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NAJRAN SC vs ALSHOULLA SURE PREDICTION

A detailed Najran Sc vs Alshoulla sure prediction with expert opinion, H2H matches, statistical analysis for this Saudi Arabia, Division 1 match on 29-Sep-2021

Najran Sc

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Alshoulla

DATE:

29 September 2021 at 20:10:00

TIME:

8:10 PM

COUNTRY:

Saudi Arabia

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LEAGUE

Division 1

1X2 PREDICTION

HOME WIN:

36%

AVR. ODDS:

2.36

VALUEBET?

No

DRAW:

26%

AVR. ODDS:

3.06

VALUEBET?

No

AWAY WIN:

38%

AVR. ODDS:

2.82

VALUEBET?

Yes

EXPERT TIPS FOR THIS MATCH

<p class="font_7">Najran Sc and Alshoulla will probably not score each other in this game. It may be much wiser if you steered clear of a goal-goal prediction and stuck with no-goal (NG prediction).&nbsp;</p>
<p class="font_7"><br></p>
<p class="font_7">If recent outcomes for mathes played by these teams both at home and away is anything to go by, then both Najran Sc and Alshoulla have no chance scoring each other.&nbsp;</p>
<p class="font_7"><br></p>
<p class="font_7">This is going to be a low scoring match and one team will walk away goalless. The GG/NG tips for this game is therefore No-goal. We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a ng in this Najran Sc vs Alshoulla match.&nbsp;</p>
<p class="font_7"><br></p>
<p class="font_7">The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 60.45% probability for a NG outcome. The ELO Ratings model came through with a 52.63% probability for the same outccome. The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 53.40% chance for a ng outcome. This Najran Sc vs Alshoulla match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models. Keep reading to find them all.&nbsp;</p>
<p class="font_7"><br></p>
<p class="font_7">To find if the Ng bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied NG bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same.&nbsp;</p>
<p class="font_7"><br></p>
<p class="font_7">The odds for this outcome are averagely 1.7 with an implied bookmaker probability of 58.82%. The calculated Surebet probability for the Ng outcome for this Najran Sc vs Alshoulla match is 55.49%, meaning this bet is not a value bet.&nbsp;</p>
<p class="font_7"><br></p>
<p class="font_7">In case you place this bet, you may be about to lose expected value by -3.33%Expected Value, EV(NG), for a NG result for this Najran Sc vs Alshoulla match is calculated as follows: Let P(NG) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet.&nbsp;</p>
<p class="font_7"><br></p>
<p class="font_7">Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is; P(NG) * 100* 1.7 where 1.7 are the decimal odds for this outcome.&nbsp;</p>
<p class="font_7"><br></p>
<p class="font_7">Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a NG for Najran Sc vs Alshoulla, EV(NG) to be 55.49% * 100 * 1.7, which translates to 49.82.&nbsp;</p>
<p class="font_7"><br></p>
<p class="font_7">This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.</p>

NAJRAN SC vs ALSHOULLA SURE PREDICTION

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GG/NG(BTTS) PREDICTION

GG(BTTS):

54%

AVR. ODDS:

1.95

VALUEBET?

Yes

NO GOAL:

46%

AVR. ODDS:

1.76

VALUEBET?

No

OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 1.5:

40%

AVR. ODDS:

1.47

VALUEBET?

Yes

UNDER 1.5:

26%

AVR. ODDS:

2.85

VALUEBET?

No

OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 2.5:

49%

AVR. ODDS:

2.25

VALUEBET?

Yes

UNDER 2.5:

50%

AVR. ODDS:

1.57

VALUEBET?

No

OVER/UNDER 3.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 3.5:

28%

AVR. ODDS:

3.95

VALUEBET?

Yes

UNDER 3.5:

72%

AVR. ODDS:

1.17

VALUEBET?

No

MATCH STATISTICS AND ANALYSIS

RAITH ROVERS VS DUNFERMLINE LATEST HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES

Raith Rovers and Dunfermline Athletic have met 6 times recently since 19/01/19. Below is a breakdown of those matches and the results. Note that these matches will play a big role in the Raith Rovers vs Dunfermline Athletic prediction.
05-Aug-2021 - Raith Rovers [2 : 0] Dunfermline Athletic
05-Apr-2021 - Dunfermline Athletic [0 : 0] Raith Rovers
30/03/21 - Raith Rovers [5 : 1] Dunfermline Athletic
02-Mar-2021 - Dunfermline Athletic [4 : 1] Raith Rovers
12-May-2020 - Raith Rovers [2 : 2] Dunfermline Athletic
19/01/19 - Raith Rovers [3 : 0] Dunfermline Athletic

RAITH ROVERS LAST 10 MATCHES

Below are Raith Rovers's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Raith Rovers won against Partick Thistle (3-2) on 26/09/21
Then Celtic won against Raith Rovers (3-0) on 23/09/21
Greenock lost to Raith Rovers (0-1) on 18/09/21
Not surprisingly Raith Rovers lost to Queen of The South (0-1) on 09-Nov-2021
Ayr United lost to Raith Rovers (0-2) on 09-Jul-2021
Raith Rovers won against Forfar (1-0) on 09-Apr-2021
Then Raith Rovers won against Aberdeen (2-1) on 15/08/21
Inverness CT won against Raith Rovers (1-0) on 08-Jul-2021
Raith Rovers drew with Hamilton (4-4) on 31/07/21
In the earliest match listed here Raith Rovers won against Alloa Athletic (5-4) on 24/07/21

RECENT MATCHES - AWAY TEAM

Currently no recent matches

RAITH ROVERS'S POSITION

Raith Rovers is in position 4 with 10 points from 6 matches. They are below Arbroath who have 14 points and above Partick Thistle who have 9 points.
have scored 10 goals and conceded 8 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of 2 goals this season.

DUNFERMLINE'S POSITION

Dunfermline Athletic is in position 10 with 3 points from 6 matches. They are below Hamilton who have 5 points and above who have points.
Dunfermline have scored 3 goals and conceded 11 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of -8 goals this season.

RAITH ROVERS'S BEST PLAYERS

Players not available

DUNFERMLINE'S BEST PLAYERS

Players not available

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