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FK Khimki vs Lokomotiv Moscow Prediction

FK Khimki vs Lokomotiv Moscow Predictionwith match analysis, statistics and betting tips. This detailed prediction accompanies over 3 betting tips for the match. FK Khimki vs Lokomotiv Moscow are playing on 19-Sep-24.

FK Khimki

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Lokomotiv Moscow

DATE:

TIME:

18:30�

COUNTRY:

Russia

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LEAGUE

Russian Cup, Group 2

1X2 PREDICTION

HOME WIN:

0.195

AVR. ODDS:

4.1

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

DRAW:

0.203

AVR. ODDS:

3.8

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

AWAY WIN:

0.592

AVR. ODDS:

1.63

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

EXPERT TIPS FOR THIS MATCH



AWAY WIN TIPS
Lokomotiv Moscow is expected to outperform FK Khimki in this match. Home advantage may not help FK Khimki in this game. With odds of 1.63 you stand to win a fairly good amount from this tip. This is the best sure bet prediction for this match.

Note that you should also consider other betting markets other than 1X2 predictions or bets. Asian handicaps and European handicaps, for instance, can make you better profits from a match like this.


To find if the Away Win bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied Away Win bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 1.63 with an implied bookmaker probability of 61.35%.

The calculated Surebet probability for the Away Win outcome for this FK Khimki vs Lokomotiv Moscow match is 59.15%, meaning this bet is not a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may be about to lose expected value by -2.20%.
Expected Value, EV(Away Win), for a Away Win result for this FK Khimki vs Lokomotiv Moscow match is calculated as follows:
Let P(Away Win) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is;
P(Away Win) * 100* 1.63 where 1.63 are the decimal odds for this outcome.

Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a Away Win for FK Khimki vs Lokomotiv Moscow, EV(Away Win) to be 59.15% * 100 * 1.63, which translates to 55.57. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.


OVER 1.5 TIPS
Given the historical results of these teams, it is most likely that at least 2 goals will be scored in this match. Regardless of the low odds, I bet you might want to form a multi bet with this over 1.5 Prediction for FK Khimki vs Lokomotiv Moscow. The over OR under 1.5 goals tips for this match is therefore clearly, over 1.5 goals.


To find if the Over 1.5 bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied OVER 1.5 bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 1.04666666666667 with an implied bookmaker probability of 95.54%.

The calculated Surebet probability for the Over 1.5 outcome for this FK Khimki vs Lokomotiv Moscow match is 80.89%, meaning this bet is not a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may be about to lose expected value by -14.66%.
Expected Value, EV(OVER 1.5), for a OVER 1.5 result for this FK Khimki vs Lokomotiv Moscow match is calculated as follows:
Let P(OVER 1.5) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is;
P(OVER 1.5) * 100* 1.04666666666667 where 1.04666666666667 are the decimal odds for this outcome.

Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a OVER 1.5 for FK Khimki vs Lokomotiv Moscow, EV(OVER 1.5) to be 80.89% * 100 * 1.04, which translates to 65.54. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.

FK Khimki vs Lokomotiv Moscow Prediction

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GG/NG(BTTS) PREDICTION

GG(BTTS):

0.553

AVR. ODDS:

1.6

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

NO GOAL:

0.436

AVR. ODDS:

2.16

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 1.5:

40%

AVR. ODDS:

1.05

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

UNDER 1.5:

0.181

AVR. ODDS:

2.85

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 2.5:

0.596

AVR. ODDS:

1.57

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

UNDER 2.5:

0.393

AVR. ODDS:

2.22

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 3.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 3.5:

0.375

AVR. ODDS:

2.75

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

UNDER 3.5:

0.615

AVR. ODDS:

1.66

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

MATCH STATISTICS AND ANALYSIS

FK KHIMKI VS LOKOMOTIV MOSCOW PREDICTION HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES

Lokomotiv Moscow [4:0] Khimki
Lokomotiv Moscow [5:1] Khimki
Lokomotiv Moscow [1:0] Khimki
Khimki [0:5] Lokomotiv Moscow
Khimki [0:3] Lokomotiv Moscow
Lokomotiv Moscow [3:2] Khimki
Khimki [0:0] Lokomotiv Moscow
Khimki [3:2] Lokomotiv Moscow
Lokomotiv Moscow [2:1] Khimki
Khimki [0:3] Lokomotiv Moscow

FK KHIMKI'S LAST 10 MATCHES

Below are Khimki's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Akron Tolyatti - Khimki [3:0]
Broke Boys - Khimki [0:2]
Khimki - CSKA Moscow [0:2]
Lokomotiv Moscow - Khimki [4:0]
Akhmat Grozny - Khimki [3:3]
Khimki - Saint Petersburg [1:1]
Rostov - Khimki [3:1]
Novgorod - Khimki [1:0]
Rubin Kazan - Khimki [2:3]
Khimki - Orenburg [1:0]
Khimki - Spartak Moscow [1:3]
Khimki - Dynamo-Makhachkala [1:1]
Kryliya Sovetov - Khimki [2:2]
Khimki - OFK Belgrade [2:3]
Khimki - Arsenal Tula [3:0]
Khimki - Veles [0:0]
Khimki - Chernomorets [2:1]
Kuban Krasnodar - Khimki [0:1]
Leningradets - Khimki [1:3]
Dynamo-Makhachkala - Khimki [1:0]
Khimki - Sokol Saratov [5:4]
Torpedo Moscow - Khimki [1:2]
Khimki - FC Kamaz Naberezhnye Chelny [1:0]
Rodina Moscow - Khimki [1:2]
Khimki - Yaroslavl [0:1]
Khimki - Arsenal Tula [3:2]
Khimki - Rostov [6:7]
Krasnoyarsk - Khimki [4:1]
Khimki - Nizhnekamsk [1:3]
Khimki - Krasnodar [2:0]

RECENT MATCHES - AWAY TEAM

Below are Lokomotiv Moscow's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Orenburg - Lokomotiv Moscow [2:4]
Belaz Zhodino - Lokomotiv Moscow [0:2]
Lokomotiv Moscow - Krasnodar [0:3]
Lokomotiv Moscow - Khimki [4:0]
Lokomotiv Moscow - Rostov [3:2]
CSKA Moscow - Lokomotiv Moscow [0:1]
Orenburg - Lokomotiv Moscow [2:3]
Lokomotiv Moscow - Dynamo-Makhachkala [2:0]
Akhmat Grozny - Lokomotiv Moscow [0:5]
Lokomotiv Moscow - Rostov [1:0]
Dinamo Moscow - Lokomotiv Moscow [3:1]
Lokomotiv Moscow - Akron Tolyatti [3:2]
Lokomotiv Moscow - Rubin Kazan [3:4]
Lokomotiv Moscow - Partizan Belgrade [1:1]
Lokomotiv Moscow - Kaliningrad [4:1]
Lokomotiv Moscow - Rodina Moscow [0:1]
Lokomotiv Moscow - Arsenal Tula [2:1]
Kaliningrad - Lokomotiv Moscow [1:3]
Lokomotiv Moscow - Voronezh [2:0]
Orenburg - Lokomotiv Moscow [0:2]
Lokomotiv Moscow - Rostov [1:0]
Spartak Moscow - Lokomotiv Moscow [3:2]
Novgorod - Lokomotiv Moscow [2:3]
Rubin Kazan - Lokomotiv Moscow [1:1]
Lokomotiv Moscow - CSKA Moscow [3:3]
Akhmat Grozny - Lokomotiv Moscow [0:2]
Ural Yekaterinburg - Lokomotiv Moscow [1:0]
Lokomotiv Moscow - Krasnodar [1:1]
Lokomotiv Moscow - Kaliningrad [6:7]
Lokomotiv Moscow - Sochi [2:2]

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