OVER 1.5 TIPS
Given the historical results of these teams, it is most likely that at least 2 goals will be scored in this match. Regardless of the low odds, I bet you might want to form a multi bet with this over 1.5 Prediction for Nazareth Ilit vs Hapoel Tel Aviv. The over OR under 1.5 goals tips for this match is therefore clearly, over 1.5 goals.


To find if the Over 1.5 bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied OVER 1.5 bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 1.17333333333333 with an implied bookmaker probability of 85.23%.

The calculated Surebet probability for the Over 1.5 outcome for this Nazareth Ilit vs Hapoel Tel Aviv match is 80.88%, meaning this bet is not a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may be about to lose expected value by -4.35%.
Expected Value, EV(OVER 1.5), for a OVER 1.5 result for this Nazareth Ilit vs Hapoel Tel Aviv match is calculated as follows:
Let P(OVER 1.5) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is;
P(OVER 1.5) * 100* 1.17333333333333 where 1.17333333333333 are the decimal odds for this outcome.

Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a OVER 1.5 for Nazareth Ilit vs Hapoel Tel Aviv, EV(OVER 1.5) to be 80.88% * 100 * 1.17, which translates to 75.77. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.