FERNANDO MORA vs CA 3 DE FEBRERO SURE PREDICTION
A detailed Fernando Mora vs Ca 3 De Febrero sure prediction with expert opinion, H2H matches, statistical analysis for this Paraguay, Segunda Division match on 26-Aug-2021
Fernando Mora
DATE:
26 August 2021 at 17:00:00
Ca 3 De Febrero
COUNTRY:
Paraguay
LEAGUE
Segunda Division
TIME:
5:00 PM
1X2 PREDICTION
HOME WIN:
35%
AVR. ODDS:
2.18
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
DRAW:
22%
AVR. ODDS:
3.07
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
AWAY WIN:
42%
AVR. ODDS:
3.11
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
EXPERT TIPS FOR THIS MATCH
To find if the Gg bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied GG bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 1.89 with an implied bookmaker probability of 52.91%.
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The calculated Surebet probability for the Gg outcome for this Fernando Mora vs Ca 3 De Febrero match is 62.11%, meaning this bet is a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may gain expected value by 9.20%Expected Value, EV(GG), for a GG result for this Fernando Mora vs Ca 3 De Febrero match is calculated as follows: Let P(GG) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet.
Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is; P(GG) * 100* 1.89 where 1.89 are the decimal odds for this outcome. Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a GG for Fernando Mora vs Ca 3 De Febrero, EV(GG) to be 62.11% * 100 * 1.89, which translates to 79.49. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.
See Correct Score Predictions today
We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a gg in this Fernando Mora vs Ca 3 De Febrero match. The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 69.19% probability for a GG outcome. The ELO Ratings model came through with a 64.95% probability for the same outccome. The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 52.19% chance for a gg outcome.
This Fernando Mora vs Ca 3 De Febrero match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models. Keep reading to find them all. Historical data, H2H matches and results from similar and related past matches, Surebet GG prediction systems have all agreed that both teams will be able to score in this match.
Both Fernando Mora and Ca 3 De Febrero have good striking and have equally vulnerable defenses. I do not forsee a NG outcome for this game. The GG rediction for this game is both teams to score at leat one goal in this game.
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GG/NG(BTTS) PREDICTION
GG(BTTS):
62%
AVR. ODDS:
1.89
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
NO GOAL:
AVR. ODDS:
37%
1.82
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 1.5:
40%
AVR. ODDS:
1.41
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
UNDER 1.5:
17%
AVR. ODDS:
2.96
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 2.5:
62%
AVR. ODDS:
2.15
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
UNDER 2.5:
AVR. ODDS:
VALUEBET?
36%
1.63
Not a Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 3.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 3.5:
41%
AVR. ODDS:
3.77
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
UNDER 3.5:
58%
AVR. ODDS:
1.22
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
MATCH STATISTICS AND ANALYSIS
FERNANDO MORA VS CA 3 DE FEBRERO LATEST HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES
3 De Febrero and Club F De La Mora have met 6 times recently since 17/07/16. Below is a breakdown of those matches and the results. Note that these matches will play a big role in the 3 De Febrero vs Club F De La Mora prediction.
22/05/21 - 3 de Febrero [1 : 1] Club F de la Mora
20/10/19 - 3 de Febrero [1 : 0] Club F de la Mora
07-Jun-2019 - Club F de la Mora [3 : 0] 3 de Febrero
08-Dec-2017 - Club F de la Mora [1 : 2] 3 de Febrero
05-Jun-2017 - 3 de Febrero [1 : 0] Club F de la Mora
17/07/16 - Club F de la Mora [1 : 2] 3 de Febrero
FERNANDO MORA LAST 10 MATCHES
Below are Fernando Mora's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Yegros lost to Club F de la Mora (0-2) on 19/08/21
Then Club F de la Mora lost to Gral Caballero (0-3) on 14/08/21
Sportivo Iteno drew with Club F de la Mora (0-0) on 08-Aug-2021
Not surprisingly Club F de la Mora drew with Rubio Nu (2-2) on 08-Jan-2021
Atletico Trebol lost to Club F de la Mora (0-17) on 30/07/21
Santani lost to Club F de la Mora (0-2) on 24/07/21
Then Club F de la Mora won against Guarani de Trinidad (3-1) on 20/07/21
San Lorenzo lost to Club F de la Mora (1-3) on 17/07/21
General Diaz drew with Club F de la Mora (1-1) on 07-Nov-2021
In the earliest match listed here Club F de la Mora won against Ind. Campo Grande (1-0) on 07-Mar-2021
RECENT MATCHES - AWAY TEAM
Below are Ca 3 De Febrero's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
3 de Febrero drew with CS 2 de Mayo (1-1) on 22/08/21
Trinidense lost to 3 de Febrero (2-4) on 14/08/21
Then 3 de Febrero drew with Atyra FC (2-2) on 08-Oct-2021
Independiente Nanawa lost to 3 de Febrero (0-2) on 08-Jun-2021
Tacuary lost to 3 de Febrero (1-4) on 08-Jan-2021
Then 3 de Febrero drew with Sportivo Ameliano (0-0) on 25/07/21
Capiata drew with 3 de Febrero (1-1) on 21/07/21
Yegros lost to 3 de Febrero (0-1) on 18/07/21
Once more Gral Caballero won against 3 de Febrero (4-3) on 07-Oct-2021
3 de Febrero lost to Sportivo Iteno (0-1) on 07-Mar-2021
FERNANDO MORA'S POSITION
Club F de la Mora is in position 9 with 35 points from 24 matches. They are below Tacuary who have 36 points and above who have points.
have scored 29 goals and conceded 24 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of 5 goals this season.
CA 3 DE FEBRERO'S POSITION
3 de Febrero is in position 10 with 33 points from 24 matches. They are below who have points and above Rubio Nu who have 32 points.
Ca 3 De Febrero have scored 37 goals and conceded 32 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of 5 goals this season.
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