Skf Sered vs As Trencin prediction (Correct Score)
Skf Sered vs As Trencin prediction. This detailed prediction accompanies over 3 betting tips for the match. Skf Sered vs As Trencin are playing on 04-Dec-21
Skf Sered
DATE:
4 December 2021 at 17:00:00
As Trencin
COUNTRY:
Slovakia
LEAGUE
Superliga
TIME:
5:00 PM
1X2 PREDICTION
HOME WIN:
49%
AVR. ODDS:
2.67
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
DRAW:
20%
AVR. ODDS:
3.51
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
AWAY WIN:
30%
AVR. ODDS:
2.43
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
EXPERT TIPS FOR THIS MATCH
As Trencin is expected to outperform Skf Sered in this match. Home advantage may not help Skf Sered in this game. With odds of 2.31 you stand to win a fairly good amount from this tip. This is the best sure bet prediction for this match. Note that you should also consider other betting markets other than 1X2 predictions or bets. Asian handicaps and European handicaps, for instance, can make you better profits from a match like this. We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a away win in this Skf Sered vs As Trencin match. The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 41.92% probability for a Away Win outcome.
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The ELO Ratings model came through with a 48.50% probability for the same outccome. The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 55.16% chance for a away win outcome. This Skf Sered vs As Trencin match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models.
Keep reading to find them all. To find if the Away Win bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied Away Win bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 2.31 with an implied bookmaker probability of 43.29%. The calculated Surebet probability for the Away Win outcome for this Skf Sered vs As Trencin match is 48.53%, meaning this bet is a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may gain expected value by 5.24%Expected Value, EV(Away Win), for a Away Win result for this Skf Sered vs As Trencin match is calculated as follows: Let P(Away Win) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet.
Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is; P(Away Win) * 100* 2.31 where 2.31 are the decimal odds for this outcome. Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a Away Win for Skf Sered vs As Trencin, EV(Away Win) to be 48.53% * 100 * 2.31, which translates to 60.61. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically. Given the historical results of these teams, it is most likely that at least 2 goals will be scored in this match. Regardless of the low odds, I bet you might want to form a multi bet with this over 1.5 Prediction for Skf Sered vs As Trencin. The over OR under 1.5 goals tips for this match is therefore clearly, over 1.5 goals. We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a over 1.5 in this Skf Sered vs As Trencin match. The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 73.45% probability for a OVER 1.5 outcome. The ELO Ratings model came through with a 72.90% probability for the same outccome. The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 72.30% chance for a over 1.5 outcome. This Skf Sered vs As Trencin match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models. Keep reading to find them all. To find if the Over 1.5 bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied OVER 1.5 bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same.
The odds for this outcome are averagely 1.22 with an implied bookmaker probability of 81.97%. The calculated Surebet probability for the Over 1.5 outcome for this Skf Sered vs As Trencin match is 72.88%, meaning this bet is not a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may be about to lose expected value by -9.09%Expected Value, EV(OVER 1.5), for a OVER 1.5 result for this Skf Sered vs As Trencin match is calculated as follows: Let P(OVER 1.5) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is; P(OVER 1.5) * 100* 1.22 where 1.22 are the decimal odds for this outcome. Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a OVER 1.5 for Skf Sered vs As Trencin, EV(OVER 1.5) to be 72.88% * 100 * 1.22, which translates to 61.79. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.
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GG/NG(BTTS) PREDICTION
GG(BTTS):
72%
AVR. ODDS:
1.55
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
NO GOAL:
AVR. ODDS:
27%
2.31
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 1.5:
40%
AVR. ODDS:
1.09
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
UNDER 1.5:
10%
AVR. ODDS:
2.98
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 2.5:
73%
AVR. ODDS:
1.64
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
UNDER 2.5:
AVR. ODDS:
VALUEBET?
25%
1.76
Not a Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 3.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 3.5:
54%
AVR. ODDS:
2.88
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
UNDER 3.5:
45%
AVR. ODDS:
1.31
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
MATCH STATISTICS AND ANALYSIS
SKF SERED VS AS TRENCIN PREDICTION HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES
Trencin and Sered have met 6 times recently since 28/09/19. Below is a breakdown of those matches and the results. Note that these matches will play a big role in the Trencin vs Sered prediction.
28/08/21 - Trencin [0 : 0] Sered
29/11/20 - Trencin [1 : 0] Sered
22/09/20 - Sered [1 : 1] Trencin
07-Apr-2020 - Trencin [3 : 2] Sered
03-Jan-2020 - Trencin [2 : 1] Sered
28/09/19 - Sered [1 : 1] Trencin
SKF SERED'S LAST 10 MATCHES
Below are Skf Sered's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Slovan Bratislava won against Sered (2-0) on 29/11/21
Then Sered won against Ziar Nad Hronom (3-1) on 20/11/21
Dunajska Streda lost to Sered (1-3) on 11-Jun-2021
Not surprisingly Ruzomberok won against Sered (3-1) on 30/10/21
Sered drew with Zilina (1-1) on 22/10/21
Zlate Moravce drew with Sered (2-2) on 16/10/21
Then Sered won against Senica (2-1) on 10-Feb-2021
Sered lost to Michalovce (0-1) on 25/09/21
1914 Samorin won against Sered (4-2) on 21/09/21
In the earliest match listed here Trnava won against Sered (2-0) on 17/09/21
RECENT MATCHES - AWAY TEAM
Below are Skf Sered's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Trencin lost to Dunajska Streda (0-1) on 27/11/21
Then Ruzomberok won against Trencin (3-0) on 19/11/21
Trencin won against Michalovce (4-2) on 11-May-2021
Not surprisingly Trencin lost to Slovan Bratislava (2-3) on 31/10/21
Pribelce lost to Trencin (0-3) on 27/10/21
Zlate Moravce lost to Trencin (0-1) on 23/10/21
Then Liptovsky Mikulas won against Trencin (2-1) on 15/10/21
Trencin lost to Trnava (0-1) on 10-Mar-2021
Ziar Nad Hronom drew with Trencin (2-2) on 24/09/21
In the earliest match listed here Raca lost to Trencin (0-3) on 21/09/21
SKF SERED POSITION
Trencin is in position 6 with 20 points from 16 matches. They are below Zilina who have 23 points and above Michalovce who have 20 points.
Skf Sered have scored 24 goals and conceded 23 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of 1 goals this season.
AS TRENCIN POSITION
Sered is in position 8 with 19 points from 16 matches. They are below Michalovce who have 20 points and above Senica who have 15 points.
As Trencin have scored 18 goals and conceded 22 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of -4 goals this season.
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