HOME WIN TIPS After analysing all the data and compiling and comparing expert opinions on this 9 De Octubre FC vs CD Alianza Cotopaxi match, we are well convinced that 9 De Octubre FC is in better form, better motivated and has proven in the past their ability to dominate this game against CD Alianza Cotopaxi. The surebet prediction for this game is therefore a home win. Note that there might be even better tips you can bet on today if you can be bold enough to subscribe for VIP tips. Besides, you might want to check out the GG/NG tips given their ability to increase betting profits for many punters. To find if the Home Win bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied Home Win bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 2.36 with an implied bookmaker probability of 42.37%. The calculated Surebet probability for the Home Win outcome for this 9 De Octubre FC vs CD Alianza Cotopaxi match is 46.88%, meaning this bet is a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may gain expected value by 4.51%.. Expected Value, EV(Home Win), for a Home Win result for this 9 De Octubre FC vs CD Alianza Cotopaxi match is calculated as follows: Let P(Home Win) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is; P(Home Win) * 100* 2.36 where 2.36 are the decimal odds for this outcome. Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a Home Win for 9 De Octubre FC vs CD Alianza Cotopaxi, EV(Home Win) to be 46.88% * 100 * 2.36, which translates to 57.52. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically. OVER 1.5 TIPS Given the historical results of these teams, it is most likely that at least 2 goals will be scored in this match. Regardless of the low odds, I bet you might want to form a multi bet with this over 1.5 Prediction for 9 De Octubre FC vs CD Alianza Cotopaxi. The over OR under 1.5 goals tips for this match is therefore clearly, over 1.5 goals. To find if the Over 1.5 bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied OVER 1.5 bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 1.63333333333333 with an implied bookmaker probability of 61.22%. The calculated Surebet probability for the Over 1.5 outcome for this 9 De Octubre FC vs CD Alianza Cotopaxi match is 71.87%, meaning this bet is a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may gain expected value by 10.64%. Expected Value, EV(OVER 1.5), for a OVER 1.5 result for this 9 De Octubre FC vs CD Alianza Cotopaxi match is calculated as follows: Let P(OVER 1.5) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is; P(OVER 1.5) * 100* 1.63333333333333 where 1.63333333333333 are the decimal odds for this outcome. Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a OVER 1.5 for 9 De Octubre FC vs CD Alianza Cotopaxi, EV(OVER 1.5) to be 71.87% * 100 * 1.63, which translates to 89.25. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.