LEGION DYNAMO MAKHACHKALA vs ANZHI MAKHACHKALA SURE PREDICTION
A detailed Legion Dynamo Makhachkala vs Anzhi Makhachkala sure prediction with expert opinion, H2H matches, statistical analysis for this Russia, Russian Cup, Qualification match on 12-Aug-2021
Legion Dynamo Makhachkala
DATE:
12 August 2021 at 16:00:00
Anzhi Makhachkala
COUNTRY:
Russia
LEAGUE
Russian Cup, Qualification
TIME:
4:00 PM
1X2 PREDICTION
HOME WIN:
38%
AVR. ODDS:
2.35
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
DRAW:
26%
AVR. ODDS:
3.11
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
AWAY WIN:
36%
AVR. ODDS:
3.21
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
EXPERT TIPS FOR THIS MATCH
Given the historical results of these teams, it is most likely that at least 2 goals will be scored in this match. Regardless of the low odds, I bet you might want to form a multi bet with this over 1.5 Prediction for Legion Dynamo Makhachkala vs Anzhi Makhachkala. The over OR under 1.5 goals tips for this match is therefore clearly, over 1.5 goals.
We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a over 1.5 in this Legion Dynamo Makhachkala vs Anzhi Makhachkala match. The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 71.04% probability for a OVER 1.5 outcome. The ELO Ratings model came through with a 70.79% probability for the same outccome. The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 70.41% chance for a over 1.5 outcome. This Legion Dynamo Makhachkala vs Anzhi Makhachkala match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models. Keep reading to find them all. To find if the Over 1.5 bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied OVER 1.5 bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 1.2483660130719 with an implied bookmaker probability of 80.10%.
The calculated Surebet probability for the Over 1.5 outcome for this Legion Dynamo Makhachkala vs Anzhi Makhachkala match is 70.75%, meaning this bet is not a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may be about to lose expected value by -9.36%Expected Value, EV(OVER 1.5), for a OVER 1.5 result for this Legion Dynamo Makhachkala vs Anzhi Makhachkala match is calculated as follows: Let P(OVER 1.5) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is; P(OVER 1.5) * 100* 1.2483660130719 where 1.2483660130719 are the decimal odds for this outcome.
Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a OVER 1.5 for Legion Dynamo Makhachkala vs Anzhi Makhachkala, EV(OVER 1.5) to be 70.75% * 100 * 1.24, which translates to 59.06. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.
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GG/NG(BTTS) PREDICTION
GG(BTTS):
49%
AVR. ODDS:
1.69
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
NO GOAL:
AVR. ODDS:
51%
2.04
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 1.5:
40%
AVR. ODDS:
1.25
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
UNDER 1.5:
29%
AVR. ODDS:
3.27
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 2.5:
45%
AVR. ODDS:
1.91
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
UNDER 2.5:
AVR. ODDS:
VALUEBET?
55%
1.8
Not a Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 3.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 3.5:
24%
AVR. ODDS:
3.35
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
UNDER 3.5:
76%
AVR. ODDS:
1.34
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
MATCH STATISTICS AND ANALYSIS
LEGION DYNAMO MAKHACHKALA VS ANZHI MAKHACHKALA LATEST HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES
Curently no head to head
LEGION DYNAMO MAKHACHKALA LAST 10 MATCHES
Below are Legion Dynamo Makhachkala's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Novokubansk drew with Legion-Dynamo (0-0) on 08-Jul-2021
Then Legion-Dynamo won against Yessentuki (3-1) on 08-Jan-2021
Legion-Dynamo won against Spartak Nalchik (4-2) on 28/07/21
Not surprisingly Chernomorets won against Legion-Dynamo (2-1) on 15/06/21
Legion-Dynamo lost to Novokubansk (0-3) on 06-Sep-2021
Yessentuki lost to Legion-Dynamo (0-1) on 06-Feb-2021
Then Legion-Dynamo drew with Kuban H. Pavlovskaya (0-0) on 28/05/21
Krasnodar-3 lost to Legion-Dynamo (0-3) on 21/05/21
Legion-Dynamo drew with Rostov (0-0) on 05-Oct-2021
In the earliest match listed here Druzhba lost to Legion-Dynamo (0-1) on 05-Apr-2021
RECENT MATCHES - AWAY TEAM
Currently no previous matches
LEGION DYNAMO MAKHACHKALA'S POSITION
No position listed
ANZHI MAKHACHKALA'S POSITION
No position listed
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