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Torpedo Zhodino vs Sputnik Rechica Prediction

This is a detailed Torpedo Zhodino vs Sputnik Rechica Prediction, match analysis, betting tips, H2H matches and sure bet tips.

Torpedo Zhodino

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DATE:

19 June 2021 at 18:45:00

Sputnik Rechica

COUNTRY:

Belarus

LEAGUE

Vysshaya League

TIME:

6:45 PM

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1X2 PREDICTION

HOME WIN:

46%

AVR. ODDS:

1.21

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

DRAW:

14%

AVR. ODDS:

6.3

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

AWAY WIN:

29%

AVR. ODDS:

11.8

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

EXPERT TIPS FOR THIS MATCH

The odds for Ng outcome on major betting sites are, on average, 1.68 with an implied bookmaker probability of 59.52%.


Considering that the surebet probability for the NG outcome for this Torpedo Zhodino vs Sputnik Rechica match is 60.12%, then this bet is a value bet. If you play this bet then you  you gain expected value by 0.60%The expected value for a NG prediction is denoted as EV(NG) and is calculated by multiplying the amount of stake by the odds and again by the probability of winning then subtracting the result of multiplying the stake and the probability of losing.


By using 100 as your sample stake, by calculating the EV as explained, we get the expected value for a NG in this Torpedo Zhodino vs Sputnik Rechica match is 61.12 which is positive and therefore a good bet.All 3 major Surebet prediction models have indicated a possible ng in this Torpedo Zhodino vs Sputnik Rechica match.


Poisson prediction model shows there is a 69.71% chance for the outcome while the ELO Ratings model shows a 59.60% chance for the same. Finally, 51.05% of the Monte Carlo simulation runs for this match resulted in NG.


This pretty much consolidates the prediction of a NG in this game.


Torpedo Zhodino and Sputnik Rechica might find it hard to score each other in this game. It may be much wiser if you steered clear of a goal-goal prediction and stuck with no-goal (NG prediction). This is informed by the fact that both Torpedo Zhodino and Sputnik Rechica have good defenses and at least one of them have demonstrated in the recent past weak defense that may see them goal-less by the end of this duel.


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To find if the Over 2.5 bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied OVER 2.5 bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 1.5 with an implied bookmaker probability of 66.67%.


The calculated Surebet probability for the Over 2.5 outcome for this Torpedo Zhodino vs Sputnik Rechica match is 71.60%, meaning this bet is a value bet.  In case you place this bet, you  may gain expected value by 4.93%


Torpedo Zhodino vs Sputnik Rechica Prediction

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GG/NG(BTTS) PREDICTION

GG(BTTS):

72%

AVR. ODDS:

2.06

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

NO GOAL:

AVR. ODDS:

17%

1.68

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 1.5:

40%

AVR. ODDS:

0.98

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

UNDER 1.5:

4%

AVR. ODDS:

4.4

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 2.5:

78%

AVR. ODDS:

1.5

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

UNDER 2.5:

AVR. ODDS:

VALUEBET?

12%

2.42

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 3.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 3.5:

66%

AVR. ODDS:

2.63

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

UNDER 3.5:

23%

AVR. ODDS:

1.81

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

MATCH STATISTICS AND ANALYSIS

TORPEDO ZHODINO VS SPUTNIK RECHICA LATEST HEAD TO HEAD

Currently no head to head

TORPEDO ZHODINO LAST 10 MATCHES

Below are Torpedo Zhodino's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Ruh Brest won against Belaz Zhodino (3-0) on 13/06/21
Then Belaz Zhodino lost to Soligorsk (0-1) on 29/05/21
Smorgon lost to Belaz Zhodino (1-3) on 22/05/21
Not surprisingly Belaz Zhodino drew with Isloch (3-3) on 15/05/21
BGU Minsk drew with Belaz Zhodino (1-1) on 05-Sep-2021
Belaz Zhodino drew with Bate Borisov (1-1) on 05-May-2021
Then Belaz Zhodino won against Minsk (2-1) on 05-Jan-2021
Gomel drew with Belaz Zhodino (1-1) on 25/04/21
Bate Borisov won against Belaz Zhodino (4-1) on 21/04/21
In the earliest match listed here Belaz Zhodino lost to Brest (0-2) on 17/04/21

RECENT MATCHES - AWAY TEAM

Below are Sputnik Rechica's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Sputnik Rechica lost to Dinamo Minsk (0-5) on 06-Dec-2021
Grodno drew with Sputnik Rechica (2-2) on 29/05/21
Then Bate Borisov won against Sputnik Rechica (2-1) on 19/05/21
Sputnik Rechica lost to Slavia Mozyr (0-2) on 14/05/21
Ruh Brest won against Sputnik Rechica (2-0) on 05-Aug-2021
Then Sputnik Rechica lost to Soligorsk (1-2) on 05-Jan-2021
Smorgon won against Sputnik Rechica (2-0) on 23/04/21
Sputnik Rechica lost to Isloch (1-5) on 16/04/21
Once more BGU Minsk lost to Sputnik Rechica (0-1) on 04-Sep-2021
Sputnik Rechica lost to Minsk (0-1) on 04-Mar-2021

TORPEDO ZHODINO'S POSITION

No position listed

SPUTNIK RECHICA'S POSITION

No position listed

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