BLACKPOOL vs MIDDLESBROUGH HOME WIN SUREBET PREDICTION
A detailed Blackpool vs Middlesbrough HOME WIN sure prediction with expert opinion, H2H matches, statistical analysis for this England, EFL Cupmatch on 11-Aug-2021
Blackpool
DATE:
11 August 2021 at 21:45:00
Middlesbrough
COUNTRY:
England
LEAGUE
EFL Cup
TIME:
9:45 PM
1X2 PREDICTION
HOME WIN:
51%
AVR. ODDS:
2.8
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
DRAW:
24%
AVR. ODDS:
3.45
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
AWAY WIN:
25%
AVR. ODDS:
2.42
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
EXPERT TIPS FOR THIS MATCH
All 3 major Surebet prediction models have indicated a possible home win in this Blackpool vs Middlesbrough match. Poisson prediction model shows there is a 42.28% chance for the outcome while the ELO Ratings model shows a 51.64% chance for the same.
Finally, 60.12% of the Monte Carlo simulation runs for this match resulted in home win. This pretty much consolidates the prediction of a home win in this game. The expected value for a Home Win prediction is denoted as EV(Home Win) and is calculated by multiplying the amount of stake by the odds and again by the probability of winning then subtracting the result of multiplying the stake and the probability of losing.
By using 100 as your sample stake, by calculating the EV as explained, we get the expected value for a Home Win in this Blackpool vs Middlesbrough match is 95.1 which is positive and therefore a good bet.The odds for Home Win outcome on major betting sites are, on average, 2.8 with an implied bookmaker probability of 35.71%.
Considering that the surebet probability for the Home Win outcome for this Blackpool vs Middlesbrough match is 51.34%, then this bet is a value bet. If you play this bet then you gain expected value by 15.63%Strong recent and past performances that Blackpool have demonstrated lead us to conclude that the prospects for a home win are quite high for this match. Expert football prediction sites have also supported this prediction by far and large. Middlesbrough might not be able to record either a win or a draw in this match.
It is however prudent to compare diffrent predictions to find the ones with the highest probabilities. True profits come from predictions with over 90% chance of coming true. Some of our tips are 100% sure and guaranteed but can only be accessed by VIP members. You can also become a VIP member once you subscribe.
Note also that you do not always have to use the win-draw-win market. It might be popular but not necessarily the best or least risky. See all predictions today to see tips from other betting markets.
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GG/NG(BTTS) PREDICTION
GG(BTTS):
53%
AVR. ODDS:
1.71
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
NO GOAL:
AVR. ODDS:
46%
2.02
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 1.5:
40%
AVR. ODDS:
1.22
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
UNDER 1.5:
24%
AVR. ODDS:
3.33
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 2.5:
52%
AVR. ODDS:
1.87
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
UNDER 2.5:
AVR. ODDS:
VALUEBET?
48%
1.83
Not a Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 3.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 3.5:
30%
AVR. ODDS:
3.28
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
UNDER 3.5:
70%
AVR. ODDS:
1.37
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
MATCH STATISTICS AND ANALYSIS
BLACKPOOL VS MIDDLESBROUGH LATEST HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES
Blackpool and Middlesbrough have met 6 times recently since 18/09/12. Below is a breakdown of those matches and the results. Note that these matches will play a big role in the Blackpool vs Middlesbrough prediction.
02-Oct-2015 - Blackpool [1 : 2] Middlesbrough
30/09/14 - Middlesbrough [1 : 1] Blackpool
01-Nov-2014 - Blackpool [0 : 2] Middlesbrough
17/08/13 - Middlesbrough [1 : 1] Blackpool
29/12/12 - Middlesbrough [4 : 2] Blackpool
18/09/12 - Blackpool [4 : 1] Middlesbrough
BLACKPOOL LAST 10 MATCHES
Below are Blackpool's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Bristol City drew with Blackpool (1-1) on 08-Jul-2021
Then Man City won against Blackpool (4-1) on 08-Mar-2021
Blackpool lost to Burnley (0-1) on 27/07/21
Not surprisingly Carlisle lost to Blackpool (0-1) on 24/07/21
Southport lost to Blackpool (0-2) on 07-Oct-2021
Squires lost to Blackpool (0-7) on 07-Sep-2021
Then Blackpool won against Lincoln (2-1) on 30/05/21
Blackpool drew with Oxford (3-3) on 21/05/21
Oxford lost to Blackpool (0-3) on 18/05/21
In the earliest match listed here Blackpool won against Bristol Rovers (1-0) on 05-Sep-2021
RECENT MATCHES - AWAY TEAM
Below are Middlesbrough's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Fulham London drew with Middlesbrough (1-1) on 08-Aug-2021
Rotherham lost to Middlesbrough (0-1) on 30/07/21
Then York won against Middlesbrough (2-1) on 27/07/21
Plymouth lost to Middlesbrough (1-2) on 23/07/21
Tavistock lost to Middlesbrough (0-7) on 21/07/21
Then Middlesbrough lost to Wycombe (0-3) on 05-Aug-2021
Luton drew with Middlesbrough (1-1) on 05-Jan-2021
Middlesbrough won against Sheffield Wed (3-1) on 24/04/21
Once more Rotherham lost to Middlesbrough (1-2) on 21/04/21
Middlesbrough lost to QPR (1-2) on 17/04/21
BLACKPOOL'S POSITION
No position listed
MIDDLESBROUGH'S POSITION
No position listed
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