After analysing all the data and compiling and comparing expert opinions on this Dover vs Notts County match, we are well convinced that Dover is in better form, better motivated and has proven in the past their ability to dominate this game against Notts County. The surebet prediction for this game is therefore a home win.
Note that there might be even better tips you can bet on today if you can be bold enough to subscribe for VIP tips. Besides, you might want to check out the GG/NG tips given their ability to increase betting profits for many punters.

We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a home win in this Dover vs Notts County match.
The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 40.67% probability for a Home Win outcome. The ELO Ratings model came through with a 40.55% probability for the same outccome. The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 40.42% chance for a home win outcome.

This Dover vs Notts County match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models. Keep reading to find them all.

To find if the Home Win bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied Home Win bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 2.08 with an implied bookmaker probability of 48.08%.

The calculated Surebet probability for the Home Win outcome for this Dover vs Notts County match is 40.55%, meaning this bet is not a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may be about to lose expected value by -7.53%.
Expected Value, EV(Home Win), for a Home Win result for this Dover vs Notts County match is calculated as follows:
Let P(Home Win) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is;
P(Home Win) * 100* 2.08 where 2.08 are the decimal odds for this outcome.

Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a Home Win for Dover vs Notts County, EV(Home Win) to be 40.55% * 100 * 2.08, which translates to 24.88. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.


Historical data, H2H matches and results from similar and related past matches, Surebet GG prediction systems have all agreed that both teams will be able to score in this match. Both Dover and Notts County have good striking and have equally vulnerable defenses. I do not forsee a NG outcome for this game. The GG rediction for this game is both teams to score at leat one goal in this game.

We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a gg in this Dover vs Notts County match.
The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 67.67% probability for a GG outcome. The ELO Ratings model came through with a 66.28% probability for the same outccome. The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 64.83% chance for a gg outcome.
This Dover vs Notts County match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models. Keep reading to find them all.

To find if the Gg bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied GG bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 1.62 with an implied bookmaker probability of 61.73%.

The calculated Surebet probability for the Gg outcome for this Dover vs Notts County match is 66.26%, meaning this bet is a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may gain expected value by 4.53%.
Expected Value, EV(GG), for a GG result for this Dover vs Notts County match is calculated as follows:
Let P(GG) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is;
P(GG) * 100* 1.62 where 1.62 are the decimal odds for this outcome.

Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a GG for Dover vs Notts County, EV(GG) to be 66.26% * 100 * 1.62, which translates to 73.6. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.

Given the historical results of these teams, it is most likely that at least 2 goals will be scored in this match. Regardless of the low odds, I bet you might want to form a multi bet with this over 1.5 Prediction for Dover vs Notts County. The over OR under 1.5 goals tips for this match is therefore clearly, over 1.5 goals.

We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a over 1.5 in this Dover vs Notts County match.

The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 85.78% probability for a OVER 1.5 outcome. The ELO Ratings model came through with a 84.77% probability for the same outccome. The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 83.67% chance for a over 1.5 outcome.

This Dover vs Notts County match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models. Keep reading to find them all.

To find if the Over 1.5 bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied OVER 1.5 bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 1.13333333333333 with an implied bookmaker probability of 88.24%.

The calculated Surebet probability for the Over 1.5 outcome for this Dover vs Notts County match is 84.74%, meaning this bet is not a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may be about to lose expected value by -3.49%.
Expected Value, EV(OVER 1.5), for a OVER 1.5 result for this Dover vs Notts County match is calculated as follows:
Let P(OVER 1.5) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is;
P(OVER 1.5) * 100* 1.13333333333333 where 1.13333333333333 are the decimal odds for this outcome.

Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a OVER 1.5 for Dover vs Notts County, EV(OVER 1.5) to be 84.74% * 100 * 1.13, which translates to 80.78. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.