22/07/21
Then Keshla won against Sumgayit (2-1) on 24/05/21
Keshla won against Gabala (3-1) on 19/05/21
Not surprisingly Qarabag won against Keshla (2-0) on 14/05/21
Keshla lost to Sumgayit (0-1) on 05-Aug-2021
Zira lost to Keshla (2-3) on 29/04/21
Then Keshla won against Sabayil (1-0) on 25/04/21
Keshla lost to Zira (1-2) on 21/04/21
Keshla drew with Sabah (0-0) on 17/04/21
In the earliest match listed here Zira drew with Keshla (0-0) on 04-Nov-2021
RECENT MATCHES - AWAY TEAM
Below are Fk Sochi's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Sochi won against Keshla (3-0) on 22/07/21
Rubin Kazan lost to Sochi (1-3) on 17/07/21
Then Khimki lost to Sochi (2-3) on 14/07/21
Spartak Moscow won against Sochi (4-0) on 07-Nov-2021
Khimki drew with Sochi (0-0) on 16/05/21
Then Sochi won against Volgograd (2-1) on 05-Jul-2021
Krasnodar lost to Sochi (1-3) on 05-Jan-2021
Ufa lost to Sochi (2-3) on 25/04/21
Once more Sochi won against CSKA Moscow (2-1) on 18/04/21
Sochi lost to Saint Petersburg (1-2) on 04-Nov-2021
KESHLA FK'S POSITION
No position listed
FK SOCHI'S POSITION
No position listed
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