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The ELO Ratings model came through with a 44.64% probability for the same outccome. The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 39.12% chance for a away win outcome. This Slavia Sofia vs Lokomotive Sofia match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models. Keep reading to find them all. To find if the Away Win bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied Away Win bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 3.1 with an implied bookmaker probability of 32.26%. The calculated Surebet probability for the Away Win outcome for this Slavia Sofia vs Lokomotive Sofia match is 44.93%, meaning this bet is a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may gain expected value by 12.67%. Expected Value, EV(Away Win), for a Away Win result for this Slavia Sofia vs Lokomotive Sofia match is calculated as follows: Let P(Away Win) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is; P(Away Win) * 100* 3.1 where 3.1 are the decimal odds for this outcome.

Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a Away Win for Slavia Sofia vs Lokomotive Sofia, EV(Away Win) to be 44.93% * 100 * 3.1, which translates to 84.22. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.

OVER 1.5 TIPS

Given the historical results of these teams, it is most likely that at least 2 goals will be scored in this match. Regardless of the low odds, I bet you might want to form a multi bet with this over 1.5 Prediction for Slavia Sofia vs Lokomotive Sofia. The over OR under 1.5 goals tips for this match is therefore clearly, over 1.5 goals. We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a over 1.5 in this Slavia Sofia vs Lokomotive Sofia match. The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 68.93% probability for a OVER 1.5 outcome.

The ELO Ratings model came through with a 77.00% probability for the same outccome. The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 83.05% chance for a over 1.5 outcome. This Slavia Sofia vs Lokomotive Sofia match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models. Keep reading to find them all. To find if the Over 1.5 bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied OVER 1.5 bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 1.64 with an implied bookmaker probability of 60.98%. The calculated Surebet probability for the Over 1.5 outcome for this Slavia Sofia vs Lokomotive Sofia match is 76.33%, meaning this bet is a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may gain expected value by 15.35%.

Expected Value, EV(OVER 1.5), for a OVER 1.5 result for this Slavia Sofia vs Lokomotive Sofia match is calculated as follows: Let P(OVER 1.5) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is; P(OVER 1.5) * 100* 1.64 where 1.64 are the decimal odds for this outcome. Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a OVER 1.5 for Slavia Sofia vs Lokomotive Sofia, EV(OVER 1.5) to be 76.33% * 100 * 1.64, which translates to 101.5. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.

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