BAYREUTH vs ARMINIA BIELEFELD SURE PREDICTION
A detailed Bayreuth vs Arminia Bielefeld sure prediction with expert opinion, H2H matches, statistical analysis for this Germany, DFB Pokal match on 07-Aug-2021
Bayreuth
DATE:
7 August 2021 at 16:30:00
Arminia Bielefeld
COUNTRY:
Germany
LEAGUE
DFB Pokal
TIME:
4:30 PM
1X2 PREDICTION
HOME WIN:
58%
AVR. ODDS:
7.21
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
DRAW:
20%
AVR. ODDS:
5.2
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
AWAY WIN:
20%
AVR. ODDS:
1.38
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
EXPERT TIPS FOR THIS MATCH
We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a gg in this Bayreuth vs Arminia Bielefeld match. The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 57.93% probability for a GG outcome. The ELO Ratings model came through with a 58.79% probability for the same outccome. The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 51.95% chance for a gg outcome. This Bayreuth vs Arminia Bielefeld match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models. Keep reading to find them all. To find if the Gg bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied GG bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 1.77 with an implied bookmaker probability of 56.50%. The calculated Surebet probability for the Gg outcome for this Bayreuth vs Arminia Bielefeld match is 56.23%, meaning this bet is not a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may be about to lose expected value by -0.27%Expected Value, EV(GG), for a GG result for this Bayreuth vs Arminia Bielefeld match is calculated as follows: Let P(GG) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is; P(GG) * 100* 1.77 where 1.77 are the decimal odds for this outcome. Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a GG for Bayreuth vs Arminia Bielefeld, EV(GG) to be 56.23% * 100 * 1.77, which translates to 55.74. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.Historical data, H2H matches and results from similar and related past matches, Surebet GG prediction systems have all agreed that both teams will be able to score in this match. Both Bayreuth and Arminia Bielefeld have good striking and have equally vulnerable defenses. I do not forsee a NG outcome for this game. The GG rediction for this game is both teams to score at leat one goal in this game.
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GG/NG(BTTS) PREDICTION
GG(BTTS):
56%
AVR. ODDS:
1.77
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
NO GOAL:
AVR. ODDS:
42%
1.94
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 1.5:
40%
AVR. ODDS:
0.99
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
UNDER 1.5:
18%
AVR. ODDS:
4.33
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 2.5:
61%
AVR. ODDS:
1.52
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
UNDER 2.5:
AVR. ODDS:
VALUEBET?
38%
2.38
Not a Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 3.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 3.5:
40%
AVR. ODDS:
2.67
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
UNDER 3.5:
59%
AVR. ODDS:
1.78
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
MATCH STATISTICS AND ANALYSIS
BAYREUTH VS ARMINIA BIELEFELD LATEST HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES
Curently no head to head
BAYREUTH LAST 10 MATCHES
Below are Bayreuth's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Nuremberg II lost to Bayreuth (0-3) on 08-Mar-2021
Then Bayreuth lost to Burghausen (2-3) on 30/07/21
Aubstadt lost to Bayreuth (1-2) on 27/07/21
Not surprisingly Greuther Furth II lost to Bayreuth (0-5) on 23/07/21
1896 Rain lost to Bayreuth (0-4) on 16/07/21
Aschaffenburg won against Bayreuth (7-0) on 06-May-2021
Then Bayreuth lost to Schweinfurt (0-4) on 29/05/21
Bayreuth won against Aschaffenburg (4-0) on 25/05/21
Schweinfurt won against Bayreuth (2-1) on 18/05/21
In the earliest match listed here Bayreuth won against Eichstatt (2-1) on 31/10/20
RECENT MATCHES - AWAY TEAM
Below are Arminia Bielefeld's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Bielefeld drew with Enschede (1-1) on 31/07/21
Stuttgart won against Bielefeld (5-2) on 23/07/21
Then Bielefeld won against Hannover (1-0) on 07-Oct-2021
Verl won against Bielefeld (3-0) on 07-Mar-2021
Stuttgart lost to Bielefeld (0-2) on 22/05/21
Then Bielefeld drew with Hoffenheim (1-1) on 15/05/21
Hertha drew with Bielefeld (0-0) on 05-Sep-2021
Mgladbach won against Bielefeld (5-0) on 25/04/21
Once more Bielefeld won against Schalke (1-0) on 20/04/21
Augsburg drew with Bielefeld (0-0) on 17/04/21
BAYREUTH'S POSITION
No position listed
ARMINIA BIELEFELD'S POSITION
No position listed
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