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Corinthians vs Bragantino Sp Prediction

This is a detailed Corinthians vs Bragantino Sp Prediction, match analysis, betting tips, H2H matches and sure bet tips.

Corinthians

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DATE:

16 June 2021 at 02:30:00

Bragantino Sp

COUNTRY:

Brazil

LEAGUE

Serie A

TIME:

2:30 AM

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1X2 PREDICTION

HOME WIN:

29%

AVR. ODDS:

2.91

VALUEBET?

No

DRAW:

55%

AVR. ODDS:

3.11

VALUEBET?

Yes

AWAY WIN:

15%

AVR. ODDS:

2.51

VALUEBET?

No

EXPERT TIPS FOR THIS MATCH

All 3 major Surebet prediction models have indicated a possible ng in this Corinthians vs Bragantino Sp match.


Poisson prediction model shows there is a 70.12% chance for the outcome while the ELO Ratings model shows a 74.36% chance for the same. Finally, 78.69% of the Monte Carlo simulation runs for this match resulted in NG.


Get daily BTTS GG/NG ticket daily.


This pretty much consolidates the prediction of a NG in this game.


The odds for NG outcome on major betting sites are, on average, 1.65 with an implied bookmaker probability of 60.61%.


Bet probability for the NG outcome for this Corinthians vs Bragantino Sp match is 74.39%, then this bet is a value bet. If you play this bet then you  you gain expected value by 13.78%.


The expected value for a NG prediction is denoted as EV(NG) and is calculated by multiplying the amount of stake by the odds and again by the probability of winning then subtracting the result of multiplying the stake and the probability of losing.


By using 100 as your sample stake, by calculating the EV as explained, we get the expected value for a NG in this Corinthians vs Bragantino Sp match is 97.13 which is positive and therefore a good bet.Corinthians and Bragantino Sp might find it hard to score each other in this game. It may be much wiser if you steered clear of a goal-goal prediction and stuck with no-goal (NG prediction).


This is informed by the fact that both Corinthians and Bragantino Sp have good defenses and at least one of them have demonstrated in the recent past weak defense that may see them goal-less by the end of this duel.

Corinthians vs Bragantino Sp Prediction

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GG/NG(BTTS) PREDICTION

GG(BTTS):

23%

AVR. ODDS:

2.11

VALUEBET?

No

NO GOAL:

AVR. ODDS:

77%

1.65

VALUEBET?

Yes

OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 1.5:

40%

AVR. ODDS:

1.62

VALUEBET?

No

UNDER 1.5:

64%

AVR. ODDS:

2.69

VALUEBET?

Yes

OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 2.5:

20%

AVR. ODDS:

2.48

VALUEBET?

No

UNDER 2.5:

AVR. ODDS:

VALUEBET?

80%

1.48

Yes

OVER/UNDER 3.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 3.5:

9%

AVR. ODDS:

4.35

VALUEBET?

No

UNDER 3.5:

91%

AVR. ODDS:

1.1

VALUEBET?

Yes

MATCH STATISTICS AND ANALYSIS

CORINTHIANS VS BRAGANTINO SP LATEST HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES

Bragantino and Corinthians have met 6 times recently since 18/03/18. Below is a breakdown of those matches and the results. Note that these matches will play a big role in the Bragantino vs Corinthians prediction.
03-Jan-2021 - Bragantino [0 : 0] Corinthians
26/01/21 - Corinthians [0 : 2] Bragantino
10-Apr-2020 - Bragantino [0 : 0] Corinthians
31/07/20 - Bragantino [0 : 2] Corinthians
23/03/18 - Corinthians [2 : 0] Bragantino
18/03/18 - Bragantino [3 : 2] Corinthians

CORINTHIANS LAST 10 MATCHES

Below are Corinthians's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Palmeiras drew with Corinthians (1-1) on 13/06/21
Then Goianiense GO drew with Corinthians (0-0) on 06-Oct-2021
America FC MG lost to Corinthians (0-1) on 06-Jun-2021
Not surprisingly Corinthians lost to Goianiense GO (0-2) on 06-Mar-2021
Corinthians lost to Goianiense GO (0-1) on 31/05/21
Corinthians won against River Plate (4-0) on 27/05/21
Then Corinthians won against Huancayo (5-0) on 21/05/21
Corinthians lost to Palmeiras (0-2) on 16/05/21
Penarol won against Corinthians (4-0) on 14/05/21
In the earliest match listed here Corinthians won against Internacional (4-1) on 05-Nov-2021

RECENT MATCHES - AWAY TEAM

Below are Bragantino Sp's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Bragantino drew with Fluminense (2-2) on 14/06/21
Bragantino won against Fluminense (2-1) on 06-Oct-2021
Then Bragantino drew with Bahia (3-3) on 06-Jun-2021
Fluminense won against Bragantino (2-0) on 06-Mar-2021
Chapecoense lost to Bragantino (0-3) on 31/05/21
Then Tolima lost to Bragantino (1-2) on 26/05/21
Talleres Cordoba lost to Bragantino (0-1) on 19/05/21
Bragantino lost to Ponte Preta SP (2-4) on 17/05/21
Once more Bragantino lost to Palmeiras (0-1) on 15/05/21
Bragantino won against Emelec (2-0) on 05-Dec-2021

CORINTHIANS'S POSITION

No position listed

BRAGANTINO SP'S POSITION

No position listed

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