Orebro Sk vs Brommapojkarna Prediction
Orebro Sk vs Brommapojkarna Predictionwith match analysis, statistics and betting tips. This detailed prediction accompanies over 3 betting tips for the match. Orebro Sk vs Brommapojkarna are playing on Sweden
Orebro Sk
DATE:
29 May 2022 at 16:00:00
Brommapojkarna
COUNTRY:
Sweden
LEAGUE
Superettan
TIME:
4:00 PM
1X2 PREDICTION
HOME WIN:
43%
AVR. ODDS:
2.4
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
DRAW:
25%
AVR. ODDS:
3.44
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
AWAY WIN:
32%
AVR. ODDS:
2.79
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
EXPERT TIPS FOR THIS MATCH
HOME WIN TIPS
After analysing all the data and compiling and comparing expert opinions on this Orebro Sk vs Brommapojkarna match, we are well convinced that Orebro Sk is in better form, better motivated and has proven in the past their ability to dominate this game against Brommapojkarna.
The surebet prediction for this game is therefore a home win. Note that there might be even better tips you can bet on today if you can be bold enough to subscribe for VIP tips. Besides, you might want to check out the GG/NG tips given their ability to increase betting profits for many punters. We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a home win in this Orebro Sk vs Brommapojkarna match.
The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 51.42% probability for a Home Win outcome. The ELO Ratings model came through with a 45.38% probability for the same outccome. The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 40.02% chance for a home win outcome.
This Orebro Sk vs Brommapojkarna match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models. Keep reading to find them all. To find if the Home Win bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied Home Win bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same.
The odds for this outcome are averagely 1.87 with an implied bookmaker probability of 53.48%. The calculated Surebet probability for the Home Win outcome for this Orebro Sk vs Brommapojkarna match is 45.61%, meaning this bet is not a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may be about to lose expected value by -7.87%.
Expected Value, EV(Home Win), for a Home Win result for this Orebro Sk vs Brommapojkarna match is calculated as follows: Let P(Home Win) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is;
P(Home Win) * 100* 1.87 where 1.87 are the decimal odds for this outcome. Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a Home Win for Orebro Sk vs Brommapojkarna, EV(Home Win) to be 45.61% * 100 * 1.87, which translates to 30.89. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.
GG TIPS
Historical data, H2H matches and results from similar and related past matches, Surebet GG prediction systems have all agreed that both teams will be able to score in this match. Both Orebro Sk and Brommapojkarna have good striking and have equally vulnerable defenses.
I do not forsee a NG outcome for this game. The GG rediction for this game is both teams to score at leat one goal in this game. We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a gg in this Orebro Sk vs Brommapojkarna match.
The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 59.00% probability for a GG outcome. The ELO Ratings model came through with a 66.61% probability for the same outccome. The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 72.04% chance for a gg outcome. This Orebro Sk vs Brommapojkarna match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models.
Keep reading to find them all. To find if the Gg bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied GG bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 1.98 with an implied bookmaker probability of 50.51%.
The calculated Surebet probability for the Gg outcome for this Orebro Sk vs Brommapojkarna match is 65.88%, meaning this bet is a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may gain expected value by 15.38%. Expected Value, EV(GG), for a GG result for this Orebro Sk vs Brommapojkarna match is calculated as follows:
Let P(GG) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is; P(GG) * 100* 1.98 where 1.98 are the decimal odds for this outcome.
Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a GG for Orebro Sk vs Brommapojkarna, EV(GG) to be 65.88% * 100 * 1.98, which translates to 96.33. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically. NG TIPS OVER 1.5 TIPS Given the historical results of these teams, it is most likely that at least 2 goals will be scored in this match.
Regardless of the low odds, I bet you might want to form a multi bet with this over 1.5 Prediction for Orebro Sk vs Brommapojkarna. The over OR under 1.5 goals tips for this match is therefore clearly, over 1.5 goals. We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a over 1.5 in this Orebro Sk vs Brommapojkarna match. The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 80.55% probability for a OVER 1.5 outcome.
The ELO Ratings model came through with a 85.33% probability for the same outccome. The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 88.67% chance for a over 1.5 outcome. This Orebro Sk vs Brommapojkarna match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models. Keep reading to find them all.
To find if the Over 1.5 bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied OVER 1.5 bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 1.42 with an implied bookmaker probability of 70.42%.
The calculated Surebet probability for the Over 1.5 outcome for this Orebro Sk vs Brommapojkarna match is 84.85%, meaning this bet is a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may gain expected value by 14.43%. Expected Value, EV(OVER 1.5), for a OVER 1.5 result for this Orebro Sk vs Brommapojkarna match is calculated as follows: Let P(OVER 1.5) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet.
Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is;
P(OVER 1.5) * 100* 1.42 where 1.42 are the decimal odds for this outcome. Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a OVER 1.5 for Orebro Sk vs Brommapojkarna, EV(OVER 1.5) to be 84.85% * 100 * 1.42, which translates to 105.33. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.
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GG/NG(BTTS) PREDICTION
GG(BTTS):
58%
AVR. ODDS:
1.54
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
NO GOAL:
AVR. ODDS:
42%
2.32
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 1.5:
40%
AVR. ODDS:
1.09
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
UNDER 1.5:
23%
AVR. ODDS:
2.98
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 2.5:
55%
AVR. ODDS:
1.64
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
UNDER 2.5:
AVR. ODDS:
VALUEBET?
44%
1.76
Not a Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 3.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 3.5:
35%
AVR. ODDS:
2.88
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
UNDER 3.5:
65%
AVR. ODDS:
1.31
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
MATCH STATISTICS AND ANALYSIS
OREBRO SK VS BROMMAPOJKARNA PREDICTION HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES
CLUB ALMAGRO VS SAN TELMO LATEST HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES
San Telmo and Almagro have met 6 times recently since 00-Jan-1900. Below is a breakdown of those matches and the results. Note that these matches will play a big role in the San Telmo vs Almagro prediction.
10-Jan-2021 - San Telmo [2 : 1] Almagro
06-Nov-2021 - Almagro [1 : 0] San Telmo
00-Jan-1900 - [ : ]
00-Jan-1900 - [ : ]
00-Jan-1900 - [ : ]
00-Jan-1900 - [ : ]
OREBRO SK'S LAST 10 MATCHES
CLUB ALMAGRO LAST 10 MATCHES
Below are Club Almagro's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Chaco For Ever lost to Almagro (0-1) on 24/05/22
Then Almagro won against San Martin (1-0) on 14/05/22
Atletico Atlanta drew with Almagro (1-1) on 05-Jul-2022
Not surprisingly Almagro drew with CA Estudiantes (1-1) on 30/04/22
Santamarina Tand. drew with Almagro (0-0) on 24/04/22
Almagro won against Atletico Rafaela (3-1) on 17/04/22
Then Guillermo Brown lost to Almagro (0-1) on 04-Oct-2022
Almagro lost to Chacarita Jrs (1-3) on 04-Feb-2022
Brown de Adrogue won against Almagro (3-0) on 28/03/22
In the earliest match listed here Almagro lost to Defensores (0-1) on 23/03/22
RECENT MATCHES - AWAY TEAM
CLUB ALMAGRO LAST 10 MATCHES
Below are Club Almagro's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
San Telmo lost to Alvarado (0-1) on 22/05/22
Then Rio Cuarto won against San Telmo (2-1) on 15/05/22
San Telmo won against Deportivo Madryn (2-1) on 05-Jun-2022
Not surprisingly Dep. Moron won against San Telmo (3-1) on 30/04/22
San Telmo won against Temperley (3-1) on 23/04/22
Flandria drew with San Telmo (3-3) on 16/04/22
Then San Telmo drew with Gimnasia Jujuy (0-0) on 04-Oct-2022
Almirante Brown drew with San Telmo (1-1) on 04-Mar-2022
San Telmo lost to Villa Dalmine (0-4) on 27/03/22
In the earliest match listed here Belgrano won against San Telmo (3-1) on 24/03/22
OREBRO SK POSITION
CLUB ALMAGRO'S POSITION
Almagro is in position 8 with 25 points from 16 matches. They are below Gimnasia Mendoza who have 25 points and above Chaco For Ever who have 24 points.
Club Almagro have scored 15 goals and conceded 16 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of -1 goals this season.
BROMMAPOJKARNA POSITION
SAN TELMO'S POSITION
San Telmo is in position 29 with 15 points from 15 matches. They are below Temperley who have 16 points and above Atletico Rafaela who have 14 points.
San Telmo have scored 15 goals and conceded 24 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of -9 goals this season.
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