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IFK LULEAA vs PITEAA IF SURE PREDICTION

A detailed Ifk Luleaa vs Piteaa If sure prediction with expert opinion, H2H matches, statistical analysis for this Sweden, Division 1, Norra match on 01-Sep-2021

Ifk Luleaa

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DATE:

1 September 2021 at 20:00:00

Piteaa If

COUNTRY:

Sweden

LEAGUE

Division 1, Norra

TIME:

8:00 PM

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1X2 PREDICTION

HOME WIN:

30%

AVR. ODDS:

2.45

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

DRAW:

23%

AVR. ODDS:

3.66

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

AWAY WIN:

46%

AVR. ODDS:

2.57

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

EXPERT TIPS FOR THIS MATCH

Expected Value, EV(GG), for a GG result for this Ifk Luleaa vs Piteaa If match is calculated as follows: Let P(GG) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is; P(GG) * 100* 1.55 where 1.55 are the decimal odds for this outcome. 



Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a GG for Ifk Luleaa vs Piteaa If, EV(GG) to be 59.78% * 100 * 1.55, which translates to 52.43. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.To find if the Gg bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied GG bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 1.55 with an implied bookmaker probability of 64.52%. 



The calculated Surebet probability for the Gg outcome for this Ifk Luleaa vs Piteaa If match is 59.78%, meaning this bet is not a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may be about to lose expected value by -4.74%We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a gg in this Ifk Luleaa vs Piteaa If match. The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 52.31% probability for a GG outcome. The ELO Ratings model came through with a 60.83% probability for the same outccome. 




The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 66.20% chance for a gg outcome. This Ifk Luleaa vs Piteaa If match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models. Keep reading to find them all. 




Historical data, H2H matches and results from similar and related past matches, Surebet GG prediction systems have all agreed that both teams will be able to score in this match. Both Ifk Luleaa and Piteaa If have good striking and have equally vulnerable defenses. 



I do not forsee a NG outcome for this game. The GG rediction for this game is both teams to score at leat one goal in this game.

IFK LULEAA vs PITEAA IF SURE PREDICTION

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GG/NG(BTTS) PREDICTION

GG(BTTS):

60%

AVR. ODDS:

1.55

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

NO GOAL:

AVR. ODDS:

40%

2.31

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 1.5:

40%

AVR. ODDS:

1.07

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

UNDER 1.5:

19%

AVR. ODDS:

3.91

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 2.5:

59%

AVR. ODDS:

1.63

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

UNDER 2.5:

AVR. ODDS:

VALUEBET?

40%

2.15

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 3.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 3.5:

37%

AVR. ODDS:

2.86

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

UNDER 3.5:

63%

AVR. ODDS:

1.6

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

MATCH STATISTICS AND ANALYSIS

IFK LULEAA VS PITEAA IF LATEST HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES

Pitea and Luleaa have met 6 times recently since 29/08/16. Below is a breakdown of those matches and the results. Note that these matches will play a big role in the Pitea vs Luleaa prediction.
24/06/21 - Pitea [3 : 0] Luleaa
29/09/19 - Pitea [1 : 2] Luleaa
20/06/19 - Luleaa [4 : 0] Pitea
17/09/18 - Luleaa [2 : 2] Pitea
26/05/18 - Pitea [1 : 2] Luleaa
29/08/16 - Luleaa [1 : 1] Pitea

IFK LULEAA LAST 10 MATCHES

Below are Ifk Luleaa's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Assyriska lost to Luleaa (1-2) on 22/08/21
Then Luleaa lost to Gefle (2-3) on 15/08/21
Brommapojkarna won against Luleaa (4-0) on 07-Nov-2021
Not surprisingly Luleaa lost to Umea (0-2) on 07-Jul-2021
Luleaa drew with Orebro Syrianska (2-2) on 07-Apr-2021
Pitea won against Luleaa (3-0) on 24/06/21
Then Umea won against Luleaa (1-0) on 18/06/21
Luleaa won against Sylvia (3-1) on 13/06/21
Haninge won against Luleaa (1-0) on 06-Jun-2021
In the earliest match listed here Luleaa drew with Karlstad Fotbol (3-3) on 30/05/21

RECENT MATCHES - AWAY TEAM

Below are Piteaa If's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Pitea won against Hudiksvalls (2-0) on 21/08/21
Taby won against Pitea (2-1) on 15/08/21
Then Pitea drew with Sylvia (1-1) on 07-Nov-2021
Umea won against Pitea (4-0) on 07-Apr-2021
Hudiksvalls won against Pitea (2-1) on 30/06/21
Then Pitea won against Luleaa (3-0) on 24/06/21
Pitea won against Assyriska (3-2) on 19/06/21
Brommapojkarna won against Pitea (2-0) on 13/06/21
Once more Karlstad Fotbol won against Pitea (3-1) on 06-Jun-2021
Pitea won against Sollentuna (3-0) on 13/05/21

IFK LULEAA'S POSITION

Luleaa is in position 13 with 16 points from 17 matches. They are below Hudiksvalls who have 18 points and above Taby who have 16 points.
have scored 22 goals and conceded 34 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of -12 goals this season.

PITEAA IF'S POSITION

Pitea is in position 11 with 19 points from 16 matches. They are below Haninge who have 21 points and above who have points.
Piteaa If have scored 23 goals and conceded 27 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of -4 goals this season.

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