AVELLINO vs VIRTUS FRANCAVILLA SURE PREDICTION
A detailed Avellino vs Virtus Francavilla sure prediction with expert opinion, H2H matches, statistical analysis for this Italy, Lega Pro, Girone C match on 09-Oct-2021
Avellino
تاريخ:
8 October 2021 at 18:30:00
Virtus Francavilla
بلد:
Italy
الدوري
Lega Pro, Girone C
زمن:
6:30 PM
1X2 التنبؤ
الرئيسية اربح:
18%
AVR. احتمال:
1.66
VALUEBET؟
Not a Value Bet
رسم:
19%
AVR. احتمال:
3.45
VALUEBET؟
Not a Value Bet
الفوز بعيدًا:
61%
AVR. احتمال:
5.52
VALUEBET؟
Value Bet
نصائح الخبراء لهذه المباراة
Surebet's experience, algorithms and expertise have all converged on a conclution that this will be a high scoring match. Matches with high expected goals, passes and shots on target usually end with over 2.5 goals. This match between Avellino and Virtus Francavilla is one of those.
The odds for over 2.5 are also relatively good at 2.4 This is an average bet with high Odds. Also check out Over/Under tips for half time on the half time tips page. We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a over 2.5 in this Avellino vs Virtus Francavilla match. The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 56.78% probability for a OVER 2.5 outcome.
The ELO Ratings model came through with a 66.74% probability for the same outccome. The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 73.99% chance for a over 2.5 outcome. This Avellino vs Virtus Francavilla match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models. Keep reading to find them all.
To find if the Over 2.5 bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied OVER 2.5 bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 2.4 with an implied bookmaker probability of 41.67%. The calculated Surebet probability for the Over 2.5 outcome for this Avellino vs Virtus Francavilla match is 65.83%, meaning this bet is a value bet.
In case you place this bet, you may gain expected value by 24.17%Expected Value, EV(OVER 2.5), for a OVER 2.5 result for this Avellino vs Virtus Francavilla match is calculated as follows: Let P(OVER 2.5) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is; P(OVER 2.5) * 100* 2.4 where 2.4 are the decimal odds for this outcome.
Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a OVER 2.5 for Avellino vs Virtus Francavilla, EV(OVER 2.5) to be 65.83% * 100 * 2.4, which translates to 123.83. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.
مشاركة هذه الصفحة مع أصدقائك.
تنبؤ GG / NG (BTTS)
GG (BTTS):
61%
AVR. احتمال:
2.34
VALUEBET؟
Value Bet
لا هدف:
AVR. احتمال:
37%
1.53
VALUEBET؟
Not a Value Bet
أكثر / أقل من 1.5 هدف التنبؤ
أكثر من 1.5:
40٪
AVR. احتمال:
1.57
VALUEBET؟
Value Bet
أقل من 1.5:
14%
AVR. احتمال:
2.75
VALUEBET؟
Not a Value Bet
أكثر / أقل من 2.5 هدف التنبؤ
أكثر من 2.5:
66%
AVR. احتمال:
2.4
VALUEBET؟
Value Bet
أقل من 2.5:
AVR. احتمال:
VALUEBET؟
32%
1.51
Not a Value Bet
أكثر / أقل من 3.5 أهداف التنبؤ
أكثر من 3.5:
45%
AVR. احتمال:
4.21
VALUEBET؟
Value Bet
أقل من 3.5:
53%
AVR. احتمال:
1.13
VALUEBET؟
Not a Value Bet
إحصائيات المباراة وتحليلها
AVELLINO VS VIRTUS FRANCAVILLA LATEST HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES
Curently no head to head
AVELLINO LAST 10 MATCHES
Below are Avellino's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Monterosi won against Avellino (2-1) on 10-Mar-2021
Then Avellino drew with Catanzaro (0-0) on 30/09/21
Avellino won against Potenza (1-0) on 26/09/21
Not surprisingly Monopoli drew with Avellino (0-0) on 20/09/21
Avellino lost to Ancona-Matelica (0-1) on 15/09/21
Avellino drew with Latina (1-1) on 09-Dec-2021
Then Stabia drew with Avellino (0-0) on 09-Apr-2021
Avellino drew with Citta Di Campobasso (1-1) on 29/08/21
Ternana won against Avellino (4-3) on 08-Aug-2021
In the earliest match listed here Avellino lost to Padova (0-1) on 06-Sep-2021
المباريات الأخيرة - فريق بعيد
Below are Virtus Francavilla's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Francavilla drew with Taranto (0-0) on 10-Mar-2021
Potenza lost to Francavilla (0-1) on 29/09/21
Then Francavilla won against Monopoli (3-1) on 26/09/21
Messina won against Francavilla (1-0) on 19/09/21
Fidelis Andria won against Francavilla (2-1) on 15/09/21
Then Fidelis Andria lost to Francavilla (0-1) on 09-Dec-2021
Francavilla won against Vibonese (1-0) on 09-May-2021
Catanzaro won against Francavilla (3-1) on 29/08/21
Once more Francavilla won against Taranto (2-0) on 22/08/21
Francavilla lost to Palermo (1-3) on 05-Feb-2021
AVELLINO'S POSITION
No position listed
VIRTUS FRANCAVILLA'S POSITION
No position listed
تطوير
التسعير
انظر أدناه ما تحصل عليه عند الترقية
نصائح VIP
نصائح VIP
12 دولار أمريكي
1000 KES
10 يورو
10 نصائح تم تحليلها باحتراف
بين 200-1000 احتمال في اليوم
دقة تقترب من 100٪
احصل على خطة شخصية لكبار الشخصيات
الأفضل للمراهنين المخضرمين ذوي المسؤوليات المالية
ضمان زيادة حصتك الأولية 100X
ورقة اكسل الرهان المجاني
3 نصائح حول النتيجة الصحيحة + 3 نصائح حول GG / NG + 3 نصائح وقت Hlf + 3 نصائح حول الإعاقة الآسيوية + 3 نصائح حول الإعاقة الأوروبية
خدمة عملاء مخصصة
الاشتراك نشط لمدة 3 أيام
المباريات الثابتة
المباريات الثابتة
120 دولار أمريكي
10000 شيلينغ كيني
15 على الأقل مباريات ثابتة يوميا
بين 100-1000 احتمال في اليوم
دقة 100٪ (احتمالات ثابتة)
خطط شخصية خاصة لتعظيم الأرباح
الأفضل لأولئك الذين يراهنون كوظائفهم الرئيسية
ضمان زيادة حصتك الأولية بمقدار 500X
خدمة عملاء مخصصة
الحرة ورقة إكسل المقتفي الرهان
تكون المباريات الثابتة في الغالب على شكل 1X2 والنتائج الصحيحة
تحديثات مجانية على التقلبات الفردية ودعم الرهان المباشر
الاشتراك نشط لمدة أسبوع
إشعارات الهاتف والبريد الإلكتروني لتنبيهات المباراة الثابتة
بعد الاشتراك الأولي ، يمكن للأعضاء التبديل إلى باقة الدفع الآجل
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