NG TIPS
Le Mans and Bourg Peronnas will probably not score each other in this game. It may be much wiser if you steered clear of a goal-goal prediction and stuck with no-goal (NG prediction). If recent outcomes for mathes played by these teams both at home and away is anything to go by, then both Le Mans and Bourg Peronnas have no chance scoring each other. This is going to be a low scoring match and one team will walk away goalless. The GG/NG tips for this game is therefore No-goal.


To find if the Ng bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied NG bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 1.75 with an implied bookmaker probability of 57.14%.

The calculated Surebet probability for the Ng outcome for this Le Mans vs Bourg Peronnas match is 64.99%, meaning this bet is a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may gain expected value by 7.84%.
Expected Value, EV(NG), for a NG result for this Le Mans vs Bourg Peronnas match is calculated as follows:
Let P(NG) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is;
P(NG) * 100* 1.75 where 1.75 are the decimal odds for this outcome.

Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a NG for Le Mans vs Bourg Peronnas, EV(NG) to be 64.99% * 100 * 1.75, which translates to 78.71. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.
OVER 1.5 TIPS
Given the historical results of these teams, it is most likely that at least 2 goals will be scored in this match. Regardless of the low odds, I bet you might want to form a multi bet with this over 1.5 Prediction for Le Mans vs Bourg Peronnas. The over OR under 1.5 goals tips for this match is therefore clearly, over 1.5 goals.


To find if the Over 1.5 bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied OVER 1.5 bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 1.36 with an implied bookmaker probability of 73.53%.

The calculated Surebet probability for the Over 1.5 outcome for this Le Mans vs Bourg Peronnas match is 55.61%, meaning this bet is not a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may be about to lose expected value by -17.92%.
Expected Value, EV(OVER 1.5), for a OVER 1.5 result for this Le Mans vs Bourg Peronnas match is calculated as follows:
Let P(OVER 1.5) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is;
P(OVER 1.5) * 100* 1.36 where 1.36 are the decimal odds for this outcome.

Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a OVER 1.5 for Le Mans vs Bourg Peronnas, EV(OVER 1.5) to be 55.61% * 100 * 1.36, which translates to 31.24. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.