COLON SANTA FE vs LANUS SURE PREDICTION
A detailed Colon Santa Fe vs Lanus sure prediction with expert opinion, H2H matches, statistical analysis for this Argentina, Primera Division, Torneo Inicial match on 24-Jul-2021
Colon Santa Fe
Lanus
DATE:
24 July 2021 at 19:30:00
TIME:
7:30 PM
COUNTRY:
Argentina
LEAGUE
1X2 PREDICTION
HOME WIN:
32%
AVR. ODDS:
2.32
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
DRAW:
29%
AVR. ODDS:
3.19
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
AWAY WIN:
39%
AVR. ODDS:
3.29
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
EXPERT TIPS FOR THIS MATCH
Lanus is expected to outperform Colon Santa Fe in this match. Home advantage may not help Colon Santa Fe in this game. With odds of 3.29 you stand to win a fairly good amount from this tip. This is the best sure bet prediction for this match.
Note that you should also consider other betting markets other than 1X2 predictions or bets. Asian handicaps and European handicaps, for instance, can make you better profits from a match like this.
We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a away win in this Colon Santa Fe vs Lanus match.
The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 41.22% probability for a Away Win outcome. The ELO Ratings model came through with a 38.78% probability for the same outccome. The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 36.49% chance for a away win outcome.
This Colon Santa Fe vs Lanus match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models. Keep reading to find them all.
To find if the Away Win bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied Away Win bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 3.29 with an implied bookmaker probability of 30.40%.
The calculated Surebet probability for the Away Win outcome for this Colon Santa Fe vs Lanus match is 38.83%, meaning this bet is a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may gain expected value by 8.43%Expected Value, EV(Away Win), for a Away Win result for this Colon Santa Fe vs Lanus match is calculated as follows:
Let P(Away Win) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is;
P(Away Win) * 100* 3.29 where 3.29 are the decimal odds for this outcome.
Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a Away Win for Colon Santa Fe vs Lanus, EV(Away Win) to be 38.83% * 100 * 3.29, which translates to 66.58. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.
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GG/NG(BTTS) PREDICTION
GG(BTTS):
43%
AVR. ODDS:
1.95
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
NO GOAL:
57%
AVR. ODDS:
1.76
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 1.5:
40%
AVR. ODDS:
1.46
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
UNDER 1.5:
37%
AVR. ODDS:
2.87
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 2.5:
36%
AVR. ODDS:
2.24
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
UNDER 2.5:
64%
AVR. ODDS:
1.58
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 3.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 3.5:
17%
AVR. ODDS:
3.93
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
UNDER 3.5:
83%
AVR. ODDS:
1.18
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
MATCH STATISTICS AND ANALYSIS
COLON SANTA FE VS LANUS LATEST HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES
Lanus and Colon Santa Fe have met 6 times recently since 27/07/14. Below is a breakdown of those matches and the results. Note that these matches will play a big role in the Lanus vs Colon Santa Fe prediction.
22/09/19 - Lanus [3 : 2] Colon Santa Fe
02-Mar-2019 - Lanus [1 : 0] Colon Santa Fe
17/03/18 - Colon Santa Fe [1 : 2] Lanus
26/03/17 - Colon Santa Fe [1 : 0] Lanus
19/07/15 - Colon Santa Fe [1 : 2] Lanus
27/07/14 - Lanus [0 : 1] Colon Santa Fe
COLON SANTA FE LAST 10 MATCHES
Below are Colon Santa Fe's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
River Plate lost to Colon Santa Fe (1-2) on 19/07/21
Then Colon Santa Fe won against Racing (3-0) on 06-May-2021
Independiente lost to Colon Santa Fe (0-2) on 06-Jan-2021
Not surprisingly Colon Santa Fe won against Talleres Cordoba (5-3) on 16/05/21
Colon Santa Fe drew with Union Santa Fe (1-1) on 05-Oct-2021
Colon Santa Fe won against Arsenal (2-0) on 05-Jan-2021
Then Racing won against Colon Santa Fe (2-1) on 25/04/21
Colon Santa Fe drew with Godoy Cruz (2-2) on 19/04/21
River Plate won against Colon Santa Fe (3-2) on 04-Dec-2021
In the earliest match listed here Colon Santa Fe drew with Argentinos Juniors (0-0) on 04-Apr-2021
RECENT MATCHES - AWAY TEAM
Below are Lanus's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Lanus won against Atletico Tucuman (4-2) on 17/07/21
Lanus drew with Aragua (0-0) on 28/05/21
Then Lanus won against La Equidad (4-1) on 21/05/21
Gremio won against Lanus (3-1) on 14/05/21
Lanus won against Talleres Cordoba (1-0) on 05-Oct-2021
Then La Equidad lost to Lanus (0-1) on 05-Jul-2021
Boca Juniors won against Lanus (1-0) on 05-Feb-2021
Lanus lost to Gremio (1-2) on 30/04/21
Once more Lanus lost to Velez Sarsfield (1-2) on 25/04/21
Aragua lost to Lanus (0-1) on 23/04/21
COLON SANTA FE'S POSITION
No position listed
LANUS'S POSITION
No position listed
COLON SANTA FE'S BEST PLAYERS
Sure bet prediction, tips and even fixed matches all depend on the form of players. Below are Colon Santa Fe's players that have the potential of shaping the predictions and results for this game:
Yeiler Goez - The Colombia National Yeiler Goez has scored 1 goals in 1 matches and shot - foul kicks. He has scored - penalties. The 0.19's average goals per match is 1.
Rodrigo Aliendro - The Argentina National Rodrigo Aliendro has scored 1 goals in 1 matches and shot 1 foul kicks. He has scored - penalties. The 0.15's average goals per match is 1.
LANUS'S BEST PLAYERS
The following Lanus players are crucial in determining the results of this game:
Jose Sand - The Argentina National Jose Sand has scored 2 goals in 1 matches and shot 1 foul kicks. He has scored 1 penalties. The forward's average goals per match is 2.
Jose Manuel Lopez - The Argentina National Jose Manuel Lopez has scored 1 goals in 1 matches and shot - foul kicks. He has scored - penalties. The forward's average goals per match is 1.
Ignacio Malcorra - The Argentina National Ignacio Malcorra has scored 1 goals in 1 matches and shot - foul kicks. He has scored - penalties. The midfielder's average goals per match is 1.
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