All assessed indicators for this Fluminense vs Santos match show that not many goals will be scored in this game. 2 goals might even be on the higher side. An under 2.5 goals prediction is what you should really go with.

Learn how this under 2.5 goals tips form a basis for the best correct score predictions. It is very easy to win correct scores for any match with a verified under 2.5 goals tips.

We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a under 2.5 in this Fluminense vs Santos match.

The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 62.00% probability for a UNDER 2.5 outcome. The ELO Ratings model came through with a 58.41% probability for the same outccome. The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 54.90% chance for a under 2.5 outcome.

This Fluminense vs Santos match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models. Keep reading to find them all.

To find if the Under 2.5 bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied UNDER 2.5 bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 1.62 with an implied bookmaker probability of 61.73%.

The calculated Surebet probability for the Under 2.5 outcome for this Fluminense vs Santos match is 58.44%, meaning this bet is not a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may be about to lose expected value by -3.29%Expected Value, EV(UNDER 2.5), for a UNDER 2.5 result for this Fluminense vs Santos match is calculated as follows:

Let P(UNDER 2.5) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is;

P(UNDER 2.5) * 100* 1.62 where 1.62 are the decimal odds for this outcome.

Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a UNDER 2.5 for Fluminense vs Santos, EV(UNDER 2.5) to be 58.44% * 100 * 1.62, which translates to 53.1. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.