LAZIO vs INTER GG SUREBET PREDICTION
A detailed Lazio vs Inter GG sure prediction with expert opinion, H2H matches, statistical analysis for this Italy, Serie Amatch on 16-Oct-2021
Lazio
DATE:
16 October 2021 at 19:00:00
Inter
COUNTRY:
Italy
LEAGUE
Serie A
TIME:
7:00 PM
1X2 PREDICTION
HOME WIN:
44%
AVR. ODDS:
3.27
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
DRAW:
24%
AVR. ODDS:
3.47
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
AWAY WIN:
32%
AVR. ODDS:
2.17
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
EXPERT TIPS FOR THIS MATCH
Given historical data, head to head matches and results from similar past matches, Surebet prediction systems and expert opinion have all converged on the conclusion that both teams will be able to score in this match, therefore validating a GG prediction (BTTS).
Both Lazio and Inter have good strikers and have equally vulnerable defenses. It is quite unlikely that any of them will fail to score in this game. All 3 major Surebet prediction models have indicated a possible gg in this Lazio vs Inter match.
Poisson prediction model shows there is a 62.51% chance for the outcome while the ELO Ratings model shows a 61.46% chance for the same. Finally, 60.04% of the Monte Carlo simulation runs for this match resulted in gg. This pretty much consolidates the prediction of a gg in this game.
The odds for Gg outcome on major betting sites are, on average, 1.52 with an implied bookmaker probability of 65.79%.
Considering that the surebet probability for the GG outcome for this Lazio vs Inter match is 61.34%, then this bet is not a value bet.If you play this bet then you lose expected value by -4.45%The expected value for a GG prediction is denoted as EV(GG) and is calculated by multiplying the amount of stake by the odds and again by the probability of winning then subtracting the result of multiplying the stake and the probability of losing.
By using 100 as your sample stake, by calculating the EV as explained, we get the expected value for a GG in this Lazio vs Inter match is 54.57 which is positive and therefore a good bet.
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GG/NG(BTTS) PREDICTION
GG(BTTS):
61%
AVR. ODDS:
1.52
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
NO GOAL:
AVR. ODDS:
38%
2.37
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 1.5:
40%
AVR. ODDS:
1.05
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
UNDER 1.5:
18%
AVR. ODDS:
3.96
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 2.5:
60%
AVR. ODDS:
1.61
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
UNDER 2.5:
AVR. ODDS:
VALUEBET?
40%
2.18
Not a Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 3.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 3.5:
37%
AVR. ODDS:
2.82
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
UNDER 3.5:
62%
AVR. ODDS:
1.63
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
MATCH STATISTICS AND ANALYSIS
LAZIO VS INTER LATEST HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES
Inter and Lazio have met 6 times recently since 31/01/19. Below is a breakdown of those matches and the results. Note that these matches will play a big role in the Inter vs Lazio prediction.
14/02/21 - Inter [3 : 1] Lazio
10-Apr-2020 - Lazio [1 : 1] Inter
16/02/20 - Lazio [2 : 1] Inter
25/09/19 - Inter [1 : 0] Lazio
31/03/19 - Inter [0 : 1] Lazio
31/01/19 - Inter [3 : 4] Lazio
LAZIO LAST 10 MATCHES
Below are Lazio's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Bologna won against Lazio (3-0) on 10-Mar-2021
Then Lazio won against Lokomotiv Moscow (2-0) on 30/09/21
Lazio won against Roma (3-2) on 26/09/21
Not surprisingly Torino drew with Lazio (1-1) on 23/09/21
Lazio drew with Cagliari (2-2) on 19/09/21
Galatasaray won against Lazio (1-0) on 16/09/21
Then Milan won against Lazio (2-0) on 09-Dec-2021
Lazio won against Spezia (6-1) on 28/08/21
Empoli lost to Lazio (1-3) on 21/08/21
In the earliest match listed here Lazio drew with Sassuolo (1-1) on 14/08/21
RECENT MATCHES - AWAY TEAM
Below are Inter's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Sassuolo lost to Inter (1-2) on 10-Feb-2021
Shakhtar drew with Inter (0-0) on 28/09/21
Then Inter drew with Atalanta (2-2) on 25/09/21
Fiorentina lost to Inter (1-3) on 21/09/21
Inter won against Bologna (6-1) on 18/09/21
Then Inter lost to Real Madrid (0-1) on 15/09/21
Sampdoria drew with Inter (2-2) on 09-Dec-2021
Hellas Verona lost to Inter (1-3) on 27/08/21
Once more Inter won against Genoa (4-0) on 21/08/21
Inter won against Dynamo Kiev (3-0) on 14/08/21
LAZIO'S POSITION
Lazio is in position 6 with 11 points from 7 matches. They are below Fiorentina who have 12 points and above Juventus who have 11 points.
have scored 15 goals and conceded 12 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of 3 goals this season.
INTER'S POSITION
Inter is in position 3 with 17 points from 7 matches. They are below Milan who have 19 points and above Roma who have 15 points.
Inter have scored 22 goals and conceded 8 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of 14 goals this season.
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