IF GNISTAN vs PK-35 SURE PREDICTION
A detailed If Gnistan vs Pk-35 sure prediction with expert opinion, H2H matches, statistical analysis for this Finland, Ykkonen match on 18-Aug-2021
If Gnistan
DATE:
18 August 2021 at 18:30:00
Pk-35
COUNTRY:
Finland
LEAGUE
Ykkonen
TIME:
6:30 PM
1X2 PREDICTION
HOME WIN:
25%
AVR. ODDS:
3.33
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
DRAW:
28%
AVR. ODDS:
3.43
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
AWAY WIN:
47%
AVR. ODDS:
2.09
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
EXPERT TIPS FOR THIS MATCH
Pk-35 is expected to outperform If Gnistan in this match. Home advantage may not help If Gnistan in this game. With odds of 2.09 you stand to win a fairly good amount from this tip. This is the best sure bet prediction for this match. Note that you should also consider other betting markets other than 1X2 predictions or bets.
Asian handicaps and European handicaps, for instance, can make you better profits from a match like this. We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a away win in this If Gnistan vs Pk-35 match. The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 48.57% probability for a Away Win outcome.
The ELO Ratings model came through with a 46.72% probability for the same outccome. The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 44.60% chance for a away win outcome. This If Gnistan vs Pk-35 match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models. Keep reading to find them all. To find if the Away Win bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied Away Win bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same.
The odds for this outcome are averagely 2.09 with an implied bookmaker probability of 47.85%. The calculated Surebet probability for the Away Win outcome for this If Gnistan vs Pk-35 match is 46.63%, meaning this bet is not a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may be about to lose expected value by -1.22%Expected Value, EV(Away Win), for a Away Win result for this If Gnistan vs Pk-35 match is calculated as follows: Let P(Away Win) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet.
Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is; P(Away Win) * 100* 2.09 where 2.09 are the decimal odds for this outcome. Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a Away Win for If Gnistan vs Pk-35, EV(Away Win) to be 46.63% * 100 * 2.09, which translates to 44.08. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.
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GG/NG(BTTS) PREDICTION
GG(BTTS):
45%
AVR. ODDS:
1.64
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
NO GOAL:
AVR. ODDS:
55%
2.12
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 1.5:
40%
AVR. ODDS:
1.15
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
UNDER 1.5:
34%
AVR. ODDS:
3.56
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 2.5:
40%
AVR. ODDS:
1.76
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
UNDER 2.5:
AVR. ODDS:
VALUEBET?
60%
1.96
Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 3.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 3.5:
20%
AVR. ODDS:
3.09
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
UNDER 3.5:
80%
AVR. ODDS:
1.46
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
MATCH STATISTICS AND ANALYSIS
IF GNISTAN VS PK-35 LATEST HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES
Curently no head to head
IF GNISTAN LAST 10 MATCHES
Below are If Gnistan's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Ekenas won against Gnistan (2-0) on 14/08/21
Then PK-35 won against Gnistan (3-2) on 08-Nov-2021
Gnistan lost to Jaro (0-1) on 08-Jul-2021
Not surprisingly Gnistan lost to FK ROPS (1-2) on 08-Jan-2021
Gnistan lost to Kokkola (0-3) on 28/07/21
Musan lost to Gnistan (2-4) on 24/07/21
Then Gnistan won against Vaasa (2-0) on 18/07/21
Gnistan drew with Turun (0-0) on 07-May-2021
JIPPO lost to Gnistan (1-4) on 30/06/21
In the earliest match listed here Kokkola lost to Gnistan (0-2) on 24/06/21
RECENT MATCHES - AWAY TEAM
Below are Pk-35's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
PK-35 drew with Vaasa (2-2) on 14/08/21
PK-35 won against Gnistan (3-2) on 08-Nov-2021
Then Turun won against PK-35 (2-1) on 08-Jul-2021
PK-35 won against Klubi 04 (2-1) on 08-Feb-2021
Ekenas drew with PK-35 (0-0) on 28/07/21
Then PK-35 lost to FK ROPS (1-3) on 24/07/21
Musan drew with PK-35 (1-1) on 15/07/21
Jaro drew with PK-35 (1-1) on 20/06/21
Once more PK-35 won against Kokkola (3-0) on 13/06/21
PK-35 drew with Turun (0-0) on 06-Jun-2021
IF GNISTAN'S POSITION
Gnistan is in position 6 with 21 points from 16 matches. They are below Turun who have 25 points and above who have points.
have scored 23 goals and conceded 22 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of 1 goals this season.
PK-35'S POSITION
PK-35 is in position 7 with 20 points from 14 matches. They are below who have points and above Mikkelin who have 19 points.
Pk-35 have scored 18 goals and conceded 17 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of 1 goals this season.
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