AC AJACCIO vs CAEN OVER 1.5 SUREBET PREDICTION
A detailed Ac Ajaccio vs Caen OVER 1.5 sure prediction with expert opinion, H2H matches, statistical analysis for this France, Ligue 2 match on 25-Aug-2021
Ac Ajaccio
تاريخ:
25 August 2021 at 20:00:00
Caen
بلد:
France
الدوري
Ligue 2
زمن:
8:00 PM
1X2 التنبؤ
الرئيسية اربح:
43%
AVR. احتمال:
2.34
VALUEBET؟
0.077603113
رسم:
31%
AVR. احتمال:
3.26
VALUEBET؟
'-0.061212407
الفوز بعيدًا:
32%
AVR. احتمال:
3.11
VALUEBET؟
'-0.074474828
نصائح الخبراء لهذه المباراة
Given the historical matches of these teams, it is almost clear that at least 2 goals will be scored in this match. Regardless of the low odds, I bet you might want to form a multi bet with this over 1.5 Prediction for Ac Ajaccio vs Caen.
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The over/under 1.5 goals tips for this match is therefore clearly, over 1.5 goals. All 3 major Surebet prediction models have indicated a possible over 1.5 in this Ac Ajaccio vs Caen match. Poisson prediction model shows there is a 68.07% chance for the outcome while the ELO Ratings model shows a 74.53% chance for the same. Finally, 79.61% of the Monte Carlo simulation runs for this match resulted in over 1.5.
This pretty much consolidates the prediction of a over 1.5 in this game. The odds for Over 1.5 outcome on major betting sites are, on average, 1.52287581699346 with an implied bookmaker probability of 65.67%. Considering that the surebet probability for the OVER 1.5 outcome for this Ac Ajaccio vs Caen match is 74.07%, then this bet is a value bet. If you play this bet then you you gain expected value by 8.40%.
The expected value for a OVER 1.5 prediction is denoted as EV(OVER 1.5) and is calculated by multiplying the amount of stake by the odds and again by the probability of winning then subtracting the result of multiplying the stake and the probability of losing.
By using 100 as your sample stake, by calculating the EV as explained, we get the expected value for a OVER 1.5 in this Ac Ajaccio vs Caen match is 86.86 which is positive and therefore a good bet.
مشاركة هذه الصفحة مع أصدقائك.
تنبؤ GG / NG (BTTS)
GG (BTTS):
49%
AVR. احتمال:
2.03
VALUEBET؟
0.02043632
لا هدف:
AVR. احتمال:
58%
1.71
VALUEBET؟
'-0.100284299
أكثر / أقل من 1.5 هدف التنبؤ
أكثر من 1.5:
40٪
AVR. احتمال:
1.52
VALUEBET؟
0.084047898
أقل من 1.5:
36%
AVR. احتمال:
2.8
VALUEBET؟
'-0.100284936
أكثر / أقل من 2.5 هدف التنبؤ
أكثر من 2.5:
43%
AVR. احتمال:
2.33
VALUEBET؟
0.066973448
أقل من 2.5:
AVR. احتمال:
VALUEBET؟
65%
1.54
'-0.147950466
أكثر / أقل من 3.5 أهداف التنبؤ
أكثر من 3.5:
24%
AVR. احتمال:
4.09
VALUEBET؟
0.03471003
أقل من 3.5:
87%
AVR. احتمال:
1.15
VALUEBET؟
'-0.151916913
إحصائيات المباراة وتحليلها
AC AJACCIO VS CAEN LATEST HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES
Caen and Ac Ajaccio have met 6 times recently since 21/01/14. Below is a breakdown of those matches and the results. Note that these matches will play a big role in the Caen vs Ac Ajaccio prediction.
07-Oct-2021 - Caen [0 : 0] AC Ajaccio
16/01/21 - AC Ajaccio [1 : 0] Caen
29/08/20 - Caen [1 : 0] AC Ajaccio
24/01/20 - Caen [0 : 1] AC Ajaccio
08-Sep-2019 - AC Ajaccio [1 : 2] Caen
21/01/14 - AC Ajaccio [0 : 2] Caen
AC AJACCIO LAST 10 MATCHES
Below are Ac Ajaccio's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Auxerre drew with AC Ajaccio (0-0) on 08-Jul-2021
Then AC Ajaccio won against Amiens (3-1) on 31/07/21
Toulouse drew with AC Ajaccio (2-2) on 24/07/21
Not surprisingly Nimes won against AC Ajaccio (1-0) on 17/07/21
Caen drew with AC Ajaccio (0-0) on 07-Oct-2021
Lavallois Mayenne lost to AC Ajaccio (1-2) on 07-Jul-2021
Then Chateauroux drew with AC Ajaccio (0-0) on 15/05/21
AC Ajaccio drew with Paris (1-1) on 05-Aug-2021
Pau drew with AC Ajaccio (0-0) on 05-Jan-2021
In the earliest match listed here AC Ajaccio drew with Amiens (2-2) on 24/04/21
المباريات الأخيرة - فريق بعيد
Below are Caen's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Caen won against Nancy-Lorraine (1-0) on 21/08/21
Caen lost to Sochaux-Montbeliard (1-2) on 08-Jul-2021
Then Niort lost to Caen (0-1) on 31/07/21
Caen won against Rodez (4-0) on 24/07/21
Bordeaux won against Caen (2-1) on 18/07/21
Then Nantes lost to Caen (0-1) on 17/07/21
Orleans lost to Caen (1-3) on 14/07/21
Caen drew with AC Ajaccio (0-0) on 07-Oct-2021
Once more Caen drew with Guingamp (1-1) on 07-Jul-2021
Caen won against Beauvais (2-0) on 07-Mar-2021
AC AJACCIO'S POSITION
AC Ajaccio is in position 12 with 5 points from 3 matches. They are below Niort who have 7 points and above Bastia who have 5 points.
have scored 5 goals and conceded 3 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of 2 goals this season.
CAEN'S POSITION
Caen is in position 5 with 9 points from 4 matches. They are below Sochaux-Montbeliard who have 10 points and above Auxerre who have 8 points.
Caen have scored 7 goals and conceded 2 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of 5 goals this season.
تطوير
التسعير
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10000 شيلينغ كيني
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