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Cheshunt Fc vs Hornchurch prediction

Cheshunt Fc vs Hornchurch predictionwith match analysis, statistics and betting tips. This detailed prediction accompanies over 3 betting tips for the match. Cheshunt Fc vs Hornchurch are playing on England Amateur

Cheshunt Fc

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Hornchurch

DATE:

15 February 2022 at 22:45:00

TIME:

10:45 PM

COUNTRY:

England Amateur

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LEAGUE

Isthmian League, Premier Division

1X2 PREDICTION

HOME WIN:

29%

AVR. ODDS:

3.05

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

DRAW:

16%

AVR. ODDS:

4.1

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

AWAY WIN:

48%

AVR. ODDS:

2.05

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

EXPERT TIPS FOR THIS MATCH



Hornchurch is expected to outperform Cheshunt Fc in this match. Home advantage may not help Cheshunt Fc in this game. With odds of 1.44 you stand to win a fairly good amount from this tip. This is the best sure bet prediction for this match.

Note that you should also consider other betting markets other than 1X2 predictions or bets. Asian handicaps and European handicaps, for instance, can make you better profits from a match like this.

We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a away win in this Cheshunt Fc vs Hornchurch match.
The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 64.82% probability for a Away Win outcome. The ELO Ratings model came through with a 61.24% probability for the same outccome. The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 53.96% chance for a away win outcome.

This Cheshunt Fc vs Hornchurch match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models. Keep reading to find them all.

To find if the Away Win bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied Away Win bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 1.44 with an implied bookmaker probability of 69.44%.

The calculated Surebet probability for the Away Win outcome for this Cheshunt Fc vs Hornchurch match is 60.01%, meaning this bet is not a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may be about to lose expected value by -9.44%.
Expected Value, EV(Away Win), for a Away Win result for this Cheshunt Fc vs Hornchurch match is calculated as follows:
Let P(Away Win) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is;
P(Away Win) * 100* 1.44 where 1.44 are the decimal odds for this outcome.

Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a Away Win for Cheshunt Fc vs Hornchurch, EV(Away Win) to be 60.01% * 100 * 1.44, which translates to 46.41. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.
Historical data, H2H matches and results from similar and related past matches, Surebet GG prediction systems have all agreed that both teams will be able to score in this match. Both Cheshunt Fc and Hornchurch have good striking and have equally vulnerable defenses. I do not forsee a NG outcome for this game. The GG rediction for this game is both teams to score at leat one goal in this game.

We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a gg in this Cheshunt Fc vs Hornchurch match.
The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 67.63% probability for a GG outcome. The ELO Ratings model came through with a 72.52% probability for the same outccome. The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 74.83% chance for a gg outcome.
This Cheshunt Fc vs Hornchurch match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models. Keep reading to find them all.

To find if the Gg bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied GG bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 1.47 with an implied bookmaker probability of 68.03%.

The calculated Surebet probability for the Gg outcome for this Cheshunt Fc vs Hornchurch match is 71.66%, meaning this bet is a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may gain expected value by 3.63%.
Expected Value, EV(GG), for a GG result for this Cheshunt Fc vs Hornchurch match is calculated as follows:
Let P(GG) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is;
P(GG) * 100* 1.47 where 1.47 are the decimal odds for this outcome.

Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a GG for Cheshunt Fc vs Hornchurch, EV(GG) to be 71.66% * 100 * 1.47, which translates to 77. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.

Given the historical results of these teams, it is most likely that at least 2 goals will be scored in this match. Regardless of the low odds, I bet you might want to form a multi bet with this over 1.5 Prediction for Cheshunt Fc vs Hornchurch. The over OR under 1.5 goals tips for this match is therefore clearly, over 1.5 goals.

We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a over 1.5 in this Cheshunt Fc vs Hornchurch match.

The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 84.88% probability for a OVER 1.5 outcome. The ELO Ratings model came through with a 88.86% probability for the same outccome. The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 90.51% chance for a over 1.5 outcome.

This Cheshunt Fc vs Hornchurch match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models. Keep reading to find them all.

To find if the Over 1.5 bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied OVER 1.5 bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 0.893333333333333 with an implied bookmaker probability of 111.94%.

The calculated Surebet probability for the Over 1.5 outcome for this Cheshunt Fc vs Hornchurch match is 88.08%, meaning this bet is not a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may be about to lose expected value by -23.86%.
Expected Value, EV(OVER 1.5), for a OVER 1.5 result for this Cheshunt Fc vs Hornchurch match is calculated as follows:
Let P(OVER 1.5) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is;
P(OVER 1.5) * 100* 0.893333333333333 where 0.893333333333333 are the decimal odds for this outcome.

Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a OVER 1.5 for Cheshunt Fc vs Hornchurch, EV(OVER 1.5) to be 88.08% * 100 * 0.89, which translates to 66.76. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.

Cheshunt Fc vs Hornchurch prediction

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GG/NG(BTTS) PREDICTION

GG(BTTS):

80%

AVR. ODDS:

1.58

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

NO GOAL:

12%

AVR. ODDS:

2.24

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 1.5:

40%

AVR. ODDS:

1.07

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

UNDER 1.5:

2%

AVR. ODDS:

2.93

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 2.5:

84%

AVR. ODDS:

1.61

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

UNDER 2.5:

8%

AVR. ODDS:

1.76

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 3.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 3.5:

74%

AVR. ODDS:

2.82

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

UNDER 3.5:

18%

AVR. ODDS:

1.31

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

MATCH STATISTICS AND ANALYSIS

CHESHUNT FC VS HORNCHURCH PREDICTION HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES

CHESHUNT FC VS HORNCHURCH LATEST HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES
Hornchurch and Cheshunt have met 6 times recently since 00-Jan-1900. Below is a breakdown of those matches and the results. Note that these matches will play a big role in the Hornchurch vs Cheshunt prediction.
10-Dec-2021 - Hornchurch [0 : 1] Cheshunt
20/10/20 - Cheshunt [0 : 3] Hornchurch
02-Apr-2020 - Hornchurch [3 : 0] Cheshunt
00-Jan-1900 - [ : ]
00-Jan-1900 - [ : ]
00-Jan-1900 - [ : ]

CHESHUNT FC'S LAST 10 MATCHES

CHESHUNT FC LAST 10 MATCHES
Below are Cheshunt Fc's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Match won against (FT) (12/02/22-:) on Stockport
Then Cheshunt won against (FT) (05/02/22-:) on Cheshunt
Leatherhead won against (FT) (29/01/22-:) on Carshalton
Not surprisingly Cheshunt won against (FT) (25/01/22-:) on Cheshunt
Bowers & Pitsea won against (FT) (22/01/22-:) on Cheshunt
Horsham won against (FT) (15/01/22-:) on St Albans
Then Cheshunt won against (FT) (03/01/22-:) on Cheshunt
Haringey Borough won against (FT) (01/01/22-:) on Bishops Stortford
Cheshunt won against (FT) (27/12/21-:) on Cheshunt
In the earliest match listed here Enfield won against (AP) (18/12/21-:) on Cheshunt

RECENT MATCHES - AWAY TEAM

CHESHUNT FC LAST 10 MATCHES
Below are Cheshunt Fc's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Hornchurch won against Folkestone (4-1) on 02-Dec-2022
Then Haringey Borough drew with Hornchurch (3-3) on 02-May-2022
Hornchurch won against Lewes (3-1) on 29/01/22
Not surprisingly Hornchurch won against Horsham (2-0) on 25/01/22
Worthing drew with Hornchurch (1-1) on 22/01/22
Margate lost to Hornchurch (0-3) on 15/01/22
Then Hornchurch won against Bishops Stortford (2-0) on 01-Aug-2022
Brightlingsea Regent lost to Hornchurch (1-5) on 01-Mar-2022
Hornchurch won against Bowers & Pitsea (1-0) on 01-Jan-2022
In the earliest match listed here Wingate & Finchley lost to Hornchurch (1-2) on 12-Nov-2021

CHESHUNT FC POSITION

CHESHUNT FC'S POSITION
Cheshunt is in position 10 with 42 points from 26 matches. They are below Carshalton who have 43 points and above Bognor Regis who have 41 points.
Cheshunt Fc have scored 42 goals and conceded 28 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of 14 goals this season.

HORNCHURCH POSITION

CHESHUNT FC BEST PLAYERS

0

HORNCHURCH BEST PLAYERS

0

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