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Atherton Collieries vs Witton Albion prediction

Atherton Collieries vs Witton Albion predictionwith match analysis, statistics and betting tips. This detailed prediction accompanies over 3 betting tips for the match. Atherton Collieries vs Witton Albion are playing on England Amateur

Atherton Collieries

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DATE:

15 February 2022 at 22:45:00

Witton Albion

COUNTRY:

England Amateur

LEAGUE

Northern Premier League, Premier Division

TIME:

10:45 PM

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1X2 PREDICTION

HOME WIN:

57%

AVR. ODDS:

1.81

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

DRAW:

19%

AVR. ODDS:

3.51

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

AWAY WIN:

23%

AVR. ODDS:

3.75

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

EXPERT TIPS FOR THIS MATCH

Historical data, H2H matches and results from similar and related past matches, Surebet GG prediction systems have all agreed that both teams will be able to score in this match. Both Atherton Collieries and Witton Albion have good striking and have equally vulnerable defenses. I do not forsee a NG outcome for this game. The GG rediction for this game is both teams to score at leat one goal in this game. We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a gg in this Atherton Collieries vs Witton Albion match. The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 61.10% probability for a GG outcome. The ELO Ratings model came through with a 77.33% probability for the same outccome. The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 70.91% chance for a gg outcome. This Atherton Collieries vs Witton Albion match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models. Keep reading to find them all. To find if the Gg bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied GG bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 1.58 with an implied bookmaker probability of 63.29%. The calculated Surebet probability for the Gg outcome for this Atherton Collieries vs Witton Albion match is 69.78%, meaning this bet is a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may gain expected value by 6.49%. Expected Value, EV(GG), for a GG result for this Atherton Collieries vs Witton Albion match is calculated as follows: Let P(GG) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is; P(GG) * 100* 1.58 where 1.58 are the decimal odds for this outcome. Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a GG for Atherton Collieries vs Witton Albion, EV(GG) to be 69.78% * 100 * 1.58, which translates to 80.03. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically. Given the historical results of these teams, it is most likely that at least 2 goals will be scored in this match. Regardless of the low odds, I bet you might want to form a multi bet with this over 1.5 Prediction for Atherton Collieries vs Witton Albion. The over OR under 1.5 goals tips for this match is therefore clearly, over 1.5 goals. We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a over 1.5 in this Atherton Collieries vs Witton Albion match. The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 87.94% probability for a OVER 1.5 outcome. The ELO Ratings model came through with a 91.50% probability for the same outccome. The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 88.67% chance for a over 1.5 outcome. This Atherton Collieries vs Witton Albion match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models. Keep reading to find them all. To find if the Over 1.5 bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied OVER 1.5 bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 1.12666666666667 with an implied bookmaker probability of 88.76%. The calculated Surebet probability for the Over 1.5 outcome for this Atherton Collieries vs Witton Albion match is 89.37%, meaning this bet is a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may gain expected value by 0.61%. Expected Value, EV(OVER 1.5), for a OVER 1.5 result for this Atherton Collieries vs Witton Albion match is calculated as follows: Let P(OVER 1.5) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is; P(OVER 1.5) * 100* 1.12666666666667 where 1.12666666666667 are the decimal odds for this outcome. Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a OVER 1.5 for Atherton Collieries vs Witton Albion, EV(OVER 1.5) to be 89.37% * 100 * 1.12, which translates to 90.06. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.
Atherton Collieries vs Witton Albion prediction

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GG/NG(BTTS) PREDICTION

GG(BTTS):

62%

AVR. ODDS:

1.72

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

NO GOAL:

AVR. ODDS:

36%

2

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 1.5:

40%

AVR. ODDS:

1.19

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

UNDER 1.5:

14%

AVR. ODDS:

3.25

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 2.5:

67%

AVR. ODDS:

1.79

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

UNDER 2.5:

AVR. ODDS:

VALUEBET?

32%

1.76

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 3.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 3.5:

46%

AVR. ODDS:

3.14

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

UNDER 3.5:

53%

AVR. ODDS:

1.31

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

MATCH STATISTICS AND ANALYSIS

ATHERTON COLLIERIES VS WITTON ALBION PREDICTION HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES

ATHERTON COLLIERIES VS WITTON ALBION LATEST HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES
Witton and Atherton Collieries have met 6 times recently since 00-Jan-1900. Below is a breakdown of those matches and the results. Note that these matches will play a big role in the Witton vs Atherton Collieries prediction.
26/10/21 - Witton [2 : 0] Atherton Collieries
18/09/21 - Atherton Collieries [3 : 1] Witton
24/10/20 - Witton [2 : 1] Atherton Collieries
18/01/20 - Witton [2 : 1] Atherton Collieries
00-Jan-1900 - [ : ]
00-Jan-1900 - [ : ]

ATHERTON COLLIERIES'S LAST 10 MATCHES

ATHERTON COLLIERIES LAST 10 MATCHES
Below are Atherton Collieries's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
South Shields won against Atherton Collieries (2-1) on 02-Dec-2022
Then Atherton Collieries lost to Ashton (1-2) on 02-Jan-2022
Atherton Collieries drew with Stafford (1-1) on 22/01/22
Not surprisingly Whitby lost to Atherton Collieries (0-2) on 15/01/22
Stalybridge won against Atherton Collieries (1-0) on 01-Nov-2022
Lancaster drew with Atherton Collieries (0-0) on 01-Jan-2022
Then Atherton Collieries won against Radcliffe (1-0) on 27/12/21
Basford Utd. won against Atherton Collieries (2-0) on 18/12/21
Grantham lost to Atherton Collieries (0-1) on 12-Nov-2021
In the earliest match listed here Scarborough lost to Atherton Collieries (0-1) on 23/11/21

RECENT MATCHES - AWAY TEAM

ATHERTON COLLIERIES LAST 10 MATCHES
Below are Atherton Collieries's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Witton lost to Stalybridge (0-2) on 02-Dec-2022
Then Ashton lost to Witton (0-1) on 02-Aug-2022
FC United won against Witton (2-0) on 02-May-2022
Not surprisingly Witton drew with Scarborough (2-2) on 29/01/22
South Shields won against Witton (3-1) on 25/01/22
Mickleover won against Witton (2-1) on 22/01/22
Then Witton lost to Matlock (0-1) on 15/01/22
Witton drew with Gainsborough (1-1) on 01-Aug-2022
Witton lost to Warrington (1-4) on 27/12/21
In the earliest match listed here Witton lost to Bamber (1-4) on 20/11/21

ATHERTON COLLIERIES POSITION

ATHERTON COLLIERIES'S POSITION
Atherton Collieries is in position 14 with 37 points from 28 matches. They are below Radcliffe who have 38 points and above Basford Utd. who have 37 points.
Atherton Collieries have scored 25 goals and conceded 30 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of -5 goals this season.

WITTON ALBION POSITION

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