<p class="font_7">All 3 major Surebet prediction models have indicated a possible ng in this Estudiantes Lp vs San Lorenzo match. Poisson prediction model shows there is a 51.71% chance for the outcome while the ELO Ratings model shows a 53.98% chance for the same. Finally, 58.33% of the Monte Carlo simulation runs for this match resulted in ng.&nbsp;</p>
<p class="font_7"><br></p>
<p class="font_7">This pretty much consolidates the prediction of a ng in this game. The odds for Ng outcome on major betting sites are, on average, 1.67 with an implied bookmaker probability of 59.88%.&nbsp;</p>
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<p class="font_7">Considering that the surebet probability for the Ng outcome for this Estudiantes Lp vs San Lorenzo match is 54.67%, then this bet is not a value bet.If you play this bet then you lose expected value by -5.21%.</p>
<p class="font_7"><br></p>
<p class="font_7">The expected value for a NG prediction is denoted as EV(NG) and is calculated by multiplying the amount of stake by the odds and again by the probability of winning then subtracting the result of multiplying the stake and the probability of losing.&nbsp;</p>
<p class="font_7"><br></p>
<p class="font_7">By using 100 as your sample stake, by calculating the EV as explained, we get the expected value for a NG in this Estudiantes Lp vs San Lorenzo match is 45.98 which is positive and therefore a good bet.</p>
<p class="font_7"><br></p>
<p class="font_7">Estudiantes Lp and San Lorenzo might find it hard to score each other in this game. It may be much wiser if you steered clear of a goal-goal prediction and stuck with no-goal (NG prediction).&nbsp;</p>
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<p class="font_7">This is informed by the fact that both Estudiantes Lp and San Lorenzo have good defenses and at least one of them have demonstrated in the recent past weak defense that may see them goal-less by the end of this duel.</p>
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