Nizhny Novgorod vs Akhmat Grozny Prediction
Nizhny Novgorod vs Akhmat Grozny Predictionwith match analysis, statistics and betting tips. This detailed prediction accompanies over 3 betting tips for the match. Nizhny Novgorod vs Akhmat Grozny are playing on 19-Sep-24.
Nizhny Novgorod
Akhmat Grozny
DATE:
TIME:
18:30�
COUNTRY:
Russia
LEAGUE
Russian Cup, Group 3
1X2 PREDICTION
HOME WIN:
0.298
AVR. ODDS:
2.8
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
DRAW:
0.263
AVR. ODDS:
3.15
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
AWAY WIN:
0.434
AVR. ODDS:
2.23
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
EXPERT TIPS FOR THIS MATCH
AWAY WIN TIPS
Akhmat Grozny is expected to outperform Nizhny Novgorod in this match. Home advantage may not help Nizhny Novgorod in this game. With odds of 2.23 you stand to win a fairly good amount from this tip. This is the best sure bet prediction for this match.
Note that you should also consider other betting markets other than 1X2 predictions or bets. Asian handicaps and European handicaps, for instance, can make you better profits from a match like this.
To find if the Away Win bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied Away Win bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 2.23 with an implied bookmaker probability of 44.84%.
The calculated Surebet probability for the Away Win outcome for this Nizhny Novgorod vs Akhmat Grozny match is 43.42%, meaning this bet is not a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may be about to lose expected value by -1.42%.
Expected Value, EV(Away Win), for a Away Win result for this Nizhny Novgorod vs Akhmat Grozny match is calculated as follows:
Let P(Away Win) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is;
P(Away Win) * 100* 2.23 where 2.23 are the decimal odds for this outcome.
Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a Away Win for Nizhny Novgorod vs Akhmat Grozny, EV(Away Win) to be 43.42% * 100 * 2.23, which translates to 40.24. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.
OVER 1.5 TIPS
Given the historical results of these teams, it is most likely that at least 2 goals will be scored in this match. Regardless of the low odds, I bet you might want to form a multi bet with this over 1.5 Prediction for Nizhny Novgorod vs Akhmat Grozny. The over OR under 1.5 goals tips for this match is therefore clearly, over 1.5 goals.
To find if the Over 1.5 bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied OVER 1.5 bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 1.24666666666667 with an implied bookmaker probability of 80.21%.
The calculated Surebet probability for the Over 1.5 outcome for this Nizhny Novgorod vs Akhmat Grozny match is 72.05%, meaning this bet is not a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may be about to lose expected value by -8.16%.
Expected Value, EV(OVER 1.5), for a OVER 1.5 result for this Nizhny Novgorod vs Akhmat Grozny match is calculated as follows:
Let P(OVER 1.5) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is;
P(OVER 1.5) * 100* 1.24666666666667 where 1.24666666666667 are the decimal odds for this outcome.
Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a OVER 1.5 for Nizhny Novgorod vs Akhmat Grozny, EV(OVER 1.5) to be 72.05% * 100 * 1.24, which translates to 61.87. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.
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GG/NG(BTTS) PREDICTION
GG(BTTS):
0.526
AVR. ODDS:
1.7
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
NO GOAL:
0.470
AVR. ODDS:
1.99
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 1.5:
40%
AVR. ODDS:
1.25
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
UNDER 1.5:
0.275
AVR. ODDS:
3.4
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 2.5:
0.491
AVR. ODDS:
1.87
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
UNDER 2.5:
0.504
AVR. ODDS:
1.8
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 3.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 3.5:
0.292
AVR. ODDS:
3.28
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
UNDER 3.5:
0.703
AVR. ODDS:
1.34
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
MATCH STATISTICS AND ANALYSIS
NIZHNY NOVGOROD VS AKHMAT GROZNY PREDICTION HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES
Akhmat Grozny [4:1] Novgorod
Akhmat Grozny [5:1] Novgorod
Novgorod [2:0] Akhmat Grozny
Novgorod [3:2] Akhmat Grozny
Akhmat Grozny [1:3] Novgorod
Novgorod [0:1] Akhmat Grozny
Akhmat Grozny [3:1] Novgorod
NIZHNY NOVGOROD'S LAST 10 MATCHES
Below are Novgorod's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Voronezh - Novgorod [0:0]
Dinamo Moscow - Novgorod [0:0]
Novgorod - Saint Petersburg [0:3]
Novgorod - Krasnodar [0:1]
Kryliya Sovetov - Novgorod [3:1]
Krasnodar - Novgorod [2:1]
CSKA Moscow - Novgorod [4:2]
Novgorod - Khimki [1:0]
Dynamo-Makhachkala - Novgorod [0:1]
Akhmat Grozny - Novgorod [4:1]
Novgorod - CSKA Moscow [0:3]
Novgorod - Rubin Kazan [2:4]
FK Mladost Gat - Novgorod [2:0]
Novi Pazar - Novgorod [0:1]
Arsenal Tula - Novgorod [0:2]
Novgorod - Arsenal Tula [1:2]
Kryliya Sovetov - Novgorod [1:1]
Novgorod - CSKA Moscow [2:6]
Sochi - Novgorod [6:1]
Novgorod - Spartak Moscow [0:0]
Akhmat Grozny - Novgorod [5:1]
Novgorod - Lokomotiv Moscow [2:3]
Novgorod - Dinamo Moscow [1:4]
Orenburg - Novgorod [3:1]
Novgorod - Krasnodar [3:4]
Kaliningrad - Novgorod [2:0]
Novgorod - Znamya Truda [1:0]
Rubin Kazan - Novgorod [0:1]
Novgorod - Voronezh [1:1]
Novgorod - Arkadag FK [1:2]
RECENT MATCHES - AWAY TEAM
Below are Akhmat Grozny's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Dinamo Moscow - Akhmat Grozny [4:2]
Akhmat Grozny - Akron Tolyatti [0:0]
Akhmat Grozny - CSKA Moscow [0:2]
Akhmat Grozny - Khimki [3:3]
Dynamo-Makhachkala - Akhmat Grozny [1:0]
Krasnodar - Akhmat Grozny [1:0]
Spartak Moscow - Akhmat Grozny [0:0]
Akhmat Grozny - Lokomotiv Moscow [0:5]
Akhmat Grozny - Novgorod [4:1]
Orenburg - Akhmat Grozny [0:0]
Akhmat Grozny - Krasnodar [1:1]
CSKA Moscow - Akhmat Grozny [2:2]
Dinamo Moscow - Akhmat Grozny [0:3]
Voronezh - Akhmat Grozny [2:0]
Akhmat Grozny - Saint Petersburg [1:5]
Kryliya Sovetov - Akhmat Grozny [0:2]
Krasnodar - Akhmat Grozny [0:1]
Akhmat Grozny - Novgorod [5:1]
Akhmat Grozny - Sochi [1:0]
CSKA Moscow - Akhmat Grozny [1:2]
Akhmat Grozny - Kaliningrad [1:7]
Akhmat Grozny - Lokomotiv Moscow [0:2]
Akhmat Grozny - Orenburg [0:1]
Rubin Kazan - Akhmat Grozny [2:1]
Volgar Astrakhan - Akhmat Grozny [1:2]
Dinamo Moscow - Akhmat Grozny [2:0]
Akhmat Grozny - Ural Yekaterinburg [1:0]
Orenburg - Akhmat Grozny [2:1]
FC Alania Vladikavkaz - Akhmat Grozny [0:2]
Krasnoyarsk - Akhmat Grozny [1:2]
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