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BOURNEMOUTH vs WEST BROMWICH SURE PREDICTION

A detailed Bournemouth vs West Bromwich sure prediction with expert opinion, H2H matches, statistical analysis for this England, Championship match on 05-Aug-2021

Bournemouth

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West Bromwich

DATE:

6 August 2021 at 21:45:00

TIME:

9:45 PM

COUNTRY:

England

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LEAGUE

Championship

1X2 PREDICTION

HOME WIN:

43%

AVR. ODDS:

2.28

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

DRAW:

25%

AVR. ODDS:

3.24

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

AWAY WIN:

32%

AVR. ODDS:

3.14

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

EXPERT TIPS FOR THIS MATCH

<p class="font_7">Historical data, H2H matches and results from similar and related past matches, Surebet GG prediction systems have all agreed that both teams will be able to score in this match. Both Bournemouth and West Bromwich have good striking and have equally vulnerable defenses.&nbsp;</p>
<p class="font_7"><br></p>
<p class="font_7">I do not forsee a NG outcome for this game. The GG rediction for this game is both teams to score at leat one goal in this game. We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a gg in this Bournemouth vs West Bromwich match. The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 56.58% probability for a GG outcome.&nbsp;</p>
<p class="font_7"><br></p>
<p class="font_7">The ELO Ratings model came through with a 55.56% probability for the same outccome. The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 53.77% chance for a gg outcome. This Bournemouth vs West Bromwich match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models. Keep reading to find them all.&nbsp;</p>
<p class="font_7"><br></p>
<p class="font_7">To find if the Gg bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied GG bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 1.78 with an implied bookmaker probability of 56.18%.&nbsp;</p>
<p class="font_7"><br></p>
<p class="font_7">The calculated Surebet probability for the Gg outcome for this Bournemouth vs West Bromwich match is 55.30%, meaning this bet is not a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may be about to lose expected value by -0.88%Expected Value, EV(GG), for a GG result for this Bournemouth vs West Bromwich match is calculated as follows: Let P(GG) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is; P(GG) * 100* 1.78 where 1.78 are the decimal odds for this outcome.&nbsp;</p>
<p class="font_7"><br></p>
<p class="font_7">Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a GG for Bournemouth vs West Bromwich, EV(GG) to be 55.30% * 100 * 1.78, which translates to 53.74. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.</p>

BOURNEMOUTH vs WEST BROMWICH SURE PREDICTION

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GG/NG(BTTS) PREDICTION

GG(BTTS):

55%

AVR. ODDS:

1.78

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

NO GOAL:

45%

AVR. ODDS:

1.93

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 1.5:

40%

AVR. ODDS:

1.29

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

UNDER 1.5:

24%

AVR. ODDS:

3.16

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 2.5:

52%

AVR. ODDS:

1.98

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

UNDER 2.5:

48%

AVR. ODDS:

1.74

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 3.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 3.5:

30%

AVR. ODDS:

3.47

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

UNDER 3.5:

70%

AVR. ODDS:

1.3

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

MATCH STATISTICS AND ANALYSIS

BOURNEMOUTH VS WEST BROMWICH LATEST HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES

West Bromwich and Bournemouth have met 6 times recently since 05-Jul-2016. Below is a breakdown of those matches and the results. Note that these matches will play a big role in the West Bromwich vs Bournemouth prediction.
26/07/19 - West Bromwich [0 : 0] Bournemouth
17/03/18 - Bournemouth [2 : 1] West Bromwich
08-Dec-2017 - West Bromwich [1 : 0] Bournemouth
25/02/17 - West Bromwich [2 : 1] Bournemouth
09-Oct-2016 - Bournemouth [1 : 0] West Bromwich
05-Jul-2016 - Bournemouth [1 : 1] West Bromwich

BOURNEMOUTH LAST 10 MATCHES

Below are Bournemouth's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Bournemouth won against Milton Keynes (5-0) on 31/07/21
Then Chelsea won against Bournemouth (2-1) on 27/07/21
Granada won against Bournemouth (2-1) on 19/07/21
Not surprisingly Bournemouth won against RB Linense (4-2) on 16/07/21
Brentford won against Bournemouth (3-1) on 22/05/21
Bournemouth won against Brentford (1-0) on 17/05/21
Then Bournemouth lost to Stoke (0-2) on 05-Aug-2021
Wycombe won against Bournemouth (1-0) on 05-Jan-2021
Bournemouth lost to Brentford (0-1) on 24/04/21
In the earliest match listed here Millwall lost to Bournemouth (1-4) on 21/04/21

RECENT MATCHES - AWAY TEAM

Below are West Bromwich's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Watford drew with West Bromwich (0-0) on 24/07/21
Leeds United won against West Bromwich (3-1) on 23/05/21
Then West Bromwich lost to West Ham (1-3) on 19/05/21
West Bromwich lost to Liverpool (1-2) on 16/05/21
Arsenal won against West Bromwich (3-1) on 05-Sep-2021
Then West Bromwich drew with Wolverhampton (1-1) on 05-Mar-2021
Aston Villa drew with West Bromwich (2-2) on 25/04/21
Leicester won against West Bromwich (3-0) on 22/04/21
Once more West Bromwich won against Southampton (3-0) on 04-Dec-2021
Chelsea lost to West Bromwich (2-5) on 04-Mar-2021

BOURNEMOUTH'S POSITION

No position listed

WEST BROMWICH'S POSITION

No position listed

BOURNEMOUTH'S BEST PLAYERS

No notable players

WEST BROMWICH'S BEST PLAYERS

No notable players

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