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Lincoln vs Doncaster prediction

Lincoln vs Doncaster predictionwith match analysis, statistics and betting tips. This detailed prediction accompanies over 3 betting tips for the match. Lincoln vs Doncaster are playing on England

Lincoln

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DATE:

15 February 2022 at 22:45:00

Doncaster

COUNTRY:

England

LEAGUE

League One

TIME:

10:45 PM

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1X2 PREDICTION

HOME WIN:

61%

AVR. ODDS:

1.65

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

DRAW:

22%

AVR. ODDS:

3.88

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

AWAY WIN:

16%

AVR. ODDS:

4.97

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

EXPERT TIPS FOR THIS MATCH

Lincoln and Doncaster will probably not score each other in this game. It may be much wiser if you steered clear of a goal-goal prediction and stuck with no-goal (NG prediction). If recent outcomes for mathes played by these teams both at home and away is anything to go by, then both Lincoln and Doncaster have no chance scoring each other. This is going to be a low scoring match and one team will walk away goalless. The GG/NG tips for this game is therefore No-goal. We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a ng in this Lincoln vs Doncaster match. The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 75.15% probability for a NG outcome. The ELO Ratings model came through with a 75.87% probability for the same outccome. The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 78.00% chance for a ng outcome. This Lincoln vs Doncaster match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models. Keep reading to find them all. To find if the Ng bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied NG bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 2.06 with an implied bookmaker probability of 48.54%. The calculated Surebet probability for the Ng outcome for this Lincoln vs Doncaster match is 76.34%, meaning this bet is a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may gain expected value by 27.79%. Expected Value, EV(NG), for a NG result for this Lincoln vs Doncaster match is calculated as follows: Let P(NG) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is; P(NG) * 100* 2.06 where 2.06 are the decimal odds for this outcome. Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a NG for Lincoln vs Doncaster, EV(NG) to be 76.34% * 100 * 2.06, which translates to 133.59. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.

Lincoln vs Doncaster prediction

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GG/NG(BTTS) PREDICTION

GG(BTTS):

42%

AVR. ODDS:

1.75

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

NO GOAL:

AVR. ODDS:

58%

1.96

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 1.5:

40%

AVR. ODDS:

1.16

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

UNDER 1.5:

29%

AVR. ODDS:

3.16

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 2.5:

45%

AVR. ODDS:

1.74

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

UNDER 2.5:

AVR. ODDS:

VALUEBET?

54%

1.76

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 3.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 3.5:

24%

AVR. ODDS:

3.05

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

UNDER 3.5:

76%

AVR. ODDS:

1.31

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

MATCH STATISTICS AND ANALYSIS

LINCOLN VS DONCASTER PREDICTION HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES

LINCOLN VS DONCASTER LATEST HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES
Doncaster and Lincoln have met 6 times recently since 07-Dec-2014. Below is a breakdown of those matches and the results. Note that these matches will play a big role in the Doncaster vs Lincoln prediction.
20/11/21 - Doncaster [0 : 0] Lincoln
30/01/21 - Lincoln [0 : 1] Doncaster
31/10/20 - Doncaster [1 : 0] Lincoln
09-Mar-2019 - Doncaster [3 : 1] Lincoln
24/08/19 - Doncaster [2 : 1] Lincoln
07-Dec-2014 - Lincoln [2 : 0] Doncaster

LINCOLN'S LAST 10 MATCHES

LINCOLN LAST 10 MATCHES
Below are Lincoln's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Lincoln drew with Wycombe (1-1) on 02-Dec-2022
Then Lincoln won against Morecambe (2-1) on 02-Aug-2022
Milton Keynes won against Lincoln (2-1) on 02-May-2022
Not surprisingly Lincoln lost to Burton (1-2) on 29/01/22
Plymouth lost to Lincoln (1-2) on 22/01/22
Lincoln lost to Cambridge (0-1) on 15/01/22
Then Sunderland lost to Lincoln (1-3) on 01-Nov-2022
Lincoln won against Oxford (2-0) on 01-Aug-2022
Lincoln lost to Milton Keynes (2-3) on 26/12/21
In the earliest match listed here Cheltenham drew with Lincoln (2-2) on 12-Nov-2021

RECENT MATCHES - AWAY TEAM

LINCOLN LAST 10 MATCHES
Below are Lincoln's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Portsmouth won against Doncaster (4-0) on 02-Dec-2022
Then Doncaster lost to Ipswich (0-1) on 02-Aug-2022
Sunderland lost to Doncaster (1-2) on 02-May-2022
Not surprisingly Doncaster lost to Rotherham (0-5) on 02-Jan-2022
Doncaster lost to Plymouth (1-3) on 29/01/22
Milton Keynes lost to Doncaster (0-1) on 22/01/22
Then Cambridge won against Doncaster (3-1) on 18/01/22
Doncaster lost to Wigan (1-2) on 15/01/22
Doncaster lost to Fleetwood (0-1) on 01-Aug-2022
In the earliest match listed here Morecambe won against Doncaster (4-3) on 01-Feb-2022

LINCOLN POSITION

LINCOLN'S POSITION
Lincoln is in position 17 with 35 points from 30 matches. They are below Cambridge who have 38 points and above Shrewsbury who have 34 points.
Lincoln have scored 36 goals and conceded 40 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of -4 goals this season.

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