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Edinburgh City vs Albion Rovers prediction

Edinburgh City vs Albion Rovers predictionwith match analysis, statistics and betting tips. This detailed prediction accompanies over 3 betting tips for the match. Edinburgh City vs Albion Rovers are playing on Scotland

Edinburgh City

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DATE:

15 February 2022 at 22:45:00

Albion Rovers

COUNTRY:

Scotland

LEAGUE

League Two

TIME:

10:45 PM

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1X2 PREDICTION

HOME WIN:

46%

AVR. ODDS:

1.81

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

DRAW:

39%

AVR. ODDS:

3.58

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

AWAY WIN:

15%

AVR. ODDS:

4.02

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

EXPERT TIPS FOR THIS MATCH

After analysing all the data and compiling and comparing expert opinions on this Edinburgh City vs Albion Rovers match, we are well convinced that Edinburgh City is in better form, better motivated and has proven in the past their ability to dominate this game against Albion Rovers. The surebet prediction for this game is therefore a home win. Note that there might be even better tips you can bet on today if you can be bold enough to subscribe for VIP tips. Besides, you might want to check out the GG/NG tips given their ability to increase betting profits for many punters. We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a home win in this Edinburgh City vs Albion Rovers match. The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 59.34% probability for a Home Win outcome. The ELO Ratings model came through with a 59.53% probability for the same outccome. The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 59.65% chance for a home win outcome. This Edinburgh City vs Albion Rovers match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models. Keep reading to find them all. To find if the Home Win bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied Home Win bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 2.65 with an implied bookmaker probability of 37.74%. The calculated Surebet probability for the Home Win outcome for this Edinburgh City vs Albion Rovers match is 59.51%, meaning this bet is a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may gain expected value by 21.77%.. Expected Value, EV(Home Win), for a Home Win result for this Edinburgh City vs Albion Rovers match is calculated as follows: Let P(Home Win) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is; P(Home Win) * 100* 2.65 where 2.65 are the decimal odds for this outcome. Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a Home Win for Edinburgh City vs Albion Rovers, EV(Home Win) to be 59.51% * 100 * 2.65, which translates to 117.2. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically. Edinburgh City and Albion Rovers will probably not score each other in this game. It may be much wiser if you steered clear of a goal-goal prediction and stuck with no-goal (NG prediction). If recent outcomes for mathes played by these teams both at home and away is anything to go by, then both Edinburgh City and Albion Rovers have no chance scoring each other. This is going to be a low scoring match and one team will walk away goalless. The GG/NG tips for this game is therefore No-goal. We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a ng in this Edinburgh City vs Albion Rovers match. The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 70.32% probability for a NG outcome. The ELO Ratings model came through with a 75.99% probability for the same outccome. The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 81.87% chance for a ng outcome. This Edinburgh City vs Albion Rovers match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models. Keep reading to find them all. To find if the Ng bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied NG bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 2.14 with an implied bookmaker probability of 46.73%. The calculated Surebet probability for the Ng outcome for this Edinburgh City vs Albion Rovers match is 76.06%, meaning this bet is a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may gain expected value by 29.33%. Expected Value, EV(NG), for a NG result for this Edinburgh City vs Albion Rovers match is calculated as follows: Let P(NG) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is; P(NG) * 100* 2.14 where 2.14 are the decimal odds for this outcome. Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a NG for Edinburgh City vs Albion Rovers, EV(NG) to be 76.06% * 100 * 2.14, which translates to 138.82. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.
Edinburgh City vs Albion Rovers prediction

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GG/NG(BTTS) PREDICTION

GG(BTTS):

20%

AVR. ODDS:

1.7

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

NO GOAL:

AVR. ODDS:

80%

2.04

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 1.5:

40%

AVR. ODDS:

1.17

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

UNDER 1.5:

62%

AVR. ODDS:

3.2

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 2.5:

17%

AVR. ODDS:

1.76

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

UNDER 2.5:

AVR. ODDS:

VALUEBET?

83%

1.76

Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 3.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 3.5:

6%

AVR. ODDS:

3.09

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

UNDER 3.5:

94%

AVR. ODDS:

1.31

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

MATCH STATISTICS AND ANALYSIS

EDINBURGH CITY VS ALBION ROVERS PREDICTION HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES

EDINBURGH CITY VS ALBION ROVERS LATEST HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES
Edinburgh City and Albion Rovers have met 6 times recently since 03-Jul-2020. Below is a breakdown of those matches and the results. Note that these matches will play a big role in the Edinburgh City vs Albion Rovers prediction.
11-May-2021 - Edinburgh City [0 : 4] Albion Rovers
31/07/21 - Albion Rovers [2 : 0] Edinburgh City
17/07/21 - Albion Rovers [5 : 4] Edinburgh City
23/03/21 - Albion Rovers [1 : 2] Edinburgh City
12-May-2020 - Edinburgh City [5 : 2] Albion Rovers
03-Jul-2020 - Edinburgh City [3 : 0] Albion Rovers

EDINBURGH CITY'S LAST 10 MATCHES

EDINBURGH CITY LAST 10 MATCHES
Below are Edinburgh City's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Edinburgh City won against Stirling (1-0) on 02-Nov-2022
Then Stranraer lost to Edinburgh City (0-2) on 02-May-2022
Forfar lost to Edinburgh City (2-3) on 31/01/22
Not surprisingly Aberdeen won against Edinburgh City (3-0) on 22/01/22
Kelty Hearts drew with Edinburgh City (2-2) on 15/01/22
Edinburgh City drew with Elgin City (2-2) on 01-Jul-2022
Then Cowdenbeath lost to Edinburgh City (1-2) on 22/12/21
Edinburgh City lost to Forfar (0-4) on 17/12/21
Stenhousemuir drew with Edinburgh City (2-2) on 12-Nov-2021
In the earliest match listed here Edinburgh City lost to Annan (0-1) on 12-Mar-2021

RECENT MATCHES - AWAY TEAM

EDINBURGH CITY LAST 10 MATCHES
Below are Edinburgh City's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Match won against (FT) (05/02/22-:) on Forfar
Then Albion Rovers won against (FT) (29/01/22-:) on Albion Rovers
Cowdenbeath won against (FT) (15/01/22-:) on Elgin City
Not surprisingly Albion Rovers won against (FT) (08/01/22-:) on Albion Rovers
Stenhousemuir won against (FT) (26/12/21-:) on Albion Rovers
Stranraer won against (FT) (18/12/21-:) on Cowdenbeath
Then Albion Rovers won against (FT) (11/12/21-:) on Kelty Hearts
Albion Rovers won against (FT) (04/12/21-:) on Albion Rovers
Forfar won against (FT) (27/11/21-:) on Ayr United
In the earliest match listed here Albion Rovers won against (FT) (20/11/21-:) on Annan

EDINBURGH CITY POSITION

EDINBURGH CITY'S POSITION
Edinburgh City is in position 4 with 36 points from 23 matches. They are below Annan who have 38 points and above Stenhousemuir who have 32 points.
Edinburgh City have scored 32 goals and conceded 33 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of -1 goals this season.

ALBION ROVERS POSITION

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