DINAMO BARNAUL vs FK TYUMEN SURE PREDICTION
A detailed Dinamo Barnaul vs Fk Tyumen sure prediction with expert opinion, H2H matches, statistical analysis for this Russia, Russian Cup, Qualification match on 12-Aug-2021
Dinamo Barnaul
DATE:
12 August 2021 at 13:00:00
Fk Tyumen
COUNTRY:
Russia
LEAGUE
Russian Cup, Qualification
TIME:
1:00 PM
1X2 PREDICTION
HOME WIN:
50%
AVR. ODDS:
3.21
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
DRAW:
22%
AVR. ODDS:
3.11
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
AWAY WIN:
27%
AVR. ODDS:
2.34
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
EXPERT TIPS FOR THIS MATCH
To find if the Gg bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied GG bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 1.63 with an implied bookmaker probability of 61.35%.
The calculated Surebet probability for the Gg outcome for this Dinamo Barnaul vs Fk Tyumen match is 59.98%, meaning this bet is not a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may be about to lose expected value by -1.37%Expected Value, EV(GG), for a GG result for this Dinamo Barnaul vs Fk Tyumen match is calculated as follows: Let P(GG) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is; P(GG) * 100* 1.63 where 1.63 are the decimal odds for this outcome. Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a GG for Dinamo Barnaul vs Fk Tyumen, EV(GG) to be 59.98% * 100 * 1.63, which translates to 57.75.
This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a gg in this Dinamo Barnaul vs Fk Tyumen match. The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 54.35% probability for a GG outcome. The ELO Ratings model came through with a 60.88% probability for the same outccome. The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 64.72% chance for a gg outcome. This Dinamo Barnaul vs Fk Tyumen match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models. Keep reading to find them all. Historical data, H2H matches and results from similar and related past matches, Surebet GG prediction systems have all agreed that both teams will be able to score in this match.
Both Dinamo Barnaul and Fk Tyumen have good striking and have equally vulnerable defenses. I do not forsee a NG outcome for this game. The GG rediction for this game is both teams to score at leat one goal in this game.
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GG/NG(BTTS) PREDICTION
GG(BTTS):
60%
AVR. ODDS:
1.63
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
NO GOAL:
AVR. ODDS:
40%
2.15
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 1.5:
40%
AVR. ODDS:
1.18
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
UNDER 1.5:
18%
AVR. ODDS:
3.45
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 2.5:
60%
AVR. ODDS:
1.81
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
UNDER 2.5:
AVR. ODDS:
VALUEBET?
39%
1.9
Not a Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 3.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 3.5:
38%
AVR. ODDS:
3.18
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
UNDER 3.5:
61%
AVR. ODDS:
1.42
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
MATCH STATISTICS AND ANALYSIS
DINAMO BARNAUL VS FK TYUMEN LATEST HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES
Curently no head to head
DINAMO BARNAUL LAST 10 MATCHES
Currently no previous matches
RECENT MATCHES - AWAY TEAM
Currently no previous matches
DINAMO BARNAUL'S POSITION
No position listed
FK TYUMEN'S POSITION
No position listed
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