HOME WIN TIPS After analysing all the data and compiling and comparing expert opinions on this Ilves W vs Jypk W match, we are well convinced that Ilves W is in better form, better motivated and has proven in the past their ability to dominate this game against Jypk W. The surebet prediction for this game is therefore a home win. Note that there might be even better tips you can bet on today if you can be bold enough to subscribe for VIP tips. Besides, you might want to check out the GG/NG tips given their ability to increase betting profits for many punters. To find if the Home Win bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied Home Win bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 1.99 with an implied bookmaker probability of 50.25%. The calculated Surebet probability for the Home Win outcome for this Ilves W vs Jypk W match is 39.91%, meaning this bet is not a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may be about to lose expected value by -10.34%. Expected Value, EV(Home Win), for a Home Win result for this Ilves W vs Jypk W match is calculated as follows: Let P(Home Win) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is; P(Home Win) * 100* 1.99 where 1.99 are the decimal odds for this outcome. Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a Home Win for Ilves W vs Jypk W, EV(Home Win) to be 39.91% * 100 * 1.99, which translates to 19.33. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.