NG TIPS

Molde and Bodo/Glimt will probably not score each other in this game. It may be much wiser if you steered clear of a goal-goal prediction and stuck with no-goal (NG prediction). If recent outcomes for mathes played by these teams both at home and away is anything to go by, then both Molde and Bodo/Glimt have no chance scoring each other.

This is going to be a low scoring match and one team will walk away goalless. The GG/NG tips for this game is therefore No-goal. We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a ng in this Molde vs Bodo/Glimt match. The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 64.78% probability for a NG outcome.

The ELO Ratings model came through with a 61.60% probability for the same outccome. The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 63.02% chance for a ng outcome.

This Molde vs Bodo/Glimt match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models. Keep reading to find them all. To find if the Ng bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied NG bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 1.96 with an implied bookmaker probability of 51.02%.

The calculated Surebet probability for the Ng outcome for this Molde vs Bodo/Glimt match is 63.13%, meaning this bet is a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may gain expected value by 12.11%. Expected Value, EV(NG), for a NG result for this Molde vs Bodo/Glimt match is calculated as follows: Let P(NG) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet.

Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is; P(NG) * 100* 1.96 where 1.96 are the decimal odds for this outcome. Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a NG for Molde vs Bodo/Glimt, EV(NG) to be 63.13% * 100 * 1.96, which translates to 86.87.

This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically. OVER 1.5 TIPS Given the historical results of these teams, it is most likely that at least 2 goals will be scored in this match.

Regardless of the low odds, I bet you might want to form a multi bet with this over 1.5 Prediction for Molde vs Bodo/Glimt. The over OR under 1.5 goals tips for this match is therefore clearly, over 1.5 goals. We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a over 1.5 in this Molde vs Bodo/Glimt match.

The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 53.70% probability for a OVER 1.5 outcome. The ELO Ratings model came through with a 60.63% probability for the same outccome. The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 66.53% chance for a over 1.5 outcome.

This Molde vs Bodo/Glimt match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models. Keep reading to find them all. To find if the Over 1.5 bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied OVER 1.5 bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same.

The odds for this outcome are averagely 1.24 with an implied bookmaker probability of 80.21%. The calculated Surebet probability for the Over 1.5 outcome for this Molde vs Bodo/Glimt match is 60.28%, meaning this bet is not a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may be about to lose expected value by -19.93%.

Expected Value, EV(OVER 1.5), for a OVER 1.5 result for this Molde vs Bodo/Glimt match is calculated as follows: Let P(OVER 1.5) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is; P(OVER 1.5) * 100* 1.24 where 1.24 are the decimal odds for this outcome.

Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a OVER 1.5 for Molde vs Bodo/Glimt, EV(OVER 1.5) to be 60.28% * 100 * 1.24, which translates to 35.43. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.