KORTRIJK vs MECHELEN SURE PREDICTION
A detailed Kortrijk vs Mechelen sure prediction with expert opinion, H2H matches, statistical analysis for this Belgium, Pro League match on 27-Aug-2021
Kortrijk
DATE:
27 August 2021 at 21:45:00
Mechelen
COUNTRY:
Belgium
LEAGUE
Pro League
TIME:
9:45 PM
1X2 PREDICTION
HOME WIN:
55%
AVR. ODDS:
2.34
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
DRAW:
25%
AVR. ODDS:
3.24
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
AWAY WIN:
20%
AVR. ODDS:
3.04
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
EXPERT TIPS FOR THIS MATCH
We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a home win in this Kortrijk vs Mechelen match. The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 61.81% probability for a Home Win outcome.
The ELO Ratings model came through with a 55.18% probability for the same outccome. The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 49.29% chance for a home win outcome. This Kortrijk vs Mechelen match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models.
Keep reading to find them all. To find if the Home Win bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied Home Win bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 2.34 with an implied bookmaker probability of 42.74%.
The calculated Surebet probability for the Home Win outcome for this Kortrijk vs Mechelen match is 55.43%, meaning this bet is a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may gain expected value by 12.69%Expected Value, EV(Home Win), for a Home Win result for this Kortrijk vs Mechelen match is calculated as follows: Let P(Home Win) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet.
Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is; P(Home Win) * 100* 2.34 where 2.34 are the decimal odds for this outcome. Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a Home Win for Kortrijk vs Mechelen, EV(Home Win) to be 55.43% * 100 * 2.34, which translates to 85.12. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.
After analysing all the data and compiling and comparing expert opinions on this Kortrijk vs Mechelen match, we are well convinced that Kortrijk is in better form, better motivated and has proven in the past their ability to dominate this game against Mechelen. The surebet prediction for this game is therefore a home win.
Note that there might be even better tips you can bet on today if you can be bold enough to subscribe for VIP tips. Besides, you might want to check out the GG/NG tips given their ability to increase betting profits for many punters.
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GG/NG(BTTS) PREDICTION
GG(BTTS):
44%
AVR. ODDS:
1.58
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
NO GOAL:
AVR. ODDS:
55%
2.25
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 1.5:
40%
AVR. ODDS:
1.12
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
UNDER 1.5:
30%
AVR. ODDS:
3.65
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 2.5:
44%
AVR. ODDS:
1.72
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
UNDER 2.5:
AVR. ODDS:
VALUEBET?
56%
2.01
Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 3.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 3.5:
23%
AVR. ODDS:
3.02
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
UNDER 3.5:
77%
AVR. ODDS:
1.5
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
MATCH STATISTICS AND ANALYSIS
KORTRIJK VS MECHELEN LATEST HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES
Kortrijk and Mechelen have met 6 times recently since 16/12/17. Below is a breakdown of those matches and the results. Note that these matches will play a big role in the Kortrijk vs Mechelen prediction.
18/04/21 - Kortrijk [1 : 4] Mechelen
17/10/20 - Mechelen [1 : 2] Kortrijk
12-Jul-2019 - Mechelen [1 : 1] Kortrijk
20/09/19 - Kortrijk [2 : 3] Mechelen
19/12/18 - Mechelen [3 : 0] Kortrijk
16/12/17 - Kortrijk [2 : 0] Mechelen
KORTRIJK LAST 10 MATCHES
Below are Kortrijk's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
St. Truidense lost to Kortrijk (0-2) on 21/08/21
Then Union Gilloise won against Kortrijk (2-0) on 14/08/21
Kortrijk lost to Genk (1-2) on 08-Jul-2021
Not surprisingly Antwerp lost to Kortrijk (0-1) on 08-Jan-2021
Kortrijk won against Seraing (2-0) on 24/07/21
Kortrijk drew with Lille (1-1) on 17/07/21
Then Heerenveen drew with Kortrijk (2-2) on 07-Oct-2021
Kortrijk lost to Valenciennes (0-1) on 07-Jun-2021
Brugge lost to Kortrijk (0-1) on 07-Mar-2021
In the earliest match listed here Westhoek lost to Kortrijk (0-3) on 25/06/21
RECENT MATCHES - AWAY TEAM
Below are Mechelen's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Mechelen won against Union Gilloise (3-1) on 22/08/21
Gent won against Mechelen (2-0) on 15/08/21
Then Mechelen lost to Eupen (1-3) on 08-Jul-2021
Seraing won against Mechelen (1-0) on 31/07/21
Mechelen won against Antwerp (3-2) on 25/07/21
Then Standard drew with Mechelen (2-2) on 07-Oct-2021
Roda drew with Mechelen (2-2) on 07-Sep-2021
Overijse lost to Mechelen (1-7) on 26/06/21
Once more Mechelen lost to Gent (1-2) on 22/05/21
Oostende drew with Mechelen (2-2) on 19/05/21
KORTRIJK'S POSITION
No position listed
MECHELEN'S POSITION
No position listed
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