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BLACKPOOL vs MIDDLESBROUGH HOME WIN SUREBET PREDICTION

A detailed Blackpool vs Middlesbrough HOME WIN sure prediction with expert opinion, H2H matches, statistical analysis for this England, EFL Cupmatch on 11-Aug-2021

Blackpool

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DATE:

11 August 2021 at 21:45:00

Middlesbrough

COUNTRY:

England

LEAGUE

EFL Cup

TIME:

9:45 PM

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1X2 PREDICTION

HOME WIN:

51%

AVR. ODDS:

2.8

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

DRAW:

24%

AVR. ODDS:

3.45

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

AWAY WIN:

25%

AVR. ODDS:

2.42

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

EXPERT TIPS FOR THIS MATCH

All 3 major Surebet prediction models have indicated a possible home win in this Blackpool vs Middlesbrough match. Poisson prediction model shows there is a 42.28% chance for the outcome while the ELO Ratings model shows a 51.64% chance for the same. 


Finally, 60.12% of the Monte Carlo simulation runs for this match resulted in home win. This pretty much consolidates the prediction of a home win in this game. The expected value for a Home Win prediction is denoted as EV(Home Win) and is calculated by multiplying the amount of stake by the odds and again by the probability of winning then subtracting the result of multiplying the stake and the probability of losing. 


By using 100 as your sample stake, by calculating the EV as explained, we get the expected value for a Home Win in this Blackpool vs Middlesbrough match is 95.1 which is positive and therefore a good bet.The odds for Home Win outcome on major betting sites are, on average, 2.8 with an implied bookmaker probability of 35.71%. 


Considering that the surebet probability for the Home Win outcome for this Blackpool vs Middlesbrough match is 51.34%, then this bet is a value bet. If you play this bet then you gain expected value by 15.63%Strong recent and past performances that Blackpool have demonstrated lead us to conclude that the prospects for a home win are quite high for this match. Expert football prediction sites have also supported this prediction by far and large. Middlesbrough might not be able to record either a win or a draw in this match. 


It is however prudent to compare diffrent predictions to find the ones with the highest probabilities. True profits come from predictions with over 90% chance of coming true. Some of our tips are 100% sure and guaranteed but can only be accessed by VIP members. You can also become a VIP member once you subscribe. 


Note also that you do not always have to use the win-draw-win market. It might be popular but not necessarily the best or least risky. See all predictions today to see tips from other betting markets.

BLACKPOOL vs MIDDLESBROUGH HOME WIN SUREBET PREDICTION

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GG/NG(BTTS) PREDICTION

GG(BTTS):

53%

AVR. ODDS:

1.71

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

NO GOAL:

AVR. ODDS:

46%

2.02

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 1.5:

40%

AVR. ODDS:

1.22

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

UNDER 1.5:

24%

AVR. ODDS:

3.33

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 2.5:

52%

AVR. ODDS:

1.87

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

UNDER 2.5:

AVR. ODDS:

VALUEBET?

48%

1.83

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 3.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 3.5:

30%

AVR. ODDS:

3.28

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

UNDER 3.5:

70%

AVR. ODDS:

1.37

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

MATCH STATISTICS AND ANALYSIS

BLACKPOOL VS MIDDLESBROUGH LATEST HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES

Blackpool and Middlesbrough have met 6 times recently since 18/09/12. Below is a breakdown of those matches and the results. Note that these matches will play a big role in the Blackpool vs Middlesbrough prediction.
02-Oct-2015 - Blackpool [1 : 2] Middlesbrough
30/09/14 - Middlesbrough [1 : 1] Blackpool
01-Nov-2014 - Blackpool [0 : 2] Middlesbrough
17/08/13 - Middlesbrough [1 : 1] Blackpool
29/12/12 - Middlesbrough [4 : 2] Blackpool
18/09/12 - Blackpool [4 : 1] Middlesbrough

BLACKPOOL LAST 10 MATCHES

Below are Blackpool's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Bristol City drew with Blackpool (1-1) on 08-Jul-2021
Then Man City won against Blackpool (4-1) on 08-Mar-2021
Blackpool lost to Burnley (0-1) on 27/07/21
Not surprisingly Carlisle lost to Blackpool (0-1) on 24/07/21
Southport lost to Blackpool (0-2) on 07-Oct-2021
Squires lost to Blackpool (0-7) on 07-Sep-2021
Then Blackpool won against Lincoln (2-1) on 30/05/21
Blackpool drew with Oxford (3-3) on 21/05/21
Oxford lost to Blackpool (0-3) on 18/05/21
In the earliest match listed here Blackpool won against Bristol Rovers (1-0) on 05-Sep-2021

RECENT MATCHES - AWAY TEAM

Below are Middlesbrough's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Fulham London drew with Middlesbrough (1-1) on 08-Aug-2021
Rotherham lost to Middlesbrough (0-1) on 30/07/21
Then York won against Middlesbrough (2-1) on 27/07/21
Plymouth lost to Middlesbrough (1-2) on 23/07/21
Tavistock lost to Middlesbrough (0-7) on 21/07/21
Then Middlesbrough lost to Wycombe (0-3) on 05-Aug-2021
Luton drew with Middlesbrough (1-1) on 05-Jan-2021
Middlesbrough won against Sheffield Wed (3-1) on 24/04/21
Once more Rotherham lost to Middlesbrough (1-2) on 21/04/21
Middlesbrough lost to QPR (1-2) on 17/04/21

BLACKPOOL'S POSITION

No position listed

MIDDLESBROUGH'S POSITION

No position listed

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