KAPFENBERG vs FLORIDSDORFER AC AWAY WIN SUREBET PREDICTION
A detailed Kapfenberg vs Floridsdorfer Ac AWAY WIN sure prediction with expert opinion, H2H matches, statistical analysis for this Austria, Erste Ligamatch on 06-Aug-2021
Kapfenberg
DATE:
6 August 2021 at 19:30:00
Floridsdorfer Ac
COUNTRY:
Austria
LEAGUE
Erste Liga
TIME:
7:30 PM
1X2 PREDICTION
HOME WIN:
19%
AVR. ODDS:
3.38
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
DRAW:
30%
AVR. ODDS:
3.58
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
AWAY WIN:
51%
AVR. ODDS:
2.04
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
EXPERT TIPS FOR THIS MATCH
All 3 major Surebet prediction models have indicated a possible away win in this Kapfenberg vs Floridsdorfer Ac match. Poisson prediction model shows there is a 39.69% chance for the outcome while the ELO Ratings model shows a 49.44% chance for the same. Finally, 63.20% of the Monte Carlo simulation runs for this match resulted in away win. This pretty much consolidates the prediction of a away win in this game.
The expected value for a Away Win prediction is denoted as EV(Away Win) and is calculated by multiplying the amount of stake by the odds and again by the probability of winning then subtracting the result of multiplying the stake and the probability of losing. By using 100 as your sample stake, by calculating the EV as explained, we get the expected value for a Away Win in this Kapfenberg vs Floridsdorfer Ac match is 54.36 which is positive and therefore a good bet.
The odds for Away Win outcome on major betting sites are, on average, 2.04 with an implied bookmaker probability of 49.02%. Considering that the surebet probability for the Away Win outcome for this Kapfenberg vs Floridsdorfer Ac match is 50.78%, then this bet is a value bet.
If you play this bet then you you gain expected value by 1.76%Floridsdorfer Ac is clearly too strong for Kapfenberg. An away win prediction for this game may not be far-fetched after all. It seems like you might want to avoid a prediction for Kapfenberg's win in this game. I also advise you not to always stick to the 1X2 predictions or bets. Popularity does not always make something the best.
Explore other betting options such as the GG/NG predictions, Asian handicaps predictions and half time predictions, all of which carry better odds and less risk.
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GG/NG(BTTS) PREDICTION
GG(BTTS):
31%
AVR. ODDS:
1.58
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
NO GOAL:
AVR. ODDS:
69%
2.25
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 1.5:
40%
AVR. ODDS:
1.08
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
UNDER 1.5:
46%
AVR. ODDS:
3.84
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 2.5:
31%
AVR. ODDS:
1.65
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
UNDER 2.5:
AVR. ODDS:
VALUEBET?
69%
2.11
Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 3.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 3.5:
16%
AVR. ODDS:
2.89
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
UNDER 3.5:
84%
AVR. ODDS:
1.57
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
MATCH STATISTICS AND ANALYSIS
KAPFENBERG VS FLORIDSDORFER AC LATEST HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES
Kapfenberger and Fac Wien have met 6 times recently since 08-Mar-2018. Below is a breakdown of those matches and the results. Note that these matches will play a big role in the Kapfenberger vs Fac Wien prediction.
19/03/21 - Kapfenberger [1 : 0] FAC Wien
30/09/20 - FAC Wien [4 : 0] Kapfenberger
25/07/20 - FAC Wien [2 : 0] Kapfenberger
11-Jan-2019 - Kapfenberger [2 : 1] FAC Wien
03-Jan-2019 - Kapfenberger [0 : 1] FAC Wien
08-Mar-2018 - FAC Wien [0 : 2] Kapfenberger
KAPFENBERG LAST 10 MATCHES
Below are Kapfenberg's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Wacker Innsbruck won against Kapfenberger (2-0) on 30/07/21
Then Kapfenberger lost to Liefering (0-2) on 23/07/21
First Vienna lost to Kapfenberger (3-5) on 18/07/21
Not surprisingly Kapfenberger lost to CSKA Moscow (0-1) on 27/06/21
Kapfenberger drew with Leoben (2-2) on 23/06/21
GAK won against Kapfenberger (1-0) on 23/05/21
Then Kapfenberger lost to Dornbirn (0-1) on 16/05/21
Horn won against Kapfenberger (2-1) on 05-Dec-2021
Kapfenberger drew with Rapid Wien II (1-1) on 05-Jul-2021
In the earliest match listed here Amstetten won against Kapfenberger (2-1) on 30/04/21
RECENT MATCHES - AWAY TEAM
Below are Floridsdorfer Ac's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
FAC Wien lost to Young Violets Wien (1-2) on 30/07/21
Amstetten drew with FAC Wien (1-1) on 23/07/21
Then Seekirchen lost to FAC Wien (0-1) on 16/07/21
Neusiedl drew with FAC Wien (3-3) on 07-Sep-2021
SV Stripfing drew with FAC Wien (0-0) on 26/06/21
Then Dornbirn lost to FAC Wien (0-4) on 23/05/21
FAC Wien drew with GAK (2-2) on 16/05/21
Amstetten lost to FAC Wien (0-2) on 05-Dec-2021
Once more FAC Wien lost to Horn (1-2) on 05-Jul-2021
Blau-Weiss Linz won against FAC Wien (2-0) on 30/04/21
KAPFENBERG'S POSITION
Kapfenberger is in position 14 with 0 points from 2 matches. They are below St. Polten who have 0 points and above Vorwarts Steyr who have 0 points.
have scored 0 goals and conceded 4 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of -4 goals this season.
FLORIDSDORFER AC'S POSITION
FAC Wien is in position 10 with 1 points from 2 matches. They are below SV Lafnitz who have 3 points and above GAK who have 1 points.
Floridsdorfer Ac have scored 2 goals and conceded 3 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of -1 goals this season.
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