FF JARO vs MUSA PORI OVER 1.5 SUREBET PREDICTION
A detailed Ff Jaro vs Musa Pori OVER 1.5 sure prediction with expert opinion, H2H matches, statistical analysis for this Finland, Ykkonenmatch on 21-Jul-2021
Ff Jaro
DATE:
21 July 2021 at 18:30:00
Musa Pori
COUNTRY:
Finland
LEAGUE
Ykkonen
TIME:
6:30 PM
1X2 PREDICTION
HOME WIN:
36%
AVR. ODDS:
1.82
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
DRAW:
20%
AVR. ODDS:
3.76
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
AWAY WIN:
41%
AVR. ODDS:
3.91
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
EXPERT TIPS FOR THIS MATCH
The odds for Over 1.5 outcome on major betting sites are, on average, 1.07 with an implied bookmaker probability of 92.73%. Considering that the surebet probability for the OVER 1.5 outcome for this Ff Jaro vs Musa Pori match is 88.25%, then this bet is not a value bet.
If you play this bet then you lose expected value by -4.48%The expected value for a OVER 1.5 prediction is denoted as EV(OVER 1.5) and is calculated by multiplying the amount of stake by the odds and again by the probability of winning then subtracting the result of multiplying the stake and the probability of losing.
By using 100 as your sample stake, by calculating the EV as explained, we get the expected value for a OVER 1.5 in this Ff Jaro vs Musa Pori match is 83.42 which is positive and therefore a good bet.Given the historical matches of these teams, it is almost clear that at least 2 goals will be scored in this match. Regardless of the low odds, I bet you might want to form a multi bet with this over 1.5 Prediction for Ff Jaro vs Musa Pori. The over/under 1.5 goals tips for this match is therefore clearly, over 1.5 goals. All 3 major Surebet prediction models have indicated a possible over 1.5 in this Ff Jaro vs Musa Pori match.
Poisson prediction model shows there is a 81.93% chance for the outcome while the ELO Ratings model shows a 91.90% chance for the same. Finally, 90.92% of the Monte Carlo simulation runs for this match resulted in over 1.5. This pretty much consolidates the prediction of a over 1.5 in this game.
Visit our Over/under 2.5 goals tips page for more over and under 1.5 tips today.
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GG/NG(BTTS) PREDICTION
GG(BTTS):
75%
AVR. ODDS:
1.62
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
NO GOAL:
AVR. ODDS:
22%
2.16
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 1.5:
40%
AVR. ODDS:
1.08
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
UNDER 1.5:
8%
AVR. ODDS:
3.84
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 2.5:
76%
AVR. ODDS:
1.65
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
UNDER 2.5:
AVR. ODDS:
VALUEBET?
20%
2.11
Not a Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 3.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 3.5:
60%
AVR. ODDS:
2.89
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
UNDER 3.5:
36%
AVR. ODDS:
1.57
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
MATCH STATISTICS AND ANALYSIS
FF JARO VS MUSA PORI LATEST HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES
Musan and Jaro have met 6 times recently since 26/01/19. Below is a breakdown of those matches and the results. Note that these matches will play a big role in the Musan vs Jaro prediction.
31/10/20 - Musan [3 : 1] Jaro
23/08/20 - Jaro [5 : 2] Musan
31/08/19 - Musan [2 : 1] Jaro
29/06/19 - Jaro [3 : 3] Musan
05-Nov-2019 - Musan [1 : 1] Jaro
26/01/19 - Musan [1 : 1] Jaro
FF JARO LAST 10 MATCHES
Below are Ff Jaro's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Klubi 04 lost to Jaro (0-1) on 17/07/21
Then FK ROPS won against Jaro (3-1) on 07-Apr-2021
Jaro drew with PK-35 (1-1) on 20/06/21
Not surprisingly JIPPO lost to Jaro (0-2) on 13/06/21
Jaro drew with Gnistan (2-2) on 06-Jun-2021
Kokkola lost to Jaro (0-2) on 29/05/21
Then Jaro drew with Vaasa (1-1) on 23/05/21
Turun lost to Jaro (1-2) on 17/05/21
Jaro won against Klubi 04 (4-1) on 13/05/21
In the earliest match listed here Ekenas won against Jaro (3-1) on 05-Sep-2021
RECENT MATCHES - AWAY TEAM
Below are Musa Pori's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Musan drew with PK-35 (1-1) on 15/07/21
JIPPO drew with Musan (1-1) on 07-Oct-2021
Then Musan drew with Mikkelin (2-2) on 07-Apr-2021
Kokkola lost to Musan (1-2) on 20/06/21
Musan won against Vaasa (3-0) on 13/06/21
Then Ekenas drew with Musan (2-2) on 29/05/21
Musan drew with Klubi 04 (1-1) on 26/05/21
Musan won against FK ROPS (3-1) on 22/05/21
Once more Gnistan drew with Musan (1-1) on 16/05/21
PK-35 won against Musan (1-0) on 05-Dec-2021
FF JARO'S POSITION
U de Chile is in position 12 with 12 points from 9 matches. They are below Everton who have 13 points and above Cobresal who have 12 points.
have scored 7 goals and conceded 7 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of 0 goals this season.
MUSA PORI'S POSITION
Melipilla is in position 10 with 14 points from 10 matches. They are below Antofagasta who have 15 points and above who have points.
Melipilla have scored 13 goals and conceded 12 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of 1 goals this season.
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