BARCELONA SC vs FLAMENGO SURE PREDICTION
A detailed Barcelona Sc vs Flamengo sure prediction with expert opinion, H2H matches, statistical analysis for this International Clubs, Copa Libertadores match on 30-Sep-2021
Barcelona Sc
DATE:
30 September 2021 at 03:30:00
Flamengo
COUNTRY:
International Clubs
LEAGUE
Copa Libertadores
TIME:
3:30 AM
1X2 PREDICTION
HOME WIN:
61%
AVR. ODDS:
3.28
VALUEBET?
Yes
DRAW:
22%
AVR. ODDS:
3.63
VALUEBET?
No
AWAY WIN:
16%
AVR. ODDS:
2.06
VALUEBET?
No
EXPERT TIPS FOR THIS MATCH
After analysing all the data and compiling and comparing expert opinions on this Barcelona Sc vs Flamengo match, we are well convinced that Barcelona Sc is in better form, better motivated and has proven in the past their ability to dominate this game against Flamengo.
The surebet prediction for this game is therefore a home win. Note that there might be even better tips you can bet on today if you can be bold enough to subscribe for VIP tips. Besides, you might want to check out the GG/NG tips given their ability to increase betting profits for many punters. We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a home win in this Barcelona Sc vs Flamengo match.
The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 68.16% probability for a Home Win outcome. The ELO Ratings model came through with a 61.25% probability for the same outccome. The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 54.63% chance for a home win outcome.
This Barcelona Sc vs Flamengo match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models. Keep reading to find them all. To find if the Home Win bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied Home Win bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 3.28 with an implied bookmaker probability of 30.49%.
The calculated Surebet probability for the Home Win outcome for this Barcelona Sc vs Flamengo match is 61.35%, meaning this bet is a value bet.
In case you place this bet, you may gain expected value by 30.86%Expected Value, EV(Home Win), for a Home Win result for this Barcelona Sc vs Flamengo match is calculated as follows: Let P(Home Win) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet.
Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is; P(Home Win) * 100* 3.28 where 3.28 are the decimal odds for this outcome. Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a Home Win for Barcelona Sc vs Flamengo, EV(Home Win) to be 61.35% * 100 * 3.28, which translates to 162.57.
This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.
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GG/NG(BTTS) PREDICTION
GG(BTTS):
47%
AVR. ODDS:
1.68
VALUEBET?
No
NO GOAL:
AVR. ODDS:
53%
2.07
VALUEBET?
Yes
OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 1.5:
40%
AVR. ODDS:
1.16
VALUEBET?
No
UNDER 1.5:
25%
AVR. ODDS:
3.51
VALUEBET?
No
OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 2.5:
50%
AVR. ODDS:
1.78
VALUEBET?
No
UNDER 2.5:
AVR. ODDS:
VALUEBET?
49%
1.93
No
OVER/UNDER 3.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 3.5:
28%
AVR. ODDS:
3.12
VALUEBET?
No
UNDER 3.5:
71%
AVR. ODDS:
1.44
VALUEBET?
Yes
MATCH STATISTICS AND ANALYSIS
BARCELONA SC VS FLAMENGO LATEST HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES
Currently no head to head
BARCELONA SC LAST 10 MATCHES
Below are Barcelona Sc's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Flamengo won against Barcelona (2-0) on 23/09/21
Then Barcelona won against Cuenca (3-2) on 18/09/21
Ind. del Valle won against Barcelona (1-0) on 30/08/21
Not surprisingly Barcelona lost to LDU Quito (0-2) on 24/08/21
Barcelona drew with Fluminense (1-1) on 20/08/21
Orense won against Barcelona (1-0) on 15/08/21
Then Fluminense drew with Barcelona (2-2) on 13/08/21
Barcelona won against Guayaquil City (2-1) on 08-Aug-2021
Tecnico Uni lost to Barcelona (1-2) on 08-Jan-2021
In the earliest match listed here Barcelona won against Manta (2-0) on 26/07/21
RECENT MATCHES - AWAY TEAM
Below are Flamengo's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
America FC MG drew with Flamengo (1-1) on 26/09/21
Flamengo won against Barcelona (2-0) on 23/09/21
Then Flamengo lost to Gremio (0-1) on 20/09/21
Flamengo won against Gremio (2-0) on 16/09/21
Palmeiras lost to Flamengo (1-3) on 09-Dec-2021
Then Santos lost to Flamengo (0-4) on 29/08/21
Gremio lost to Flamengo (0-4) on 26/08/21
Ceara drew with Flamengo (1-1) on 22/08/21
Once more Flamengo won against Olimpia (5-1) on 19/08/21
Flamengo won against Recife (2-0) on 15/08/21
BARCELONA SC'S POSITION
Currently no position listed
FLAMENGO'S POSITION
Currently no position listed
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