Zaragoza vs Eibar prediction
Zaragoza vs Eibar prediction. This detailed prediction accompanies over 3 betting tips for the match. Zaragoza vs Eibar are playing on 06-Dec-21
Zaragoza
DATE:
5 December 2021 at 18:00:00
Eibar
1X2 PREDICTION
EXPERT TIPS FOR THIS MATCH
Eibar is expected to outperform Zaragoza in this match. Home advantage may not help Zaragoza in this game. With odds of 8.78 you stand to win a fairly good amount from this tip. This is the best sure bet prediction for this match.
Note that you should also consider other betting markets other than 1X2 predictions or bets. Asian handicaps and European handicaps, for instance, can make you better profits from a match like this.
We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a away win in this Zaragoza vs Eibar match.
The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 40.99% probability for a Away Win outcome. The ELO Ratings model came through with a 45.39% probability for the same outccome. The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 49.79% chance for a away win outcome.
This Zaragoza vs Eibar match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models. Keep reading to find them all.
To find if the Away Win bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied Away Win bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 8.78 with an implied bookmaker probability of 11.39%.
The calculated Surebet probability for the Away Win outcome for this Zaragoza vs Eibar match is 45.39%, meaning this bet is a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may gain expected value by 34.00%Expected Value, EV(Away Win), for a Away Win result for this Zaragoza vs Eibar match is calculated as follows:
Let P(Away Win) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is;
P(Away Win) * 100* 8.78 where 8.78 are the decimal odds for this outcome.
Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a Away Win for Zaragoza vs Eibar, EV(Away Win) to be 45.39% * 100 * 8.78, which translates to 343.93. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.
Zaragoza and Eibar will probably not score each other in this game. It may be much wiser if you steered clear of a goal-goal prediction and stuck with no-goal (NG prediction). If recent outcomes for mathes played by these teams both at home and away is anything to go by, then both Zaragoza and Eibar have no chance scoring each other. This is going to be a low scoring match and one team will walk away goalless. The GG/NG tips for this game is therefore No-goal.
We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a ng in this Zaragoza vs Eibar match.
The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 51.45% probability for a NG outcome. The ELO Ratings model came through with a 51.67% probability for the same outccome. The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 52.32% chance for a ng outcome.
This Zaragoza vs Eibar match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models. Keep reading to find them all.
To find if the Ng bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied NG bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 2.365 with an implied bookmaker probability of 42.28%.
The calculated Surebet probability for the Ng outcome for this Zaragoza vs Eibar match is 51.81%, meaning this bet is a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may gain expected value by 9.53%Expected Value, EV(NG), for a NG result for this Zaragoza vs Eibar match is calculated as follows:
Let P(NG) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is;
P(NG) * 100* 2.365 where 2.365 are the decimal odds for this outcome.
Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a NG for Zaragoza vs Eibar, EV(NG) to be 51.81% * 100 * 2.36, which translates to 74.35. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.
Given the historical results of these teams, it is most likely that at least 2 goals will be scored in this match. Regardless of the low odds, I bet you might want to form a multi bet with this over 1.5 Prediction for Zaragoza vs Eibar. The over OR under 1.5 goals tips for this match is therefore clearly, over 1.5 goals.
We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a over 1.5 in this Zaragoza vs Eibar match.
The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 69.03% probability for a OVER 1.5 outcome. The ELO Ratings model came through with a 69.53% probability for the same outccome. The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 70.00% chance for a over 1.5 outcome.
This Zaragoza vs Eibar match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models. Keep reading to find them all.
To find if the Over 1.5 bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied OVER 1.5 bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 1.08 with an implied bookmaker probability of 92.59%.
The calculated Surebet probability for the Over 1.5 outcome for this Zaragoza vs Eibar match is 69.52%, meaning this bet is not a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may be about to lose expected value by -23.07%Expected Value, EV(OVER 1.5), for a OVER 1.5 result for this Zaragoza vs Eibar match is calculated as follows:
Let P(OVER 1.5) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is;
P(OVER 1.5) * 100* 1.08 where 1.08 are the decimal odds for this outcome.
Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a OVER 1.5 for Zaragoza vs Eibar, EV(OVER 1.5) to be 69.52% * 100 * 1.08, which translates to 44.6. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.
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GG/NG(BTTS) PREDICTION
OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER/UNDER 3.5 GOALS PREDICTION
MATCH STATISTICS AND ANALYSIS
ZARAGOZA VS EIBAR PREDICTION HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES
30/07/21 - Gaz Metan [2 : 2] Champions FC Arges
30/04/21 - Gaz Metan [1 : 1] Champions FC Arges
17/01/21 - Champions FC Arges [1 : 1] Gaz Metan
28/08/20 - Gaz Metan [2 : 0] Champions FC Arges
04-Aug-2009 - Gaz Metan [2 : 2] Champions FC Arges
29/08/08 - Champions FC Arges [2 : 0] Gaz Metan
ZARAGOZA'S LAST 10 MATCHES
ARGESUL PITESTI LAST 10 MATCHES
Below are Argesul Pitesti's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Pol. Timisoara lost to Champions FC Arges (4-5) on 12-Jan-2021
Then Uta Arad lost to Champions FC Arges (0-1) on 27/11/21
Champions FC Arges won against Uni Craiova (3-2) on 21/11/21
Not surprisingly Champions FC Arges lost to Botosani (0-1) on 11-May-2021
FCSB won against Champions FC Arges (2-1) on 31/10/21
Dinamo Bucuresti lost to Champions FC Arges (1-2) on 26/10/21
Then Voluntari lost to Champions FC Arges (0-2) on 23/10/21
Champions FC Arges won against Farul Constanta (2-1) on 17/10/21
Mioveni drew with Champions FC Arges (0-0) on 10-Jan-2021
In the earliest match listed here Champions FC Arges drew with Chindia Targoviste (0-0) on 25/09/21
RECENT MATCHES - AWAY TEAM
ARGESUL PITESTI LAST 10 MATCHES
Below are Argesul Pitesti's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Gaz Metan drew with Farul Constanta (1-1) on 29/11/21
Then Mioveni won against Gaz Metan (1-0) on 22/11/21
Chindia Targoviste lost to Gaz Metan (0-1) on 11-May-2021
Not surprisingly Gaz Metan drew with Academica Clinceni (1-1) on 31/10/21
Gaz Metan lost to Chindia Targoviste (0-1) on 26/10/21
U Craiova won against Gaz Metan (2-0) on 22/10/21
Then Gaz Metan won against Dinamo Bucuresti (2-1) on 15/10/21
CFR Cluj won against Gaz Metan (2-1) on 10-Mar-2021
Gaz Metan drew with Sepsi OSK (0-0) on 27/09/21
In the earliest match listed here Concordia Chiajna lost to Gaz Metan (0-1) on 22/09/21
ZARAGOZA POSITION
ARGESUL PITESTI'S POSITION
Champions FC Arges is in position 7 with 27 points from 17 matches. They are below Botosani who have 28 points and above Farul Constanta who have 26 points.
Argesul Pitesti have scored 17 goals and conceded 12 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of 5 goals this season.
EIBAR POSITION
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